MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:32 am

http://www.ebmcdn.net/webcast/flash/bogue-inlet/live-iframe.html

current situation at Emerale Isle ...Bouge Inlet
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Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:46 am

Thanks for posting that link

Those waves look like fun!!

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Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 9:56 am

Wish we got this. Oh well

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 709563034_RAD_KMHX_N0R_ANI(1).gif.e4df57ef6716e3fb8b3c8503035d4f0a

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Post by SoulSingMG on Thu Sep 13, 2018 10:24 am

There needs to be another scale depicting overall ENERGY/THREAT from hurricanes. The saffir-simpson scale is misleading and I'm seeing a lot of sighs of relief on social media that "at least Florence is not a 4 anymore." It's BS. Her hurricane force winds spread much further from the center than say, Andrew, and her surge will be more devastating. Not to mention her stalling and the resulting epic freshwater flood.
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Post by Guest on Thu Sep 13, 2018 10:26 am

She looks like she’s stalled

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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 10:40 am

Dunnzoo wrote:Gfs has it going up Ohio River Valley to the great lakes, sparing us a lot of rain...
didn't euro handle Flo the best so far? If so I'm going with the euro also biased cuz it does a decent storm that actually intensifies a bit as it heads over heh. Last 2 runs have shown this.
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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 10:42 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:http://www.ebmcdn.net/webcast/flash/bogue-inlet/live-iframe.html

current situation at Emerale Isle ...Bouge Inlet
surfs up dude!! How long u think that betty stays? I wanna see it fall in its inevitable.
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Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Sep 13, 2018 11:46 am

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 FB_IMG_1536860952965.jpg.a017ad4a90441bd2e5ab569eae8e7358

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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:00 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 FB_IMG_1536860952965.jpg.a017ad4a90441bd2e5ab569eae8e7358
I see txt in reply but its not showing.
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MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 Empty Really

Post by CentralNJ on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:55 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 709563034_RAD_KMHX_N0R_ANI(1).gif.e4df57ef6716e3fb8b3c8503035d4f0a

What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

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Post by Guest on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:56 pm

CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 709563034_RAD_KMHX_N0R_ANI(1).gif.e4df57ef6716e3fb8b3c8503035d4f0a

What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank

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Post by CentralNJ on Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:57 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 709563034_RAD_KMHX_N0R_ANI(1).gif.e4df57ef6716e3fb8b3c8503035d4f0a

What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank

Because you're another fool. Taking GLEE in what will lead to terrible suffering. Wishing it was here.

Disgusting.

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Post by WOLVES1 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:06 pm

Been watching haven’t really chimed in for a while, but I get it Frank. The curiosity to experience it and the test to see how your knowledge and skills will fair in the middle of the storm.
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Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:14 pm

CentralNJ wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
CentralNJ wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wish we got this. Oh well

MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 709563034_RAD_KMHX_N0R_ANI(1).gif.e4df57ef6716e3fb8b3c8503035d4f0a

What a terrible and moronic statement to make.

Ho back to lurking. I agree with Frank

Because you're another fool.  Taking GLEE in what will lead to terrible suffering.  Wishing it was here.  

Disgusting.

Easy there.    No one is wishing for terrible suffering.  But for many on this board, myself included, there is the ultimate quandary of wanting to experience mother nature in all her power and beauty.  If you choose to cont this discussion please do so in the Banter thread and please do so with respect.  If you cont down the current path posts will be deleted.  

Please no one else respond to this in this thread.

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:52 pm

New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...
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Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...

Looks like almost stalled.  She is in the process of re-intensifying too.  


MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 GOES16-EUS-07-1000x1000
MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 GOES16-EUS-13-1000x1000

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS Trace (First snow Nov 12th)
November 12th = trace
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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:00 pm

Well lookie here we are in the cone of depression LOL, I hope the Euro is right and we can at least get some kind of storm out of this on Tuesday/Wed.

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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:01 pm

sroc4 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:New 5 ocklock report storm slowed down to 5 mph. Wow added hours of water pushing inland...

Looks like almost stalled.  She is in the process of re-intensifying too.  


MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 GOES16-EUS-07-1000x1000
MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE part 2: Will have historic impacts to the Carolina coastline and areas inland - Page 4 GOES16-EUS-13-1000x1000
I see that green trying to wrap around the center, uh oh, doesnt the storm start to get disrupted once any of the wind field goes over than though or just the center? I seem top remember hearing that it does.
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Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:08 pm

Any re-intensification will likely be short lived. Sitting essentially still she will quickly churn up the waters beneath her cooling the SST rapidly effectively reducing the fuel for the fire. Combine that with the dryer air mass over land wrapping into her. But the stall off the coast means it will decay slower than if she actually made a landfall.

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
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WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
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Post by billg315 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:23 pm

Does look better organized at the moment than it did earlier.
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Post by rb924119 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:42 pm

Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:46 pm

I have to say MANY of the Euro ensembles are mighty interesting for next week, some want to take it offshore of NJ and regenerate a little, the lowest I saw was 991mb and got to 988 as it moved towards cape.  We may get a TS like situation and almost all of the ensembles have ALOT of rain, some of them extreme like what sroc posted, Its too early to tell.  Some of them even keep her spinning until mid next week down south!!! Jesus some of the ensembles show 10-14 inches of rain in a strip from NJ across NYC into CT, not many but a few do. Many are 3-6.
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Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:53 pm

rb924119 wrote:Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

Damn Ray You beat me to it. I wanted post that and give you kudos. Frictional forces, Convergence over land, lowering pressures...I remember Wink

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS Trace (First snow Nov 12th)
November 12th = trace
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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:55 pm

sroc4 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Eye spy due northward progression Wink Wink Not that it's coming up here, but it gives me a chance for a couple of my ideas to have merit. We shall see. At work, so I cannot discuss deeply to what im referring, but basically my predicted landfall point as well as ideas I presented a couple days ago. Be back later!

Damn Ray  You beat me to it.  I wanted post that and give you kudos.  Frictional forces, Convergence over land, lowering pressures...I remember Wink
What the heck Ray, reel her in screw the blocking mechanism lol, lets have a total reversed cone shift, wouldnt that be something, NHC says WNW though.Just out of curiosity, what would have to happen in order for her to suddenly decide to track up the coast, I imagine many many things that wont happen but just curious what they would be. If its way to hard to or impossible to even decipher then forget it.
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Post by GreyBeard on Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:15 pm

When weatherwatchermom posted this link yesterday I said to myself "that flag ain"t gonna last too long..."
Check out the sound of that wind jman


https://explore.org/livecams/frying-pan/frying-pan-cam

Wonder if anyone booked this week affraid
37 miles off the Coast of Cape Fear, North Carolina is a former Coast Guard tower that has been transformed into a bed and breakfast called the Frying Pan Tower. Working with the B&B owner and non profit, Teens for Oceans, the underwater webcams observe the marine ecosystem where Sharks, Barracuda and even an occasional Octopus slither past.Spectacular vistas abound in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

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