November 2019 Observations and Discussion

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Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Nov 25, 2019 12:55 pm

amugs wrote:The winds for Turkey Day may ground the balloons.
Keep an eye on the Sunday/Monday time frame for possible frozen precip again N&W of the city. Very interesting set up for sure

Or they better have strong gripping them.

November 2019 Observations and Discussion - Page 6 Gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_13

850mb winds backed off slightly from 2 days ago but still gusts over 40mph possible.

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Nov 25, 2019 2:59 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
amugs wrote:The winds for Turkey Day may ground the balloons.
Keep an eye on the Sunday/Monday time frame for possible frozen precip again N&W of the city. Very interesting set up for sure

Or they better have strong gripping them.

November 2019 Observations and Discussion - Page 6 Gfs_mslp_uv850_neus_13

850mb winds backed off slightly from 2 days ago but still gusts over 40mph possible.
the nam is higher than gfs so is euro. We will see but ya pretty sure no balloons.
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Post by amugs on Mon Nov 25, 2019 4:25 pm

The threshold for them flying is 22 mph sustained winds and 33 mph gusts.
They are at this level on the models.
The balloons won't fly but will be walked from what I have read just above the ground.

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Post by dkodgis on Tue Nov 26, 2019 7:37 pm

It was close to 60 today. A glorious day in the sun. For those who had to work and be indoors...I drink a beer now in your honor
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Post by jmanley32 on Tue Nov 26, 2019 9:41 pm

3km NAM coming in stronger with the winds starting tomorrow through most of thursday (thats a long wind period!), I see a advisory if not a HWW, more likely advisory criteria though.


November 2019 Observations and Discussion - Page 6 Nam3km14
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Post by Dunnzoo on Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:36 pm

Temp at 56° and thunder! Not much rain here though, but in the neighborhood. 😂⛈

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Post by jmanley32 on Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:52 pm

The winds just kicked in here. Was calm now very gusty.
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Post by dkodgis on Wed Nov 27, 2019 4:02 pm

No rain here. No wind. Nice day. I expect winds will arrive overnight
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Post by frank 638 on Wed Nov 27, 2019 5:06 pm

It’s just started to rain 🌧 . So far the winds are calm

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Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Nov 28, 2019 8:23 am

Winds are howling. I don’t think they’re flying the balloons today in the parade?

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Post by frank 638 on Thu Nov 28, 2019 8:47 am

I just want to wish everyone a happy healthy thanksgiving to you and your family

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Post by Dunnzoo on Thu Nov 28, 2019 9:04 am

Looks like they are going to go with the balloons, but they can stop them at any time along the route if they have to. I'm sure they will be flying quite low.

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Post by sroc4 on Thu Nov 28, 2019 9:11 am

frank 638 wrote:I just want to wish everyone a happy healthy thanksgiving to you and your family

Happy Thanksgiving to you as well Frank and to all on the board. Could be a headline in the making by flying the balloons. Off to a turkey bowl. Enjoy all!

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Post by Dunnzoo on Thu Nov 28, 2019 10:07 am

Well, just as forecasted, winds increased quite a bit at 10 am. Not sure how much longer they are going to be able to manage the balloons!

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Post by dkodgis on Thu Nov 28, 2019 11:04 pm

The wind truly howled. About 30-35 mph during the day, with some heavy gusts upward to 50ish. Trees bent to the 10 o'clock position for extended periods of time. i was surprised at the intensity.
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