Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
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35 posters
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Well rb I thought that they had decided after only issuing high wind warnings instead of hurricane warnings with Sandy they changed the issuance criteria to if the same impacts were to be felt then they would issue hurricane warnings to make people notice and prepare more. I know this is true, we all discussed it at one point. Maybe my point wasn't written correctly, but reread your comment and now i understand, and I never know Sandy was not a hybrid and was indeed tropical.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Join date : 2013-12-12
Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Oh boy 12z Euro!!! We may be watching something on the EC next week. GFS says gulf not strong. Who knows at this point but 98L has a high probability of development, I usually side with Euro on tropics but GFS did really well with Isiais.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Wave train won't woot!! From JB tweet
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1295716207388233728?s=19
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1295716207388233728?s=19
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
We are in Seaside Park until the 28th. We have had these crazy rain storms, luckily nothing severe here, but glad the heat is gone! We'll be getting out of here before that storm heads this way if it makes the turn...
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Well thats not good, looks like Andrew. I won't get concerned yet as there are many players on field Levi from TT explained 98 has several spins and until they eithe consolidate or one becomes primary circulation models will struggle greatly. But it is slightly concerning to see this as HMON and HWRF did great with ISiais. Thats 7 days out, FL needs to start to keep watch, possibly the EC though I do not think we would likely have the same kind of set up we had with the last one.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
so this likely wouldnt be a east coast threat other than florida?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
I have not had time to follow this closely, but VERBATIM I would largely discount the northern half of these ensemble members purely from a historical perspective. IF 98L would be able to organize into a hurricane, its probability of landfalling in that portion of the eastern coast of Florida goes down SUBSTANTIALLY when approaching from the southeastern quadrant. IMO, it would either skirt east like Isaias or bend back to west and shoot the gap between Florida and Cuba. How much interaction it would have with land in the second option would be another question, and keep in mind this is only my opinion of the above spaghettis verbatim with no context lol just wanted to provide some food for thought haha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Edit: if it stays weak (I.e. a tropical storm or less), then it would be much more likely that it could actually landfall in southeastern Florida, as the meso-scale dynamics would be too weak to have any substantial steering influence.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Poor FL catches hell all the time
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Doc, let’s rent a ship and steer into the storms...
And sing ...
Come all ye young fellows that follow the sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And pray pay attention and listen to me
Give me some time to blow the man down
I'm a deep water sailor just in from Hong Kong
To me weigh hey blow the man down
If you'll give me some rum I'll sing you a song
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'was on a Black Baller I first spent my time
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And on that Black Baller I wasted my prime
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller's preparing for sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
You'd split your sides laughing at the sights that you see
Give me some time to blow the man down
With the tinkers and tailors and soldiers and all
To me weigh hey blow the man down
That ship for prime seamen onboard a Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller is clear of the land
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Our boatswain then gives us the word of command
Give me some time to blow the man down
Lay aft is the cry to the break of the poop
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Or I'll help you along with the toe of my boot
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is larboard and starboard on the deck you will sprawl
To me weigh hey blow the man down
For Kicking Jack Williams commands the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Aye first it's a fist and then it's a pall
To me weigh hey blow the man down
When you ship as a sailor aboard the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Blow the man down blow the man down
Give me some time to blow the man down
And sing ...
Come all ye young fellows that follow the sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And pray pay attention and listen to me
Give me some time to blow the man down
I'm a deep water sailor just in from Hong Kong
To me weigh hey blow the man down
If you'll give me some rum I'll sing you a song
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'was on a Black Baller I first spent my time
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And on that Black Baller I wasted my prime
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller's preparing for sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
You'd split your sides laughing at the sights that you see
Give me some time to blow the man down
With the tinkers and tailors and soldiers and all
To me weigh hey blow the man down
That ship for prime seamen onboard a Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller is clear of the land
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Our boatswain then gives us the word of command
Give me some time to blow the man down
Lay aft is the cry to the break of the poop
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Or I'll help you along with the toe of my boot
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is larboard and starboard on the deck you will sprawl
To me weigh hey blow the man down
For Kicking Jack Williams commands the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Aye first it's a fist and then it's a pall
To me weigh hey blow the man down
When you ship as a sailor aboard the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Blow the man down blow the man down
Give me some time to blow the man down
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Join date : 2013-12-29
Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
dkodgis wrote:Doc, let’s rent a ship and steer into the storms...
And sing ...
Come all ye young fellows that follow the sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And pray pay attention and listen to me
Give me some time to blow the man down
I'm a deep water sailor just in from Hong Kong
To me weigh hey blow the man down
If you'll give me some rum I'll sing you a song
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'was on a Black Baller I first spent my time
To me weigh hey blow the man down
And on that Black Baller I wasted my prime
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller's preparing for sea
To me weigh hey blow the man down
You'd split your sides laughing at the sights that you see
Give me some time to blow the man down
With the tinkers and tailors and soldiers and all
To me weigh hey blow the man down
That ship for prime seamen onboard a Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is when a Black Baller is clear of the land
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Our boatswain then gives us the word of command
Give me some time to blow the man down
Lay aft is the cry to the break of the poop
To me weigh hey blow the man down
Or I'll help you along with the toe of my boot
Give me some time to blow the man down
T'is larboard and starboard on the deck you will sprawl
To me weigh hey blow the man down
For Kicking Jack Williams commands the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Aye first it's a fist and then it's a pall
To me weigh hey blow the man down
When you ship as a sailor aboard the Black Ball
Give me some time to blow the man down
Blow the man down blow the man down
Give me some time to blow the man down
LOVE it Damian.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
On a very serious note, God help New Orleans this Tues and Thurs when two hurricanes hit. I am reading both will be on New Orleans like white on rice. I hope this is wrong
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Join date : 2013-12-29
Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Marco at this juncture is set to hey jest west of NO putting it on the eastern side of the eye. He is a hcane and they are gonna get it good.
Laura looks to have shifted west with the new. One and NO is not in the cone anymore.
Marco
MARCO BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. GULF COAST...
11:30 AM CDT Sun Aug 23
Location: 25.0°N 87.4°W
Moving: NNW at 14 mph
Min pressure: 992 mb
Winds :75 mph
Laura looks to have shifted west with the new. One and NO is not in the cone anymore.
Marco
MARCO BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. GULF COAST...
11:30 AM CDT Sun Aug 23
Location: 25.0°N 87.4°W
Moving: NNW at 14 mph
Min pressure: 992 mb
Winds :75 mph
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Join date : 2013-01-07
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Yeah um mugs try cat 5++ on 3km NAM, mog, 889mb!! Thank goodness its at end range but if this were to happen god help them all. There won't be enough funds for FEMA to respond either as they are using that for unemployment, and though I am greatful to have the extra unemployment I did not realize they were draining FEMA funding to do so, I hear there will be a tiny bit of funding left for any disasters, real smart place to take the money from.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
Cone did a shift east of about 50 miles
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15088
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15088
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
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