MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:32 pm

http://www.ebmcdn.net/webcast/flash/bogue-inlet/live-iframe.html

current situation at Emerale Isle ...Bouge Inlet
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:46 pm

Thanks for posting that link

Those waves look like fun!!

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:56 pm

Wish we got this. Oh well


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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by SoulSingMG on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:24 pm

There needs to be another scale depicting overall ENERGY/THREAT from hurricanes. The saffir-simpson scale is misleading and I'm seeing a lot of sighs of relief on social media that "at least Florence is not a 4 anymore." It's BS. Her hurricane force winds spread much further from the center than say, Andrew, and her surge will be more devastating. Not to mention her stalling and the resulting epic freshwater flood.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by syosnow94 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:26 pm

She looks like she’s stalled
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:40 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Gfs has it going up Ohio River Valley to the great lakes, sparing us a lot of rain...
didn't euro handle Flo the best so far? If so I'm going with the euro also biased cuz it does a decent storm that actually intensifies a bit as it heads over heh. Last 2 runs have shown this.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:42 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:http://www.ebmcdn.net/webcast/flash/bogue-inlet/live-iframe.html

current situation at Emerale Isle ...Bouge Inlet
surfs up dude!! How long u think that betty stays? I wanna see it fall in its inevitable.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:46 pm


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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:00 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
I see txt in reply but its not showing.
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Really

Post by CentralNJ on Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:55 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well


What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by syosnow94 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:56 pm

CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well


What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by CentralNJ on Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:57 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well


What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank

Because you're another fool. Taking GLEE in what will lead to terrible suffering. Wishing it was here.

Disgusting.

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by WOLVES1 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 4:06 pm

Been watching haven’t really chimed in for a while, but I get it Frank. The curiosity to experience it and the test to see how your knowledge and skills will fair in the middle of the storm.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 4:14 pm

CentralNJ wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well


What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank

Because you're another fool.  Taking GLEE in what will lead to terrible suffering.  Wishing it was here.  

Disgusting.

Easy there.    No one is wishing for terrible suffering.  But for many on this board, myself included, there is the ultimate quandary of wanting to experience mother nature in all her power and beauty.  If you choose to cont this discussion please do so in the Banter thread and please do so with respect.  If you cont down the current path posts will be deleted.  

Please no one else respond to this in this thread.

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 13, 2018 4:52 pm

New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...

Looks like almost stalled.  She is in the process of re-intensifying too.  




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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:00 pm

Well lookie here we are in the cone of depression LOL, I hope the Euro is right and we can at least get some kind of storm out of this on Tuesday/Wed.

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:01 pm

sroc4 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...

Looks like almost stalled.  She is in the process of re-intensifying too.  



I see that green trying to wrap around the center, uh oh, doesnt the storm start to get disrupted once any of the wind field goes over than though or just the center? I seem top remember hearing that it does.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:08 pm

Any re-intensification will likely be short lived. Sitting essentially still she will quickly churn up the waters beneath her cooling the SST rapidly effectively reducing the fuel for the fire. Combine that with the dryer air mass over land wrapping into her. But the stall off the coast means it will decay slower than if she actually made a landfall.

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by billg315 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:23 pm

Does look better organized at the moment than it did earlier.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by rb924119 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:42 pm

Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:46 pm

I have to say MANY of the Euro ensembles are mighty interesting for next week, some want to take it offshore of NJ and regenerate a little, the lowest I saw was 991mb and got to 988 as it moved towards cape.  We may get a TS like situation and almost all of the ensembles have ALOT of rain, some of them extreme like what sroc posted, Its too early to tell.  Some of them even keep her spinning until mid next week down south!!! Jesus some of the ensembles show 10-14 inches of rain in a strip from NJ across NYC into CT, not many but a few do. Many are 3-6.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:53 pm

rb924119 wrote:Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

Damn Ray You beat me to it. I wanted post that and give you kudos. Frictional forces, Convergence over land, lowering pressures...I remember Wink

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:55 pm

sroc4 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

Damn Ray  You beat me to it.  I wanted post that and give you kudos.  Frictional forces, Convergence over land, lowering pressures...I remember Wink
What the heck Ray, reel her in screw the blocking mechanism lol, lets have a total reversed cone shift, wouldnt that be something, NHC says WNW though.Just out of curiosity, what would have to happen in order for her to suddenly decide to track up the coast, I imagine many many things that wont happen but just curious what they would be. If its way to hard to or impossible to even decipher then forget it.
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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

Post by GreyBeard on Thu Sep 13, 2018 6:15 pm

When weatherwatchermom posted this link yesterday I said to myself "that flag ain"t gonna last too long..."
Check out the sound of that wind jman


https://explore.org/livecams/frying-pan/frying-pan-cam

Wonder if anyone booked this week affraid
37 miles off the Coast of Cape Fear, North Carolina is a former Coast Guard tower that has been transformed into a bed and breakfast called the Frying Pan Tower. Working with the B&B owner and non profit, Teens for Oceans, the underwater webcams observe the marine ecosystem where Sharks, Barracuda and even an occasional Octopus slither past.Spectacular vistas abound in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

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Re: MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

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