March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Mugs I think you over sold this run.
It's pretty deflating, most of the jackpots went to people 100 miles outside our forum.
It's pretty deflating, most of the jackpots went to people 100 miles outside our forum.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Euro scares me now. minimal snow Sharp north cutoff.
Grselig- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Well that looked like crapola
gigs68- Posts : 142
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
amugs wrote:EURO COMES IN TUCKED AND MAULS US LIKE GODZILLA!!!!!!!
And by us you meant all of our members down in Maryland? Last count 0 of them.
Don't do that man, some of us are very fragile.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
This is the point where I just toss any model I don't like because it's too close to the storm for me to take bad news.
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I'm KIDDING. lol Anyway, last runs of GFS and NAM and UKIE were good for us. So no panic here.
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I'm KIDDING. lol Anyway, last runs of GFS and NAM and UKIE were good for us. So no panic here.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Taffy wrote:amugs wrote:EURO COMES IN TUCKED AND MAULS US LIKE GODZILLA!!!!!!!
Good, I like to be mauled. Usually after a few drinks.
Great line Taffy. Now we’re talking
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Well who wouldn't feel confident in a forecast that is 4-12"+ lmao
You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!
You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Mugs I think you over sold this run.
It's pretty deflating, most of the jackpots went to people 100 miles outside our forum.
Agreed
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
SoulSingMG wrote:OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.
It's actually so bad, I'm laughing about it, in between crying hysterically.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Hey I want snow but i am ok if this misses me lost power in the last 2 and did well with them in snow totals. Pulling for out peeps to the south.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:SoulSingMG wrote:OF COURSE it's too much to ask for to get one friggen model suite in agreement! I cannot. Euro has barely 2" from the city north.
It's actually so bad, I'm laughing about it, in between crying hysterically.
I can't even believe how bad it is! Zero piece of mind EVER. Lol
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Well who wouldn't feel confident in a forecast that is 4-12"+ lmao
You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!
Guess he can say that he nailed the forecast. I'm gonna go with a 0-24" forecast
You may get 4" or, 3 times that, or even more!
Guess he can say that he nailed the forecast. I'm gonna go with a 0-24" forecast
gigs68- Posts : 142
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
How can three models basically crush us and one give us almost nothing comparatively speaking? Doesn't it take away all credibility from these models?
deadrabbit79- Posts : 176
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
I know it’s the EURO and it’s well respected, but it hasn’t done well recently. Also the snow bands usually verify further NW than they are forecast to by a significant amount. We are within 12 hours of start time. The global mean squat. Current observations and the short range hi-res are All that matter now.
Where have Scott and rb been the last 12 hours. Weird without them
Where have Scott and rb been the last 12 hours. Weird without them
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
...and of course everyone on Twitter jumps on the Euro.
Ryan Maue: "NYC spared!"
Others: "CT off the hook!"
Ryan Maue: "NYC spared!"
Others: "CT off the hook!"
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
My final call
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Well anything goes at this point so F the Euro.
Look at the 6Z NAM this morning it was horrible and at 12Z it corrected. Lets see what the Euro does on it's next run.
Still plenty of models with great hits for NYC south and east.
Northern people are in trouble but we've known that for days, no surprises despsite the ridiculous WSW for 10-16 inches. I never thought that was happening up here anyway.
Look at the 6Z NAM this morning it was horrible and at 12Z it corrected. Lets see what the Euro does on it's next run.
Still plenty of models with great hits for NYC south and east.
Northern people are in trouble but we've known that for days, no surprises despsite the ridiculous WSW for 10-16 inches. I never thought that was happening up here anyway.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Frank_Wx wrote:My final call
Frank, Guess you're throwing out the Euro
gigs68- Posts : 142
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
So by the look of your snow map Frank, I assume your discounting the EURO?
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Hey but frank still got me in the 5-10 I will sign for that.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
I think the high snowfall amounts the EURO shows for southern areas is true, but the cut-off to the north is too extreme.
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Well anything goes at this point so F the Euro.
Look at the 6Z NAM this morning it was horrible and at 12Z it corrected. Lets see what the Euro does on it's next run.
Still plenty of models with great hits for NYC south and east.
Northern people are in trouble but we've known that for days, no surprises despsite the ridiculous WSW for 10-16 inches. I never thought that was happening up here anyway.
If you compare the 00z EURO to today's 12z EURO it did correct and it's probably not finished correcting. So, I would weigh the EURO very lightly. I bet the EURO Ensembles look different than the OP.
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Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations
Heavy sleet in Ocean Grove
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