My Summer Outlook 2018

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My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by Isotherm on Mon May 28, 2018 9:37 pm

Questions/Comments welcome, as always. A bit later than typical due to time constraints, but glad to have made it prior to the 31st deadline.



http://www.lightinthestorm.com/



Snippet:



The Outlook for the NYC local region stations



Meteorological Summer JJA Temperature Departures: 0 to +1; Near normal to Slightly Warmer than Normal



90 Degree Days: 18-25 Across Most of the NJ-NYC-LI Area; 10-18 along the immediate coast



Meteorological Summer JJA Precipitation Departures: Wet to Much Wetter than Normal; spatial distribution of summertime convection renders greater forecast specificity useless



Hurricane Outlook: Named storms – around 10; Hurricanes – around 5; Major Hurricanes – 1 to 2; Impact – greater than normal potential in South Texas, Florida, and the Southeast US Coastline.

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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue May 29, 2018 9:13 am

Thank you for sharing Tom. A wetter than normal summer is not ideal, but we'll make the most of it. Curious to see how the tropics develop.

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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by Isotherm on Tue May 29, 2018 9:49 am

Thanks, Frank. Agree; think there could be a couple of potent, damaging impacts to the US coastline even though activity is suppressed this year. This should be a more interesting T-storm season as well, compared to prior years.
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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by frank 638 on Tue May 29, 2018 2:46 pm

Tom thank you for ur write up and maps u posted for our summer . hopefully it won't be to hot and humid i can't stand the heat esp working in it

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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by Isotherm on Wed May 30, 2018 11:44 am

Thanks, Frank.
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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by amugs on Fri Jun 01, 2018 1:03 pm

Thanks for sharing Tom - wetter than normal summer indeed and when teh sun is out it will be sticky as well with all of this moisture laden soil.
Tropics aren't that exciting but will be in close storms like you said Gulf and SE.
MDR looks horrid for trop development with teh colder than normal SST's.

Good luck.

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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by sroc4 on Fri Jun 01, 2018 1:07 pm

Thanks Tom for the write up. Fantastic as usual

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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by nutleyblizzard on Fri Jun 01, 2018 2:43 pm

Tom Great write up. I guess we got to make the best of it. At least my lawn won't go brown on me. Rolling Eyes
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Re: My Summer Outlook 2018

Post by Isotherm on Sun Jun 03, 2018 10:00 pm

Thanks for the kind words, guys - appreciate the comments!
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