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Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:30 am

Frank why do you think only NJ will see affects per your scroll, storm is go make landfall right near NYC, I would think strongest winds would be in that area, however does look like rainfall is going to be highest in jersey, though we havent seen the northern or southern extent of rain and if it shifts east at all. The NWS is forecasting winds in excess of 50-60mph here too potentially.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:33 am

Judging from what HH are finding north of the center I think much of the stronger winds will be ahead of the northward movement and west.

https://tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF307-0306A-FAY.png

Found another pressure drop to 998mb
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:41 am

Wow the northern part of this storm is really packing the winds, looks like im gonna get hit pretty hard.  Anyone in the path of that recent pass by HH. Getting increasingly gusty here just showers now, the humidity is abismal, had succumb to the AC.

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 Recon_12
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:21 pm

There is a clear dry air intrusion in the mid levels due to the air coming in from over the land. To be honest this has less trop characteristics and more of a nor easter IMO. Neg tilted 500mb trough interacting

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 Goes16_vis-swir_06L_202007101412_lat37.6-lon285.3

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 500mb

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:34 pm

@sroc4 wrote:There is a clear dry air intrusion in the mid levels due to the air coming in from over the land.  To be honest this has less trop characteristics and more of a nor easter IMO.  Neg tilted 500mb trough interacting

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 Goes16_vis-swir_06L_202007101412_lat37.6-lon285.3

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 500mb
Might that be why she was able to maintain to 60mph? Being hybrid?
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:51 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey g u us is this getting stronger gear than they said 40 mph from east we are ok..but 60 scares me we are in a marinas in assigning...tied up really well.

Be safe Joanne! They are still predicting the winds to be around 40 mph. Since you are on the east side of the river you may be protected from the more severe winds with the elevation to your east. If you were on the west side of the river I'd be concerned, you would be more exposed to the winds. Please keep us posted!

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:52 pm

Yeah looks like I may not see much rain from this, its all to the west, likely due to that air intrusion. Looking like a dud for NJ/NY border east possibly. Won't escape at least some wind and intermittant showers but this is almost exactly like Sandy in terms of rain placement, i saw almost no rain in Sandy.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:53 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey g u us is this getting stronger gear than they said 40 mph from east we are ok..but 60 scares me we are in a marinas in assigning...tied up really well.

Be safe Joanne! They are still predicting the winds to be around 40 mph. Since you are on the east side of the river you may be protected from the more severe winds with the elevation to your east. If you were on the west side of the river I'd be concerned, you would be more exposed to the winds. Please keep us posted!
Where can you be on the east side of the hudson and be in NJ? Or are you talking about a different river?
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:02 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Dunnzoo wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey g u us is this getting stronger gear than they said 40 mph from east we are ok..but 60 scares me we are in a marinas in assigning...tied up really well.

Be safe Joanne! They are still predicting the winds to be around 40 mph. Since you are on the east side of the river you may be protected from the more severe winds with the elevation to your east. If you were on the west side of the river I'd be concerned, you would be more exposed to the winds. Please keep us posted!
Where can you be on the east side of the hudson and be in NJ? Or are you talking about a different river?

She is on her boat tied up in Ossining, not in NJ

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:03 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey g u us is this getting stronger gear than they said 40 mph from east we are ok..but 60 scares me we are in a marinas in assigning...tied up really well.

Be safe Joanne! They are still predicting the winds to be around 40 mph. Since you are on the east side of the river you may be protected from the more severe winds with the elevation to your east. If you were on the west side of the river I'd be concerned, you would be more exposed to the winds. Please keep us posted!
thanks that is exactly what my husband said.about why he chose Ossining...lol I will keep you posted...right now no real winds cool temp and it start d raining about half an hour ago....you stay safe too..
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Post by dkodgis Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:38 pm

Any radar updates?
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Post by essexcountypete Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:41 pm

Wow, NNJ about to get its doors blown off.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:46 pm

@essexcountypete wrote:Wow, NNJ about to get its doors blown off.
2pm still 60mph storm. Winds not into the area yet explains why I'm not see much wind yet. It just started pouring.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:49 pm

Outer TS force winds just south of long Island and moving up into central northern nj. Winds just started kick up a bit with this band heavy rain. Latest nhc image update still has center down by Atlantic City long ways to go for us up in NYC area.
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Post by phil155 Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:52 pm

In Edison the winds here have been light but the rain has been very heavy for the past 90 or so minutes but seems to be easing up a bit

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:03 pm

Loud boom of thunder and pouring here now.
Flood panels are up on the stores in teh flood prone areas in town, DPW have moved all trucks out of the yard and equipment they raised up off the floor.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:05 pm

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/northeast_loop.php

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:06 pm

http://meteocentre.com/radar/mosaic_cmc/ref_qc.9.gif?t=1594404369

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:06 pm

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

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Post by docstox12 Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:15 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

WOW!
Please send your sister back in January when its 25 degrees!
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:23 pm

You guys think more rain will blossom into nyc atea or did we escape majority of rain? We are having intermittent light gusts of wind but I'm not expect much till center gets much closer.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:24 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

WOW!
Please send your sister back in January when its 25 degrees!

Send her 150 miles east. This would devastate us if it were Jan as it would be cold rain for all. Look at that SE fetch

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
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Post by phil155 Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:34 pm

skies are brightening up a good bit here in Edison, rain was rather heavy a short while ago

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 10, 2020 2:45 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

WOW!
Please send your sister back in January when its 25 degrees!

Send her 150 miles east.  This would devastate us if it were Jan as it would be cold rain for all.  Look at that SE fetch
I didn't see thst clearly b4 looks like it'll be I termittant soaking. Just stopped after crazy half hour downpour. Winds still pretty light. No I'm not expect anything crazy but gusts 40 to 50mph I would think should happen at some pt. Maybe locally highest 60mph.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jul 10, 2020 3:09 pm

74 degrees.Got the heavy rain but no wind yet.Thinking winds pick up when the center passes by me.
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