May 2019 Observations and Discussion

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Post by jmanley32 on Tue May 28, 2019 8:59 pm

NYC under severe thunderstorm warning newark in path of storm in morris, funnel cloud has been spotted per news 4. I would not be surprised to see NYC ina tornado warning within the hour.
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue May 28, 2019 9:09 pm

jmanley32 wrote:NYC under severe thunderstorm warning newark in path of storm in morris, funnel cloud has been spotted per news 4. I would not be surprised to see NYC ina tornado warning within the hour.

Not sure you will get one in NYC. Staten Island in warning
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Post by frank 638 on Tue May 28, 2019 9:12 pm

Tornado warning has gone up
For lower Manhattan and Staten island .by me there is crazy lighting for about 10 minutes with light rain

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Post by jmanley32 on Tue May 28, 2019 9:42 pm

really frank no lightning here, so weird how so close yet so far. Does not look like my area will see anything, as per usual.
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Post by frank 638 on Tue May 28, 2019 9:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:really frank no lightning here, so weird how so close yet so far.  Does not look like my area will see anything, as per usual.
that's strange because we are not to far from each other before it was just lightning after lightning we didn't get that much rain I'm surprised they didn't even delay the Yankee game

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Tue May 28, 2019 10:34 pm

My nieces school might have been hit by a tornado.... Shocked
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed May 29, 2019 9:26 am

Updated 1300z discussion from SPC:

...Upper Ohio Valley/central Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic...
A convectively enhanced shortwave trough approaching Lake Erie this
morning will continue eastward and cross Pennsylvania and the
coastal Northeast this afternoon/early evening in conjunction with a
belt of strengthening mid-level winds (50-70 kt at 500 mb). As the
air mass steadily destabilizes and inhibition erodes by afternoon,
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensify as
early as midday across Pennsylvania, and subsequently spread
into/across adjacent parts of New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, and
northern Virginia.

With the air mass likely to become moderately unstable by afternoon,
storms will quickly intensify, organizationally aided by the
intensifying belt of strong westerly deep-layer flow across the
area. Large hail and damaging winds can be expected. Some tornado
risk may also exist, particularly across eastern Pennsylvania/New
Jersey southward toward the Delmarva vicinity, in relatively close
proximity to a surface low and adjacent warm front. A supercell risk
aside, at least loosely organized clusters/bands of
east/southeastward-moving storms should evolve across most of the
region, which carries with it the potential for a relatively
widespread wind risk to evolve as storms spread toward the I-95
corridor/coastal areas. 

Farther to the south/southwest, a bit removed from the strongest
westerlies aloft, a cluster of storms moving out of southern
Illinois/Indiana (and other preceding development) and others
crossing the Mississippi River could persist generally eastward
today across Kentucky/southern Ohio into West Virginia and
eventually western Virginia. A warm/unstable downstream environment
would support the potential for damaging winds within this regional
corridor.
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Post by Quietace on Wed May 29, 2019 12:25 pm

100 F yesterday. 99F the 4 prior days. Hot again today. Neutral Neutral

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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed May 29, 2019 12:28 pm

I think central New Jersey and Southern New Jersey and Philly are in a good spot for some severe storms later onMay 2019 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Cb26f410
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Post by dkodgis on Wed May 29, 2019 3:09 pm

3 pm and the sky is getting eerily darker. I expect it will blow pretty good. Last night AKA earlier this morning about 1:30 am it was pouring. Air is still. Not a leaf moving. You know it is coming, just not when but when it does come, I bet we will get our money's worth.
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Post by Grselig on Wed May 29, 2019 3:13 pm

Looking at the Acuweather radar, some pretty heavy stuff may come through. Cloudy with a slight breeze right now. Rooting for nice heavy and loud thunderstorms, but very much against tornados.
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Post by billg315 on Wed May 29, 2019 4:12 pm

Radar over PA and northern New Jersey is lit up like a Christmas Tree. Scattered storms out front and a more solid line of severe storms from the Susquehanna Valley in PA up to near Binghamton. A Tornado WARNING just issued for a cell near Flemington and Montgomery New Jersey.

Going to be an active evening folks. I think we will see a lot of reports of wind damage, flooding and power outages. Time frame is now until about 10 p.m.
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Post by billg315 on Wed May 29, 2019 4:23 pm

Not looking good folks. And this only captures part of the line back in Central PA.
May 2019 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 2157b010
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Post by billg315 on Wed May 29, 2019 5:26 pm

First of a couple potent lines coming through here now. Very heavy rain, lots of thunder. Winds are gusty but not crazy . . . At least so far. Looking at radar this will go on for quite some time here as subsequent lines sweep in.
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed May 29, 2019 6:19 pm

storms are starting to hit
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed May 29, 2019 6:36 pm

Like I said earlier CNJ in a good spot for severe storms here we go
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Post by frank 638 on Wed May 29, 2019 7:18 pm

Not as bad as yesterday by me . At 5:30 it got really dark it poured for maybe 20 minutes with some lightning and thunder no wind no hell nothing crazy now it's moderate rain . I just hope everyone is doing okay

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Post by Grselig on Wed May 29, 2019 7:48 pm

Heavy rain and some lightning. Nothing memorable. But it looks like it hit worse in southern NJ. Hope nothing serious.
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Post by Dunnzoo on Wed May 29, 2019 8:25 pm

.11" of rain yesterday, .84" of rain today. No wind, a few rumbles of thunder and that's it.

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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
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Post by dkodgis on Thu May 30, 2019 6:37 am

Yes, it was one of those times yesterday for me that it rumbled but little rain and no win. It was all cackle and no eggs. This lovely morning, 57 and overcast. I see more rain in the forecast.

Seattle ain't got nothing on us regarding rain.
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Post by frank 638 on Thu May 30, 2019 8:22 pm

For the past 2 hours it has been pouring rain Non-Stop I probably received an inch or more of rain

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Post by Dunnzoo on Thu May 30, 2019 9:32 pm

Got 1.06" so far with more coming in later...

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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
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Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
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Post by frank 638 on Thu May 30, 2019 9:37 pm

I know this has to be a mistake next Thursday news 12 traffic and weather has my area for tstorms with a high of 78 and a low of 35 deg

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