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February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:52 pm

Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:52 pm

Here it is PEEPS - ALL JUICED UP AND READY TO ROLL!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 278087133_RAD_MOS_NAT_8KM_L2NCR2_ANI(2).gif.e01cd8088df1336e154e3d785231b009

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:54 pm

Oh not that it matters but they added 1 to 3 on Tues so it's 10 to 19 now. That's a huge spread thpugh.
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:58 pm

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 EtAGkyIW4AIw2C2?format=png&name=small
CAN YOU SAY BLASTED INTO NEXT WINTER!!! AND IT SITS FOR HOURS!


Last edited by amugs on Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:02 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:01 pm

Ignore Kuchura

If I posted one it was a mistake

They are wrong

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:02 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo

Jman you have to get this numbers thing fixed.

Just checked TWC app for Yonkers, 1-3 sunday night, 5-8 monday, 3-5 monday night 1-3 Tuesday equal 10-19 inches.

I'll be down there Wednesday morning to measure for you.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:02 pm

@amugs wrote:February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 EtAGkyIW4AIw2C2?format=png&name=small
gusts will easily mix down to about 50 to 55 in that strip. Maybe higher on LI. This go be Cray cray
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:03 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Cp you may not have a wsw but Irish and you both have much higher twc totals than here. So I guess theres that forcefield for no snow in yo

Jman you have to get this numbers thing fixed.

Just checked TWC app for Yonkers, 1-3 sunday night, 5-8 monday, 3-5 monday night 1-3 Tuesday equal 10-19 inches.

I'll be down there Wednesday morning to measure for you.

if you look I just corrected myself above. Did not see the update.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Ignore Kuchura

If I posted one it was a mistake

They are wrong
suurrreee I saw it I was surprised. Lol we all know that. Isn't it go be a pretty wet snow? Bad news with high winds.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:09 pm

@amugs wrote:February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 EtAGkyIW4AIw2C2?format=png&name=small
CAN YOU SAY BLASTED INTO NEXT WINTER!!! AND IT SITS FOR HOURS!

Thank goodness every fall and spring I check batteries in all our flashlights...
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:11 pm

18 Z NAM Rolling

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_34

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:13 pm

Here it comes PEEPS
4AM
February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 Image.png.cb4c201a66d10f6baedaaf001d2106ed

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:14 pm

7AM
February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 Nam-218-all-ma-instant_ptype-2180800.png.7ba595b479dae4a81eed92c50e222638

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Post by heehaw453 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:15 pm

What i continue to notice is a lot more front end WAA snow with the ULL. That definitely is a big change from 2 days ago where very little was expected from that and now maybe 4 or 5" from that alone.

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:15 pm

WAA overrunning is much stronger on this run about 4" - 6" on the ground by about 6AM

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:16 pm

Waa?
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:17 pm

NAM is about to EXPLODE THE COASTAL !!! PNA SPIKED a bit more and the COFLUENCE is pressing the ridge a tad west

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:18 pm


Warm AIR Advection - warm air overrides the cold air and produces snow -ALL classic storms have this and they are here before the main storm takes over which can lead to higher snowfall amounts

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Post by MattyICE Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:18 pm


Warm air advection/overrunning

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:19 pm

Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:20 pm

COMMA HEAD MUCH??

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 4063D193-E936-430B-A4B6-ED9C0C466509.png.a024aab481c5020a5beff0358aaf720c

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by dsix85 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:21 pm

Definitely going to see thundersnow out of this beast.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:21 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:22 pm

THIS IS WORTH $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 6 500hv.conus

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:22 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Yeah, I’m not getting enough of the changes that I need. I’ll give it until 12z suite tomorrow before I fold officially, because I do still think there’s room to come north late in the game. But, it’s seems likely I was off over aggressive with the northward correction. But I’m pretty pleased with how the rest of the evolution is turning out. I my just looks like I was just ~100 miles too far north with it.

rb, if you are wrong (and I say IF because still 24 hours to go and you rarely are wrong) this will be one time for sure I'm glad you are. lol
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