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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II

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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 9 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II

Post by aiannone Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:41 pm

2.5" on the grass right now. Maybe 3.0" before compaction

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:42 pm

So 6-9 additional per NWS so cutting it close to reach a foot here, I need about 8 more. IMO looking at radar that could be conservative but I could be wrong.

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Post by pdubz Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:45 pm

puking huge flakes for past 30 min really adding up now
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:47 pm

New York City at 5 inches now for this storm as of the 4 PM update.

This now puts them at 32 inches for the season which makes the fifth year in a row they've gone over 30 inches. That's the first time they've had five years in succession over 30 inches since the 1880s.

That was done with two of those five meteorological winters being among the six warmest in history. That's what makes it impressive to me more than anything.

At least I have that today.
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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:48 pm

Moderate to heavy snow here (finally). Main road in front of my house now officially snow covered.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:49 pm

Oh no its stopped snowing completely, radar shows me in snow though, hope its not that dreaded word.
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:51 pm

It’s starting to pivot , I just don’t see the banding over the ocean making it in an alignment NE to SW over NYC and NE NNJ and SW, maybe for a short period of time , the banding off Delaware will stay there and the banding off of central NJ just doesn’t seem to have enough “Umpf” to be persistent over our area. Let’s watch!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:52 pm

Snowing heavy for the last hour going to get up and go measure...Lee just said 5 inches in Central Park
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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:54 pm

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Winter Storm Still Expected to Impact the region, especially
for New York City and Long Island, with more snow on the way
tonight. Total storm total snow still ranges from 8 to 14
inches by Thursday morning. The snow could linger into early
Thursday for Long Island and Southeast Connecticut.

Upper level low swings southeast of Long Island, taking a
position well SE of Nantucket and Martha`s Vineyard by early
Thursday. A surface low will deepen 3-5 mb this evening as it
passes southeast of the 40N/70W benchmark. Before 06Z, the
models show a consolidation of moisture and this would be
manifested as banding.

With the occurrence of this being at night, temperatures are
expected to more easily drop with the snowfall, allowing more
accumulations tonight for quite a few places than what was seen
earlier today. A deep vertical layer of lift and moisture is
shown by BUFKIT soundings across mainly the coastal areas
through this evening. With less depth to the moisture and lift
farther north. There are increases in the 850-700mb
frontogenesis mainly this evening. Still have gusty winds in the
forecast as well with the deepening of the low and the increase
of the pressure gradient.

Hence, some small changes were made to snowfall; more to the NW
across Orange, Putnam, Northern Fairfield, Northern New Haven, snow
was lowered a few inches. It was kept pretty much the same
elsewhere as due to the aforementioned increase in dynamic lift
this evening, thinking there is quite a potential for an
additional 6-9 inches of snow for all of tonight. Another
notable change was the extension of SE Connecticut and Eastern
Suffolk to 8am for the winter storm warning, where snow will not
taper off until near daybreak Thursday.

Lows were taken from NAM 2 meter temperatures and slightly
adjusted down, upper 20s to lower 30s.

_________________
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Post by frank 638 Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:56 pm

[quote="jmanley32"]Oh no its stopped snowing completely, radar shows me in snow though, hope its not that dreaded word.[/quote

by me it has started snowing and its coming down pretty good nice big fat flakes hang in there it will start soon

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:58 pm

Birth of a Nor’easter

https://mobile.twitter.com/StuOstro/status/976553256041304066/photo/1
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:58 pm

aiannone wrote:.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Winter Storm Still Expected to Impact the region, especially
for New York City and Long Island, with more snow on the way
tonight. Total storm total snow still ranges from 8 to 14
inches by Thursday morning. The snow could linger into early
Thursday for Long Island and Southeast Connecticut.

Upper level low swings southeast of Long Island, taking a
position well SE of Nantucket and Martha`s Vineyard by early
Thursday. A surface low will deepen 3-5 mb this evening as it
passes southeast of the 40N/70W benchmark. Before 06Z, the
models show a consolidation of moisture and this would be
manifested as banding.

With the occurrence of this being at night, temperatures are
expected to more easily drop with the snowfall, allowing more
accumulations tonight for quite a few places than what was seen
earlier today. A deep vertical layer of lift and moisture is
shown by BUFKIT soundings across mainly the coastal areas
through this evening. With less depth to the moisture and lift
farther north. There are increases in the 850-700mb
frontogenesis mainly this evening. Still have gusty winds in the
forecast as well with the deepening of the low and the increase
of the pressure gradient.

Hence, some small changes were made to snowfall; more to the NW
across Orange, Putnam, Northern Fairfield, Northern New Haven, snow
was lowered a few inches. It was kept pretty much the same
elsewhere as due to the aforementioned increase in dynamic lift
this evening, thinking there is quite a potential for an
additional 6-9 inches of snow for all of tonight. Another
notable change was the extension of SE Connecticut and Eastern
Suffolk to 8am for the winter storm warning, where snow will not
taper off until near daybreak Thursday.

Lows were taken from NAM 2 meter temperatures and slightly
adjusted down, upper 20s to lower 30s.
Thats encouragiung, hopefully it overperforms right over me and soul ; )
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Post by Vinnydula Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:59 pm

Jman seems like all bands are braking apart right on the Bronx Westchester border
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:00 pm

frank 638 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Oh no its stopped snowing completely, radar shows me in snow though, hope its not that dreaded word.[/quote

by me it has started snowing and its coming down pretty good nice big fat flakes hang in there it will start soon
I see it, there was a break in the banding its just south of me in the BX.
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:02 pm

Ouch. That subsidence over me is REAL.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 9 5706b610
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Post by Dtone Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:03 pm

Its been snowing hard for over an hour now, but the last 15 mins or so its really starting to pile up. That sun angle is getting low enough now.

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Post by Taffy Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:04 pm

5.8" and just started to stick to the streets and pavement about 4:30. 31 degrees, real feel 25. Winds ESE at 6 with gusts.


Last edited by Taffy on Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by lglickman Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:05 pm

is that band in the south bronx and manhattan going to move more northwest?

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:05 pm

Subsidence over NENJ once again

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 9 Inxr1Knyca_h

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dtone Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:05 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Ouch. That subsidence over me is REAL.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 9 5706b610

damn, I'm in that band, I dont think its moved much at all. Wind picking up too

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Post by Guest Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:08 pm

5:15 still not at 5”. Had 2” by 10;30 am. SOMEONE SHOOT ME

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Post by crippo84 Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:09 pm

Just got back to my apartment in midtown. Snowing heavily. About 6 inches on car tops that have been parked since this morning.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:11 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Ouch. That subsidence over me is REAL.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 9 5706b610
ur not kidding soul, its dead here too, yet dtone a few miles south of here is getting blitzed, can that band move in?
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:12 pm

Real heavy band over the ocean moving unbelievably slowly right at me. It’s a big band too. About 75 miles. Hopefully it gets to me and moves just as slowly. If it does and maintains its strength I could see myself picking up another 6-8” in short order. If not then EPIC BUST

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Post by nujerzeedevil Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:12 pm

Heavy snow and sticking to everything rapidly now.
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Post by dkodgis Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:13 pm

Here I am the little piggie with no roast beef
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 21, 2018 5:13 pm

Frank please tell us here in that subsidence that it will work it way out!
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