August 2018 Obs & Discussions

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by Radz on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:32 pm

rb924119 wrote:
essexcountypete wrote:
Radz wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:This is crazy I love how TWC hyping the dip in the jetstream due to the low pressure but yet again another tropical moisture pull, wil lthis bring a [possible tropical or subtropical system this time? Math is it a nor easter really? Its summer arent those the fall, wouldnt it be more of a tropical or sub tropical system?

I am a garage sale picker for my ebay business (plus its fun) and having dry Sat mornings is a must but that looks dashed once again...sigh.
I'll put my order in for tons of sun, mid 80's, and low humidity week of the 18th - LBI bound, but don't worry Jman, with my luck we will be staring down a Cat 2 that week I'm sure lol!

Shoot, Radz!! What part of the island??? My grandparents live in Beach Haven and I'll be going down the following week (of course -_-) lmao

Beach Haven as well Rb, love that part of the island! Centre St. to be exact... i'm a Chicken or the Egg frequent flier Smile

I'll be in LBI next week as well! Peahala Park near the Acme. Radz, look for me at the Chicken or the Egg. I'll be the guy with the orange Frisbee Pie Company hat Smile  If not there, then at the Crust & Crumb. Yum!!!

Let's hope for some better weather next week!

CENTRE STREET?!!!! DUDE!!! THAT PRACTICALLY MAKES US NEIGHBORS!! HAHAHA My grandparents are block away from Holyoke, so only about 10-15 blocks from you lmao The fact that you called it by its full name and not the Chegg means you don't fly frequently *ENOUGH* ahahaha As for you, Pete, I know that area too!! I had a girlfriend (female friend - not to be confused with today's definition of girlfriend, so don't be getting any wise ideas lmao) that stayed three blocks north of the Acme haha What a small world!!!
It is a small world! Ok, so now i have to show my age RB... The name "Chegg" is a relatively new name, given by a much younger generation lol - back in the early 90's when I started going there, it was The Chicken or the Egg, and will always remain that way to me  lol!! (my kid's in their 20's call it the Chegg)
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by Radz on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:46 pm

essexcountypete wrote:
Radz wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:This is crazy I love how TWC hyping the dip in the jetstream due to the low pressure but yet again another tropical moisture pull, wil lthis bring a [possible tropical or subtropical system this time? Math is it a nor easter really? Its summer arent those the fall, wouldnt it be more of a tropical or sub tropical system?

I am a garage sale picker for my ebay business (plus its fun) and having dry Sat mornings is a must but that looks dashed once again...sigh.
I'll put my order in for tons of sun, mid 80's, and low humidity week of the 18th - LBI bound, but don't worry Jman, with my luck we will be staring down a Cat 2 that week I'm sure lol!

Shoot, Radz!! What part of the island??? My grandparents live in Beach Haven and I'll be going down the following week (of course -_-) lmao

Beach Haven as well Rb, love that part of the island! Centre St. to be exact... i'm a Chicken or the Egg frequent flier Smile

I'll be in LBI next week as well! Peahala Park near the Acme. Radz, look for me at the Chicken or the Egg. I'll be the guy with the orange Frisbee Pie Company hat Smile  If not there, then at the Crust & Crumb. Yum!!!

Let's hope for some better weather next week!
I'll be looking for you! Next week looking much better than recent weeks for sure, think we will be good!
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Thu Aug 16, 2018 5:16 pm


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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis on Thu Aug 16, 2018 5:25 pm

well−organized severe thunderstorms
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Aug 16, 2018 10:48 pm

dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms
where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green. Almost always this changes the day of though.
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis on Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:03 pm

It is how I interpret SLGT. I should have had a question mark at the end of the word “thunderstorms”. I am asking if that is what it means (the yellow area). NWS is noting now potential of strong gusts and thunderstorms by me for tomorrow
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 9:34 am

jmanley32 wrote:
dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms
where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green.  Almost always this changes the day of though.

Yes the map is for the risk of severe storms, which includes the potential for frequent cloud to ground lightning, flooding, strong damaging winds, and/or tornadic activity. The yellow is categorized as a "slight risk"

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 12:12 pm

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
dkodgis wrote:well−organized severe thunderstorms
where does it say that? Dang thats go be close call for me I am on the line of yellow and green.  Almost always this changes the day of though.

Yes the map is for the risk of severe storms, which includes the potential for frequent cloud to ground lightning, flooding, strong damaging winds, and/or tornadic activity.  The yellow is categorized as a "slight risk"

I know that come on sroc lol, I more meant was that something specific the NWS said. The expanded the slight area a bit, I have always found the slight category to not always mean there wont be really bad storms but more of a less widespread event, more localized. My HWO suggests a slight possibility of a tornado.
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 12:49 pm

I know you know Jon.  LOL

Here is the tornado risk, the damaging wind gusts within the storms probability of 50kts or higher, and hail risks




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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Aug 17, 2018 2:33 pm

I like this chart

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 2:35 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I like this chart

I'm just south of the yellow by like a town or 2 and small bout 10 to 15 miles. 3km nam misses NYC and to north to about 287. Above that they get hit by severe line.
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 3:31 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I like this chart


oh I like this!!

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 8:50 pm

Wow the line pushing through NJ is actually intensifying and solidifying and has a warning for 70mph gusts, please report if you are in its path.
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 8:59 pm

This line is no joke extensive damage being reported and its continuing to intensify which is unusual
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis on Fri Aug 17, 2018 9:18 pm

Up here in northern Orange County we got an almost non existent spritz with some thunder but no visible lightning. A non-event here
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Aug 17, 2018 10:05 pm

Weakened to nothing but a regular boring t-storm...of course curse of the hudson.
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Aug 17, 2018 10:13 pm

Just a little rumble here
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Aug 18, 2018 12:09 am

1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:42 am

Dunnzoo wrote:1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

affraid wow..so much rain...we have had our share 4.43 so far this month...but nothing like you up north and further south... this is just crazy...is this the summer on target to be the rainiest??
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Sat Aug 18, 2018 10:33 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:1.41" so far for the last 6 hours... monsooning rain, power lines and trees down, tons of lightning... so cool! Waiting on probably a little more tonight before tomorrow's chance of storms...


And another .41" this morning


Rain so far this month      9.3"   unbelievable!

affraid  wow..so much rain...we have had our share 4.43 so far this month...but nothing like you up north and further south... this is just crazy...is this the summer on target to be the rainiest??

That's unbelievable Janet! I am sitting at 5.98" on my rain gauge for the month this am. More to come tonight and tomorrow.

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Sat Aug 18, 2018 10:44 am

Good news....after this weekends Rain, Monday and Tuesday will feature dew points in the upper 60's, a little better than the low and mid 70's we've been experiencing.  Dew points will again creep up back into the low 70's briefly headed into Wed ahead of a cold frontal passage.  Following the cold frontal passage dew points will fall into the upper 50's and low 60's with high temps in the low 80's and upper 70's which will feel GLORIOUS!

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Aug 18, 2018 11:27 am

sroc4 wrote:Good news....after this weekends Rain, Monday and Tuesday will feature dew points in the upper 60's, a little better than the low and mid 70's we've been experiencing.  Dew points will again creep up back into the low 70's briefly headed into Wed ahead of a cold frontal passage.  Following the cold frontal passage dew points will fall into the upper 50's and low 60's with high temps in the low 80's and upper 70's which will feel GLORIOUS!

CAN NOT WAIT!!!!!!!!!!! AND YES I AM YELLING!! Very Happy Very Happy
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by Math23x7 on Sat Aug 18, 2018 12:08 pm

One thing to keep in mind in that as wet as this August has been, it doesn't hold a finger on August 2011, which had 18.95" of rain at CPK. That had had several thunderstorm outbreaks, a coastal storm mid-month, and hurricane Irene. The August 2011 rain total through the 17th was 9.61". The August 2018 rain total through the 17th is 7.64".

After the 17th in 2011, there were thunderstorms on the 18th, 19th and 21st (totaling 1.98" at CPK), 0.49" of rain from a frontal passage on the 25th, and then 6.87" of rain from hurricane Irene the 27th-28th.

There was a bit of rain a few hours ago with more on the way potentially this afternoon. But will it impress like 2011 did?

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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Aug 18, 2018 2:04 pm

Math23x7 wrote:One thing to keep in mind in that as wet as this August has been, it doesn't hold a finger on August 2011, which had 18.95" of rain at CPK.  That had had several thunderstorm outbreaks, a coastal storm mid-month, and hurricane Irene. The August 2011 rain total through the 17th was 9.61".  The August 2018 rain total through the 17th is 7.64".

After the 17th in 2011, there were thunderstorms on the 18th, 19th and 21st (totaling 1.98" at CPK), 0.49" of rain from a frontal passage on the 25th, and then 6.87" of rain from hurricane Irene the 27th-28th.

There was a bit of rain a few hours ago with more on the way potentially this afternoon.  But will it impress like 2011 did?

I knew I could count on you to let us know...forgot about 2011....Hey saw this morning there is a Math Festival coming up!! thought of you ...you can go to momath.com...if you did not already know.. Smile
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Re: August 2018 Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis on Sat Aug 18, 2018 2:53 pm

CPCantmeasurewater.

That’s my story and I’m sticking to it
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