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The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0

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Post by mikeypizano Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:43 am

You guys can tar and feather me, call me a warmist, or whatever you want. I am saying this now, and ON RECORD!

IF I DON'T SEE SNOW BY FEBRUARY 1, I WANT SPRING!

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Post by sroc4 Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:59 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Joe Bastardi in his latest video admitted his winter outlook, which called for 150% above normal snowfall, will bust. He does not see anything meaningful happening in the first 20 days of January. He said the winter can still be salvaged end of January through 1st half of March, but he sounds uncertain of it.

I am not subscribed to weatherbell but if anyone has additional insight I am curios to know.

Clearly many did not foresee the winter turning out the way it has so far.

JB straight up lost his mind in the video. Waving the white flag

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Post by heehaw453 Thu Jan 03, 2019 10:17 am

This winter will provide invaluable learning material for many of the LR folks. A very humbling demonstration of how incredibly complex weather prediction is. My hats go off to all that put the time in and continue to learn.

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Post by SENJsnowman Thu Jan 03, 2019 10:41 am

heehaw453 wrote:This winter will provide invaluable learning material for many of the LR folks.  A very humbling demonstration of how incredibly complex weather prediction is.  My hats go off to all that put the time in and continue to learn.  

Agree 100% heehaw.

What's happening up there? Is the atmosphere trying to tell us something? I sure hope not. Is there an emoji for a pouting 4 yr old covering his ears b/c he doesn't want to hear it?

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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Jan 03, 2019 11:03 am

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Joe Bastardi in his latest video admitted his winter outlook, which called for 150% above normal snowfall, will bust. He does not see anything meaningful happening in the first 20 days of January. He said the winter can still be salvaged end of January through 1st half of March, but he sounds uncertain of it.

I am not subscribed to weatherbell but if anyone has additional insight I am curios to know.

Clearly many did not foresee the winter turning out the way it has so far.

JB straight up lost his mind in the video.  Waving the white flag
Joe B the hype master throwing in the towel???!!! Screw this. I think I'll get a head start and open up the pool this weekend.
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Post by HectorO Thu Jan 03, 2019 7:27 pm

Looks like the alamanac will be right. Some people on here said something about it saying cold and snowy. Not sure which one they read, the one I read pretty much said, soggy and milder.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 04, 2019 4:50 am

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Joe Bastardi in his latest video admitted his winter outlook, which called for 150% above normal snowfall, will bust. He does not see anything meaningful happening in the first 20 days of January. He said the winter can still be salvaged end of January through 1st half of March, but he sounds uncertain of it.

I am not subscribed to weatherbell but if anyone has additional insight I am curios to know.

Clearly many did not foresee the winter turning out the way it has so far.

JB straight up lost his mind in the video.  Waving the white flag

LOL.Cue the classic line from Blue Oyster Cult....."history proves again and again how nature destroys the folly of men"! Back to the drawing board on these long range models.Mother Nature threw a s__t fit this winter and busted out the Long Range forecasts.
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Post by SENJsnowman Fri Jan 04, 2019 2:59 pm

Me reading the Long Range thread right now:  bananadude

What it's like when you long range guys start to show up one at a time for a jam session:

[img]The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0 - Page 8 Dfit6v[/img]


Last edited by SENJsnowman on Fri Jan 04, 2019 3:28 pm; edited 2 times in total

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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 04, 2019 3:03 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:Me reading the Long Range thread right now:  bananadude

What it's like when you long range guys start to show up one at a time for a jam session:

The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0 - Page 8 <img src=" />


lol!

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Radz Fri Jan 04, 2019 7:18 pm

A year ago today we had the "bomb cyclone", blizzard conditions... ended up with 7.75", was just a tad too far east, but made for great satellite images Smile
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Post by JackShephard Sat Jan 05, 2019 11:51 am

Anyone know how many weekends we have had rain in the past 6 months? I'm guessing it's a lot.
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Post by Vinnydula Sat Jan 05, 2019 12:14 pm

Another November day
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Post by HectorO Sun Jan 06, 2019 2:35 pm

JackShephard wrote:Anyone know how many weekends we have had rain in the past 6 months? I'm guessing it's a lot.

Rain in the past 6-7 months in general has been too much. I guess one thing is for sure, we don't have to worry about lack of moisture. Springtime there should be no issue with these trees blooming. As a matter of fact, if this current pattern continues oh, we're going to see a lot of trees and plants start to bloom early. Some people on this message board have already said that some of their trees are starting to produce bulbs.
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Post by Radz Sun Jan 06, 2019 6:42 pm

Snow drought is killing me. Blizzard of '96 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS6hD5nwi-I&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR3yzswioGXnBM1zHiwDtGzV_Psc2eLt8XBaIjdlYnPtyEexVcN_-jShOSw
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Post by Guest Sun Jan 06, 2019 7:26 pm

Radz wrote:Snow drought is killing me. Blizzard of '96 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS6hD5nwi-I&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR3yzswioGXnBM1zHiwDtGzV_Psc2eLt8XBaIjdlYnPtyEexVcN_-jShOSw

Jesus Christ. This got me so fired up. I watched the whole thing. Made me even more dry and angry at this winter than I have been to this point

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Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 06, 2019 7:32 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Radz wrote:Snow drought is killing me. Blizzard of '96 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS6hD5nwi-I&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR3yzswioGXnBM1zHiwDtGzV_Psc2eLt8XBaIjdlYnPtyEexVcN_-jShOSw

Jesus Christ. This got me so fired up. I watched the whole thing. Made me even more dry and angry at this winter than I have been to this point
omg i loved that year even though i was 12 years old i rember getting 28 inches of snow ,no school for 2 days and it was the best year ever after nyc almost getting 74 inches of snow for the winter season .thank you u for the video you put up now can we please get a blizzard already

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 06, 2019 9:56 pm

Happy birthday Janet Smile

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Post by Radz Sun Jan 06, 2019 10:34 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Radz wrote:Snow drought is killing me. Blizzard of '96 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS6hD5nwi-I&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR3yzswioGXnBM1zHiwDtGzV_Psc2eLt8XBaIjdlYnPtyEexVcN_-jShOSw

Jesus Christ. This got me so fired up. I watched the whole thing. Made me even more dry and angry at this winter than I have been to this point
Sorry syo, it was an awesome storm though, yet a week later it turned warm and rain coupled with the melting snow caused havoc. Lets hope for a role reversal this year...
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:33 am

Radz wrote:Snow drought is killing me. Blizzard of '96 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS6hD5nwi-I&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR3yzswioGXnBM1zHiwDtGzV_Psc2eLt8XBaIjdlYnPtyEexVcN_-jShOSw

Was the best birthday present ever!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:36 am

Happy birthday Janet

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 07, 2019 10:07 am

Happy Birthday Janet.
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 07, 2019 11:05 am

ZOO HAPPY BIG BIRTHDAY MY NJWO GOOMAD (?)!!

AND THIS FROM NWS BAASTAN:
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1082254874392358912

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 07, 2019 11:16 am

LOL 12Z GFS!

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Post by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 07, 2019 11:26 am

Thanks HeeHaw. First time posting a snow map...but too pretty not to!

[img]The PLAY PEN-- Banter Thread 4.0 - Page 8 2reielk[/img]

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Post by Grselig Mon Jan 07, 2019 2:55 pm

Referring to long term thread. Doc and CP. yes i agree. Getting invested emotionally is dangerous and i can’t avoid it. Roller coaster is happening again. We need something or there is going to be roof jumping. the indicators may seem in place but if no production it’s wasted.
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 07, 2019 3:03 pm

100% agree. I think we need 3-6" good faith snowfall from this winter pretty soon. KU's are awesome, but i'm at the point now where 3-6" will feel like a KU event.

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Post by essexcountypete Mon Jan 07, 2019 3:09 pm

HectorO wrote:
JackShephard wrote:Anyone know how many weekends we have had rain in the past 6 months? I'm guessing it's a lot.

Rain in the past 6-7 months in general has been too much. I guess one thing is for sure, we don't have to worry about lack of moisture. Springtime there should be no issue with these trees blooming. As a matter of fact, if this current pattern continues oh, we're going to see a lot of trees and plants start to bloom early. Some people on this message board have already said that some of their trees are starting to produce bulbs.

My daffodils are about an inch up out of the ground atm. That's not that uncommon, as they are in a sunny spot, but it's a sign alright.
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