November 2019 Observations and Discussion
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
21.2° this morning, thought i'd be lower- not as cold as Saturday morning's 19.4°...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Radz wrote:21.2° this morning, thought i'd be lower- not as cold as Saturday morning's 19.4°...
Same here.
16.2° Saturday morning the 9th, and 17.0° this morning. Not quite as bad (or good depending on how you view things) as originally advertised.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Morning low of 22*so cold
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
19.6* in Hillsdale

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
21* this morning in Hazlet....dogs moved fast to complete their business this morning!!

weatherwatchermom- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Add another record this morning for NYC, Central Park to be exact. They hit 23 breaking the old record of 24 for the date.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
19 for me this morning. Not too shabby for November. Have to have patience for the white gold though. Missed out on any accumulations yesterday.
heehaw453- Posts : 504
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
18.1° this morning's low...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
24* low this morning
weatherwatchermom- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
20* for me.




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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
IF the ICON evolution is right at H5 for early next week, that’s a SECS north and west of I-95. I’ve seen this setup before, and it’s a very sneaky setup for models to try to pick up on. You get such a potent shortwave tilting that negative with cold air around, you backbuild the precip shield for several hours before it moves out, and you quickly attain dendritic growth with such strong ascent on the heels of low-level cold advection (this could also lead to enhanced banding via CSI, though I’d really need to dig in to confirm this). Additionally, with the low-levels likely between 0 and -5°C, you would have aggregate flakes. Gotta see what other modeling does with that vort, so far the NAM is nowhere near as enthused. I’d also like a chance to try to analyze this event more but I’m probably not gonna get it
just know that if the 00z ICON is right, this is a SECS north and west of I-95. I’ll post more if I can.

rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
EURO followed ICON, GFS and GEM are somewhere in the middle for early next week lol The pattern through Day 15 continues to excite me, I won’t even lie. Watching a potential threat period 22nd-25th, though I am not ready to sound the alarm yet for lack time to sit down and analyze deeply.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
UKMET for early next week looks like EURO/ICON. Warm verbatim, but I don’t think it would end up that way.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Thanks for posting it's been so boring! Need some type of hoperb924119 wrote:EURO followed ICON, GFS and GEM are somewhere in the middle for early next week lol The pattern through Day 15 continues to excite me, I won’t even lie. Watching a potential threat period 22nd-25th, though I am not ready to sound the alarm yet for lack time to sit down and analyze deeply.

weatherwatchermom- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
29.3°, wind chill 19° ... Coastal storms and below normal temps, i hope the theme continues for the next few months, odds are timing will be right at some point...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Looks like this coastal storm will have some significant impacts along the Jersey Shore with 50 mph gusts and coastal flooding tomorrow.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Put at PSU , Penn State, 18-21 wind chill all day here. Brrrr. Watched the game and tailgat2d before and after, lots of hot cocoa and homemade baileys!!!
Coastal sneaking up and ice amount in NW NJ are .10 to .20.
Coastal sneaking up and ice amount in NW NJ are .10 to .20.
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
18z EURO WITH MY SECS TO START NEXT WEEK!!! LETS GOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Joins the rest of the 18z suite and the UK. Now, let’s repeat this at 00z.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
amugs wrote:Put at PSU , Penn State, 18-21 wind chill all day here. Brrrr. Watched the game and tailgat2d before and after, lots of hot cocoa and homemade baileys!!!
Coastal sneaking up and ice amount in NW NJ are .10 to .20.
Good win today. Closer than I hoped but still a W which is a nice bounceback from last week.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Currently snow flurries in Manorville, Long Island
dsix85- Posts : 190
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
Love when we take advantage of that small body of water to our north!
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion



_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2019 Observations and Discussion
WWUS41 KOKX 172112
WSWOKX
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019
NJZ002-NYZ067-180915-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0012.191118T0800Z-191118T1500Z/
Western Passaic-Orange-
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze.
* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York,
Orange County.
* WHEN...From 3 AM to 10 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are
possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible
power outages.
Check local Department of Transportation information services for
the latest road conditions.
WSWOKX
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019
NJZ002-NYZ067-180915-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0012.191118T0800Z-191118T1500Z/
Western Passaic-Orange-
412 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze.
* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York,
Orange County.
* WHEN...From 3 AM to 10 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are
possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible
power outages.
Check local Department of Transportation information services for
the latest road conditions.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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