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Post by amugs on Thu Nov 28, 2019 10:39 am

Frank totally concur with the above.
Happy Thanksgiving to my NJ Strong Family. Let's all give thanks for what we havenon this day and for this wx board!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Grselig on Thu Nov 28, 2019 12:52 pm

Happy Thanksgiving to everybody!! Mugs, its a blessing to celebrate the coming winter with your insights!

Can I buy snow storm on Black Friday for cheap?
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Post by SENJsnowman on Thu Nov 28, 2019 7:44 pm

I hope everyone had a very special day today with your loved ones and I wanted to say thanks so much for all the updates...fun tracking already and it's not even December!

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Nov 28, 2019 8:36 pm

Hope everyone had a wonderful day with their family and friends!!
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Post by mwilli on Thu Nov 28, 2019 8:37 pm

happy Thanksgiving everybody......Tomorrow Prince 1999 arrives(Target)..5 cd set plus dvd,but the main event 25 unreleased tracks.....Westbury

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Post by heehaw453 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 7:41 am

That is some range. You are pretty much guaranteed to be right i would think.  

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Red Sox Suck/Norton MA
349 AM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

MAZ007-013>016-301700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WS.A.0006.191201T1600Z-191203T1200Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood,
Cambridge, Red Sox Suck, and Quincy
349 AM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to
 12
inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Suffolk and Southeast Middlesex
 Counties.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times. The
 hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
 commute Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

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Post by billg315 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 8:10 am

Lol. Might as well have said a coating to a foot. Laughing
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Post by docstox12 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 8:12 am

billg315 wrote:Lol. Might as well have said a coating to a foot. Laughing

lol! lol! lol!

Yep, that narrowed things down for sure!!!
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Post by Taffy on Sat Nov 30, 2019 9:18 am

I'm currently in Red Sox Suck and was supposed to head home Monday morning. The rush to get out of Dodge early is on and the MA Pike is already a mess. I'm going to stay right here in my MA apartment and enjoy my first really big storm since last year. The forecast is for 13" of snow and a little ice. I live right on the Red Sox Suck(!) Marathon starting line and the town common will be magical Sunday night.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Nov 30, 2019 9:35 am

Taffy wrote:I'm currently in Red Sox Suck and was supposed to head home Monday morning. The rush to get out of Dodge early is on and the MA Pike is already a mess. I'm going to stay right here in my MA apartment and enjoy my first really big storm since last year. The forecast is for 13" of snow and a little ice. I live right on the Red Sox Suck(!) Marathon starting line and the town common will be magical Sunday night.

According to the NWS you're getting 3 to 12 inches there. Pretty wide range they're giving but 13 seems a little high.

Let us know how it turns out.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Red Sox Suck/Norton MA
349 AM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

MAZ007-013>016-301700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WS.A.0006.191201T1600Z-191203T1200Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Foxborough, Norwood,
Cambridge, Red Sox Suck, and Quincy
349 AM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to
12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Suffolk and Southeast Middlesex
Counties.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times. The
hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
commute Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Nov 30, 2019 9:38 am

billg315 wrote:Lol. Might as well have said a coating to a foot. Laughing

Yeah really, talk about covering all bases. The only way their wrong is if they get no snow or 18 inches or above.
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Post by dkodgis on Sat Nov 30, 2019 9:45 am

Channel 7's snow map- 'tis naught, 'tis naught.

Really low accumulations. As CP provided, the NWS says more. This is like a wide end receiver catching and bobbling the ball. Everyone is seeing it differently.

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Post by Taffy on Sat Nov 30, 2019 9:53 am

The local stations are saying 9-13". I'm in Southern Middlesex County. It will be interesting. We went to a Watch at 9am. Upton is saying 8-13". I'm going to sit back and enjoy whatever I get.

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of 8 to 13 inches and ice accumulations of
around one tenth of an inch possible.

* WHERE...South central Massachusetts west to the Connecticut
River, as well as interior northeastern Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible at times.
The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
commute Monday.
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 10:31 am

I was so hopeful for this now per Frank I'll see a high end of 3 inches and I'm thinking it won't even stick so I'm done. Kudos to those that get their Godzilla. As others have said 1zt storm paints the rest of the WI get so I guess I'm not seeing squat this year. Back to work and not psying attention to or wasting time on this rain storm. I will see have school no doubt. Even in white plains where I work shows 1 to 3 which as it's too warm is 0.
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 10:32 am

I'm moving to VT 12 to 24.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Nov 30, 2019 10:44 am

jmanley32 wrote:I'm moving to VT 12 to 24.

You don't need to go that far, I'm 40 miles from you (more like 35 geographically) and getting a foot (hopefully though still doubting it). You just need a little elevation (I'm at 575 feet) and to get away from that UHI environment and ocean influence.

It will be interesting to see what Math gets up in Albany. I've seen maps forecasting 12-24 in that general area.

Also many of the snow maps have shown the northern half of Vermont getting 0.00
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 10:54 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:I'm moving to VT 12 to 24.

You don't need to go that far, I'm 40 miles from you (more like 35 geographically) and getting a foot (hopefully though still doubting it). You just need a little elevation (I'm at 575 feet) and to get away from that UHI environment and ocean influence.

It will be interesting to see what Math gets up in Albany. I've seen maps forecasting 12-24 in that general area.

Also many of the snow maps have shown the northern half of Vermont getting 0.00
well I'm still annoyed is no one taking i to account the 3km nam? Or did the 12z trend away from the 06z? I hate the build up granted u guys did say be careful about the coast but often I am just far enough away to get it good. We have kids in northern Westchester so if there is a good snow there the busses won't run. The busses have car seats these kids at 18 months to 3 yrs old they don't take any chances.
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Post by docstox12 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 10:58 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:I'm moving to VT 12 to 24.

You don't need to go that far, I'm 40 miles from you (more like 35 geographically) and getting a foot (hopefully though still doubting it). You just need a little elevation (I'm at 575 feet) and to get away from that UHI environment and ocean influence.

It will be interesting to see what Math gets up in Albany. I've seen maps forecasting 12-24 in that general area.

Also many of the snow maps have shown the northern half of Vermont getting 0.00

Jman, CP is 100% right.I lived in Mahwah NJ for 35 years , probably he best location in Bergen County, for snow, and after living 5 years in Monroe HV, there is no comparison.You easily double your snow totals on these storms that mix or change to rain on the coast.My Mahwah elevation was around 350 feet, I'm over 700 in Monroe.In 35 years in Mahwah, my highest total snowstorm was about 24 inches, and since I have been here in the LHV, there was a 27 incher a few years back.My wife has lived in Monroe 17 years and there was that one whack job snowstorm where Monroe got 36 inches and Mahwah barely 10.That's the one where it was raining in MA,LOL.
Anyhoo, I think our own Math 23x7 picked the perfect year to move to Albany.Looks like he is in the sweet spot for this.
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 11:04 am

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:I'm moving to VT 12 to 24.

You don't need to go that far, I'm 40 miles from you (more like 35 geographically) and getting a foot (hopefully though still doubting it). You just need a little elevation (I'm at 575 feet) and to get away from that UHI environment and ocean influence.

It will be interesting to see what Math gets up in Albany. I've seen maps forecasting 12-24 in that general area.

Also many of the snow maps have shown the northern half of Vermont getting 0.00

Jman, CP is 100% right.I lived in Mahwah NJ for 35 years , probably he best location in Bergen County, for snow, and after living 5 years in Monroe HV, there is no comparison.You easily double your snow totals on these storms that mix or change to rain on the coast.My Mahwah elevation was around 350 feet, I'm over 700 in Monroe.In 35 years in Mahwah, my highest total snowstorm was about 24 inches, and since I have been here in the LHV, there was a 27 incher a few years back.My wife has lived in Monroe 17 years and there was that one whack job snowstorm where Monroe got 36 inches and Mahwah barely 10.That's the one where it was raining in MA,LOL.
Anyhoo, I think our own Math 23x7 picked the perfect year to move to Albany.Looks like he is in the sweet spot for this.
I get all this but if I can squeeze 6 to 8 out of this even 4 to 6 I'll be happy. 1 to 3 is a dusting. Let's hope the placement for Monday changes which it could. I'm still getting our old friend syos frustration already lol in a maniacal sound.
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Post by Math23x7 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 12:38 pm

It's during times like this that I miss Tom (NjWeatherGuy). His last visit was in March 2018, meaning he was not on this board at all during the 2018-19 snow season. His insights were always very good.

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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Sat Nov 30, 2019 12:54 pm

Quick question for anyone who can help. My daughter has to drive back to Kutztown University. She doesn't want to drive back today. Also we would rather not have her driving back in the dark. So given those parameters, going from Flemington to Kutztown PA leaving no earlier than 6:45 AM and arriving no later than 5:45 in Kutztown, is there any point at which she will not run into frozen precip tomorrow during that time period?
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Post by billg315 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 1:03 pm

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:Quick question for anyone who can help. My daughter has to drive back to Kutztown University. She doesn't want to drive back today. Also we would rather not have her driving back in the dark. So given those parameters, going from Flemington to Kutztown PA leaving no earlier than 6:45 AM and arriving no later than 5:45 in Kutztown, is there any point at which she will not run into frozen precip tomorrow during that time period?

Ah the Golden Bears! Had some good times at Shorty’s visiting friends there back in the day.

So barring leaving today (which is the safest option) your best bet is probably late afternoon tomorrow. I think there may be a time after 3 or 4 pm where the route from Flemington to Kutztown is mainly just rain. Morning and early afternoon are likely snow/sleet/frz rain and after 6 pm the risk of going back to frozen precip increases.

It’s a narrow window but if you have to, 3:30-5:30 is your best bet.
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Post by billg315 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 1:07 pm

Also, if she leaves right at 6:45 she might beat it; I just worry it might start while en-route anytime after 8 am.
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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Sat Nov 30, 2019 1:28 pm

billg315 wrote:Also, if she leaves right at 6:45 she might beat it; I just worry it might start while en-route anytime after 8 am.

I thank you sir. I will keep a close eye on things and make a decision over the next few hours.
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Nov 30, 2019 3:28 pm

What do you guys think for traveling 95 CT coast tomorrow? What time should we leave its supposed be mainly rain correct?
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