Re: February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:52 pm

Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:52 pm

Here it is PEEPS - ALL JUICED UP AND READY TO ROLL!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 278087133_RAD_MOS_NAT_8KM_L2NCR2_ANI(2).gif.e01cd8088df1336e154e3d785231b009

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 278087133_RAD_MOS_NAT_8KM_L2NCR2_ANI(2).gif.e01cd8088df1336e154e3d785231b009

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:54 pm

Oh not that it matters but they added 1 to 3 on Tues so it's 10 to 19 now. That's a huge spread thpugh.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:58 pm

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 EtAGkyIW4AIw2C2?format=png&name=small

CAN YOU SAY BLASTED INTO NEXT WINTER!!! AND IT SITS FOR HOURS!

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:01 pm

Ignore Kuchura

If I posted one it was a mistake

They are wrong

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:02 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo

Jman you have to get this numbers thing fixed.

Just checked TWC app for Yonkers, 1-3 sunday night, 5-8 monday, 3-5 monday night 1-3 Tuesday equal 10-19 inches.

I'll be down there Wednesday morning to measure for you.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:02 pm

@amugs wrote:

gusts will easily mix down to about 50 to 55 in that strip. Maybe higher on LI. This go be Cray cray

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:03 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo

Jman you have to get this numbers thing fixed.

Just checked TWC app for Yonkers, 1-3 sunday night, 5-8 monday, 3-5 monday night 1-3 Tuesday equal 10-19 inches.

I'll be down there Wednesday morning to measure for you.

if you look I just corrected myself above. Did not see the update.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Ignore Kuchura

If I posted one it was a mistake

They are wrong

suurrreee I saw it I was surprised. Lol we all know that. Isn't it go be a pretty wet snow? Bad news with high winds.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:09 pm

@amugs wrote:
CAN YOU SAY BLASTED INTO NEXT WINTER!!! AND IT SITS FOR HOURS!

Thank goodness every fall and spring I check batteries in all our flashlights...

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:11 pm

18 Z NAM Rolling

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_34

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:13 pm

Here it comes PEEPS
4AM
February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 Image.png.cb4c201a66d10f6baedaaf001d2106ed

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:14 pm

by **heehaw453** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:15 pm

What i continue to notice is a lot more front end WAA snow with the ULL. That definitely is a big change from 2 days ago where very little was expected from that and now maybe 4 or 5" from that alone.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:15 pm

WAA overrunning is much stronger on this run about 4" - 6" on the ground by about 6AM

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:16 pm

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:17 pm

NAM is about to EXPLODE THE COASTAL !!! PNA SPIKED a bit more and the COFLUENCE is pressing the ridge a tad west

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:18 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Waa?

Warm AIR Advection - warm air overrides the cold air and produces snow -ALL classic storms have this and they are here before the main storm takes over which can lead to higher snowfall amounts

by MattyICE Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:18 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Waa?

Warm air advection/overrunning

by **rb924119** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:19 pm

Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:20 pm

COMMA HEAD MUCH??

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 4063D193-E936-430B-A4B6-ED9C0C466509.png.a024aab481c5020a5beff0358aaf720c

by dsix85 Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:21 pm

Definitely going to see thundersnow out of this beast.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:21 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:22 pm

THIS IS WORTH $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 500hv.conus

by **billg315** Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:22 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.

rb, if you are wrong (and I say IF because still 24 hours to go and you rarely are wrong) this will be one time for sure I'm glad you are. lol

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