January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Page 15 of 18 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16, 17, 18  Next

Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:26 pm

22.1 and heavy snow, 2.3 inches so far.

I've dropped over 8 degrees since the snow started. I'm not really sure what's happening.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:27 pm

33*and DE point at 33* heavy coating on ground. Was up in Nanuet and about 1" and snow.moderately.  any snow is good snow.
And to the question about which model handled it's best at this time I'd have to agree that the euro did the best. GFS was an absolute blow torch and a massive cutter up the App spine. That did not happen or is. Euro was west and then under even it's EPS ens had this first, went away and then came back.
NAM was the first to catch the warm push. It overdid it and then retracted.
IF we kept the EPO this would be a doozy of a storm for all period. Onto the next one.
CAD going to hold tough in Northern Rockland and Orange and Sullivan Counties from observations and 850 maps.
Enjoy.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 10172
Reputation : 155
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 49
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:31 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:22.1 and heavy snow, 2.3 inches so far.

I've dropped over 8 degrees since the snow started. I'm not really sure what's happening.
CAD, the drain from the HP moving east in right through your area into PA from NFSWX this map. Everyone hping the warmth of models and as SROC said CAD surprise's in store 


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 10172
Reputation : 155
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 49
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by 1190ftalt on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:31 pm

TheAresian wrote:This snow is going to have to explode from the sky if there's going to be a foot on the ground before the storm moves through. The NWS is saying there's going to be a period of 1-2"/hr and possibly as much as 3"/hr at some point, but I don't know if I'll be awake when or if it arrives.
Where is Painted Post NY ?

1190ftalt

Posts : 165
Reputation : 6
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Ft Lee, Stillwater, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:35 pm

amugs wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:22.1 and heavy snow, 2.3 inches so far.

I've dropped over 8 degrees since the snow started. I'm not really sure what's happening.
CAD, the drain from the HP moving east in right through your area into PA from NFSWX this map. Everyone hping the warmth of models and as SROC said CAD surprise's in store 


Thanks Mugs, but 8 degrees in three hours? I know it is a cold air mass but I don't think any models saw that tonight. Could use it at the 850 level but I guess that's not happening.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Guest on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:38 pm

1190ftalt wrote:
TheAresian wrote:This snow is going to have to explode from the sky if there's going to be a foot on the ground before the storm moves through. The NWS is saying there's going to be a period of 1-2"/hr and possibly as much as 3"/hr at some point, but I don't know if I'll be awake when or if it arrives.
Where is Painted Post NY ?

It's about 70 miles west of Binghamton.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:41 pm

I would caution those up north. I’m deep in South Jersey tonight and we went from 40* at 7 pm to 47* now. So the warm air is moving in. How far north it gets I don’t know, but it’s here.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 2667
Reputation : 144
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 45
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:48 pm

Moderate/heavy snow, 2.7 inches so far.

Down to 21.7 from 30 when the snow started.I didn't expect a drop at the surface like this, and I don't think any models did either. I'm hoping this doesn't set me up for an ice storm later tonight. I'd rather flip to rain.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:54 pm

TheAresian wrote:
1190ftalt wrote:
TheAresian wrote:This snow is going to have to explode from the sky if there's going to be a foot on the ground before the storm moves through. The NWS is saying there's going to be a period of 1-2"/hr and possibly as much as 3"/hr at some point, but I don't know if I'll be awake when or if it arrives.
Where is Painted Post NY ?

It's about 70 miles west of Binghamton.

I'm thinking that might be the 100th time I've seen that question asked on this forum. I believe I was one of the first ten to ask it.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 10:58 pm

For those still suggesting GFS was off on this, I’ll just say here is the current radar. 3/4 of NJ is raining (or warm enough for rain but dry) as is the immediate NYC. And it’s not even 11 pm yet. Temps in SNJ are already soaring into the upper 40s and will likely break 50 by dawn. So I’d still have to say the GFS was in my opinion, closest to what this storm really has turned out to be. GFS did have some snow at the outset for many areas, don’t forget that.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 2667
Reputation : 144
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 45
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Guest on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:02 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
TheAresian wrote:
1190ftalt wrote:
TheAresian wrote:This snow is going to have to explode from the sky if there's going to be a foot on the ground before the storm moves through. The NWS is saying there's going to be a period of 1-2"/hr and possibly as much as 3"/hr at some point, but I don't know if I'll be awake when or if it arrives.
Where is Painted Post NY ?

It's about 70 miles west of Binghamton.

I'm thinking that might be the 100th time I've seen that question asked on this forum. I believe I was one of the first ten to ask it.

If Corningware was still a big thing, I'd say Corning. However, the company has switched from housewares to Gorilla Glass so it doesn't mean as much anymore.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by aiannone on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:04 pm

My parents took this picture from my house on LI. Heavy coating, currently a snow/sleet mix. Temp is 32.6 and holding steady

aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3713
Reputation : 76
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by heehaw453 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:05 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Moderate/heavy snow, 2.7 inches so far.

Down to 21.7 from 30 when the snow started.I didn't expect a drop at the surface like this, and I don't think any models did either. I'm hoping this doesn't set me up for an ice storm later tonight. I'd rather flip to rain.

That is really bad. Your surface temperatures are primed for a bad ice storm. I don’t think mid levels will support snow much more than an hour or two and it’s going to take a long time for surface to rise. Hope for best.

heehaw453

Posts : 418
Reputation : 34
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:09 pm

I would agree CP. the projection of prolonged freezing rain for you looks very possible now.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 2667
Reputation : 144
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 45
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:11 pm

Snow has turned into sleet. 1 inch on my backyard deck table.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1574
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 52
Location : Nutley, new jersey

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:11 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Moderate/heavy snow, 2.7 inches so far.

Down to 21.7 from 30 when the snow started.I didn't expect a drop at the surface like this, and I don't think any models did either. I'm hoping this doesn't set me up for an ice storm later tonight. I'd rather flip to rain.

That is really bad. Your surface temperatures are primed for a bad ice storm.  I don’t think mid levels will support snow much more than an hour or two and it’s going to take a long time for surface to rise. Hope for best.

Thanks, I think I'm gonna need it. This is the scenario I was hoping would not come to fruition.

If the damn mid levels weren't projected to go so high I'd be happy,
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jimv45 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:20 pm

22 and moderate snow. Didn't expect it to get this cold, I think we are in for the dreaded ice CP.

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1021
Reputation : 30
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : dutchess county ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Fededle22 on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:36 pm

For a few hours there it looked nice. The change over has begun here. The sleet has mixed with snow. Accumulation of maybe 1/2 inch before conversion.
Fededle22
Fededle22

Posts : 132
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2013-03-08
Location : West Orange, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:37 pm

jimv45 wrote:22 and moderate snow. Didn't expect it to get this cold, I think we are in for the dreaded ice CP.

A little over 3 inches snow now Jim, and 21.7 and holding in moderate to occasionally heavy snow.

I wish there was some way those 850's didn't warm up tonight, but every model says it's coming. Most likely we're in for ice, the question is how much.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Jan 19, 2019 11:48 pm

about .5" snow, now windy with sleet and rain. Temp at 33.1°

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 3896
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 57
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by aiannone on Sun Jan 20, 2019 12:01 am

33.5 on LI. 28.7 In Binghamton.
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3713
Reputation : 76
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Radz on Sun Jan 20, 2019 12:16 am

snow mixing and changing to sleet after 2", temp 31.5°
Radz
Radz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 831
Reputation : 15
Join date : 2013-01-12
Location : Cortlandt Manor NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sun Jan 20, 2019 12:28 am

At my low for the evening of 21.2 and sleet now mixing with the snow. No you can't make it up.

4.0 inches so far and it will probably take a miracle now to make 5.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6190
Reputation : 203
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 57
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY - OTI Historical thread

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Guest on Sun Jan 20, 2019 12:29 am

It started snowing here about 1:45 Saturday afternoon and I don't think there's more than maybe 3" on the ground. The NWS is still calling for over a foot so there must be some absolutely monstrous bands heading through at some point.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by mako460 on Sun Jan 20, 2019 1:16 am

We are loading them up on the truck now Aresian. If we dont hit any traffic we will be there by dawn lol. Shall we start unloading in the driveway first?

mako460
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 346
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 52
Location : Gerritsen Beach Brooklyn

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 19th-20th: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 15 of 18 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16, 17, 18  Next

Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum