May 2018 Observations & Discussions

Next few days will remain overcast. Maybe some glimpses of the sun today and tomorrow. Steady rain could move in late Friday then again Saturday afternoon.

Saturday 8pm:

Ok, I need a favor, my friend is going to propose to his girlfriend this weekend at Bradley Beach. He was planning on 8:20 pm on Saturday, and needs a weather report. The models couldn't be more different. If Saturday is a no go he could do Friday night, but that looks worse. Please help!

Janet I think Friday night will be a good idea to propose because sat evening into the night it's going to rain I hope this helps and good luck with ur friend propose

Friday looked like a better chance of tstorms though, gfs has rain pretty much Friday through all day Saturday. NAM has hardly anything!

Tonight's runs do look better for Friday night than Saturday night...going to give it til noon runs tomorrow.

Dunnzoo wrote:Ok, I need a favor, my friend is going to propose to his girlfriend this weekend at Bradley Beach. He was planning on 8:20 pm on Saturday, and needs a weather report. The models couldn't be more different. If Saturday is a no go he could do Friday night, but that looks worse. Please help!

Good morning Janet.  If I had to guess after analyzing GFS, Euro, RGEM, 12K NAM and 3K NAM that Friday night between 5-7pm offers the greatest probability of decent weather for a proposal.  While both evenings, Fri and Sat, offer chances for rain, Sat looks more consistently overcast and dreary/steady precip after 4-5pm, while Friday's chances seem more hit or miss and likely have clearer skies in between chances.  Like you said the possibility of a down pour or thunderstorm exists tomorrow night, but to me it looks like mid to late afternoon-ish, then again as you head into the later hours of Friday, 8pm-midnight with a window in between for decent weather.  That's the way I see it as o fthis am.  I will re-eval 12z and let you know if it looks any different to me.

Thanks Scott! That's about what I was going to suggest to him after seeing this morning's runs.

Dunnzoo wrote:Thanks Scott! That's about what I was going to suggest to him after seeing this morning's runs.

good luck to him..hope it does not rain!!

Friday night for sure

The weather looks so awful - cloudy/cool/rainy - this weekend and next week that I may just locate where Thor lives and persuade him to move NJ into the Caribbean.

Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.

billg315 wrote:Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.

That's my thinking too Bill!


Btw, now my friend is asking about Sunday!

Dunnzoo wrote:

billg315 wrote:Well, trying to be a glass half-full guy, maybe getting the rain, clouds and cool temps out of the way early will leave us with a lot of really nice weekends from late June to Labor Day. Maybe.

That's my thinking too Bill!


Btw, now my friend is asking about Sunday!

12z conts to make me think Friday night between 5-7 is the time. Tell your friend to quite stalling...lol

Jesus it is pitiful looking out

Frank_Wx wrote:Jesus it is pitiful looking out

its nasty and depressing outside why cant we have this weather in the fall time esp in oct and nov .hopefully we will have our summer soon after next week

I'm not asking for it to be 100 degrees outside but I would like it warmer than the 60s. This pattern of raining or cool/damp weather every weekend really does suck. And for all you guys that are already asking for winter.. Come on, give us a break and allow us to enjoy some warm weather so we can be outside with our families.

Despite bouts of dreary/cool weather, May ended up well above normal temp wise and below normal rainfall.
Good enough for another top 10 warmest month at all the major reporting sites..actually top 5 at most sites.

Central Park avg temp:  66.9*  (+4.5*)
6th warmest May on record.

Rain: 3.53" (-0.66)

May (and season to date) 90 degree days:
LGA 4
Newark 4
Teterboro 3
Central Park 2
JFK/Islip 0

Just started pouring and heavy winds thunder and lightning in Stillwater NJ, wow this thing has some punch to it, east of here get inside !

Wow. Just started pouring out of nowhere here as well. Driving rain against my house with thunder but have not seen any flashes of lightening. Today turned out to be nicer than I thought. Hopefully the weekend is not a total washout.

59 right now

Feels like Autumn