JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT

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Post by rb924119 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:51 pm

DAYBLAZER wrote:So everyone at work was bothering me for a snow map (even though I am an extreme amateur at all this). But just to lighten the mood a little bit, here's what I made for them. Horrible scale, horrible drawing, and most likely going to bust. Feel free to laugh.

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Map10

That’s actualy a great map, especially considering recent runs

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Post by Guest on Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:52 pm

rb924119 wrote:
TheAresian wrote:If the board would prefer me keeping quiet this weekend, I'm happy to do so.  

I would personally ban you from this forum for a month if you did that. ABSOLUTELY NOT!!!! YOU POST ALL THE CELEBRATION YOU WANT SO WE CAN LIVE VICARIOUSLY THROUGH YOU!! You deserve this Smile

Normally I wouldn't have given it a second thought, but given how brutal this winter has been to all of us it just seemed.... I dunno.... inappropriate. As somebody who has been on the other side, I know how it feels to see others enjoying what you can't.

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Post by amugs on Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:58 pm

Uptons take on the SLEET & ICE
JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.27942f3359fe74571aff72dabbb5c349.png.pagespeed.ic.igsWewaoNg

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.4250ee2b80784d47bfb935f3742fb0f3.png.pagespeed.ic.kYpA9WE6MD

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.1f721fd8f8d9f52aad1b910003e576fe.png.pagespeed.ic.07vH1y4N9E

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.3d4fd278055e1d0778ca70c9372c6f91.png.pagespeed.ic.5wIs3BS489

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by hyde345 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:07 pm

TheAresian wrote:If the board would prefer me keeping quiet this weekend, I'm happy to do so.  

No way man. You have been left out in the cold too many times before. Hope you get buried.
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Post by DAYBLAZER on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:10 pm

rb924119 wrote:
DAYBLAZER wrote:So everyone at work was bothering me for a snow map (even though I am an extreme amateur at all this). But just to lighten the mood a little bit, here's what I made for them. Horrible scale, horrible drawing, and most likely going to bust. Feel free to laugh.

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Map10

That’s actualy a great map, especially considering recent runs

Hey thanks! My drawing and coloring skills leave a lot to be desired. But I appreciate the compliment.
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Post by rb924119 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:24 pm

Interestingly enough, SREF critical thicknesses keep NE PA, extreme NW NJ, and lower-mid-Hudson Valley seemingly cold enough for snow and MAINTAIN a mean surface low track off the Delmarva and about 40-50 miles east of coastal NJ. This is interesting for reasons already discussed.

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Post by Guest on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:29 pm

Looks like the 18z NAM has ticked north a little, at least through hr 51.

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Post by emokid51783 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:30 pm

I'm sure it's going to bounce up and down...really it's a waiting game. When are we in range of the HiRes?

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Post by Grselig on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:32 pm

According to the NWS updated forecast this is going to be a very messy accumulation of snow, ice and sleet for my area. Interesting times ahead.
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Post by frank 638 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:33 pm

I have a question do you think my area in the Bronx will get snow first then freezing rain to rain then back to snow

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Post by emokid51783 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:33 pm

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR JERSEY CITY?!

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Post by aiannone on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:33 pm


...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of up to
one tenth of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult at any point
during the storm. Rapidly falling temperatures Sunday afternoon
into the evening could cause any standing water to quickly
freeze over. Strong wind gusts Sunday afternoon into the night
could bring down tree limbs and power lines.
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Post by docstox12 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:36 pm

Latest NWS has me 6 to 10 inches with WSW.
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Post by mako460 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:37 pm

Hey Aresian, if we are all sitting down here watching the radar show that your house is slowly being swallowed up by FEET UPON FEET of newly fallen snow and we haven't seen nor heard from you, no gloating no nothing? There would only be one responsible thing for us to do.....Wellness Call! We will sacrifice our coatings to an inch or two and drive up and check on you. When we find you hanging out in the driveway watching it all unfold we determine you well and then we take all of your beer and booze and drink it all in front of you like we just graduated Animal House. Then we are going inside your nice warm house to watch you shovel!

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Post by Sanchize06 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:39 pm

NAM still not looking good

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Sn10_acc.us_ne

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Post by Guest on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:40 pm

If you're driving up here for all of my booze, you'll be wasting a trip. I passed 9 years clean and sober last October. I'll make sure to take pictures and share them with the group though.

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Post by billg315 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:42 pm

18z NAM not a good look for snow lovers. More in line with prior GFS runs in terms of accumulation.
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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:44 pm

amugs wrote:Uptons take on the SLEET & ICE
JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.27942f3359fe74571aff72dabbb5c349.png.pagespeed.ic.igsWewaoNg

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.4250ee2b80784d47bfb935f3742fb0f3.png.pagespeed.ic.kYpA9WE6MD

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.1f721fd8f8d9f52aad1b910003e576fe.png.pagespeed.ic.07vH1y4N9E

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Ximage.thumb.png.3d4fd278055e1d0778ca70c9372c6f91.png.pagespeed.ic.5wIs3BS489
yikes I am smack in the red! Wcs
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Post by heehaw453 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:46 pm

I’d be shocked if Worcester Massachusetts only got 4” as per NAM representation.

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Post by Guest on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:47 pm

Updated watch for my area: Snow still at 12-20" with winds gusting up to 35MPH. I'll be lucky to see to the end of the block if that happens.

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Post by docstox12 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:48 pm

aiannone wrote:
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
 accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of up to
 one tenth of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
 and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult at any point
 during the storm. Rapidly falling temperatures Sunday afternoon
 into the evening could cause any standing water to quickly
 freeze over. Strong wind gusts Sunday afternoon into the night
 could bring down tree limbs and power lines.

Hope Doc sees this he was ready for your area to get hardly anything!
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Post by jmanley32 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:50 pm

Winter storm watches just issued for everyone. Oddly for my area their ice statement doesn't match that map by them lol
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Post by docstox12 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:50 pm

TheAresian wrote:If you're driving up here for all of my booze, you'll be wasting a trip. I passed 9 years clean and sober last October. I'll make sure to take pictures and share them with the group though.

Congratulations Aresian that is a wonderful accomplishment! Looks like your the jackpot man on this one!!
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Post by docstox12 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:52 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:NAM still not looking good

JANUARY 19TH-20TH STORM THREAT - Page 20 Sn10_acc.us_ne

If this happens Frank was right on the money early in the week calling for a major interior snowstorm while the coast got little.Still lots of time and model runs to go though.
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Post by frank 638 on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:53 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Winter storm watches just issued for everyone. Oddly for my area their ice statement doesn't match that map by them lol
i know we are not to far from each other are we going to have more sleet then snow

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