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February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II

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February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:05 pm

EURO = Roidzilla

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf_apcp_f60_ne.png.e55d3fe118cb97c572d1dda657d9726a

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:06 pm

EURO IS GONNA BE.....DA CRUSHER!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne


Last edited by amugs on Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 pm

Looks how south the mid level lows are - mint for this area

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 1501319119_ScreenShot2021-01-30at1_04_49PM.png.a21ab52901bd2d75d730223a78a5be70

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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 pm

Euro a big hit for almost all of NJ north of the Atlantic City Expressway as well as NYC, LI, and even points about 20 miles north of NYC
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:This is all you need to see

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 E8-D0-D058-3747-46-E9-9-EF7-07-A38-C16-DA1-A-thumb-png-ce83f5c4858fa13bc0acc109b6cd7f06

That looks like godzilla
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 pm

Tucked 992mb low off the coast

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 6015a00e6463d.png.d5b74f9a689db3cad7bb84e26c6a1a2e

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:08 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Looks how south the mid level lows are - mint for this area

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 1501319119_ScreenShot2021-01-30at1_04_49PM.png.a21ab52901bd2d75d730223a78a5be70

You're stealing my thunder using tat word...MINT!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:08 pm

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-ne-z850_speed-2224000.png.763f409abafb5120607d3fdf3668cb8d

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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:08 pm

Surface Low placed perfectly SE of NJ with upper level lows roughly over the Delmarva and SNJ.
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:08 pm

CCB IS INSANE IN THE MEMBRANE!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Image.png.c2c9deb624cf65ea3d8cd853def9b055

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Post by Irish Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:09 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:This is all you need to see

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 E8-D0-D058-3747-46-E9-9-EF7-07-A38-C16-DA1-A-thumb-png-ce83f5c4858fa13bc0acc109b6cd7f06

What are those numbers to the right measuring?

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:10 pm

CCB BAND FOR YOU AND YOU!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 60159fee49969.png.f8ca770583a2e5747a0921fcc74e50d0


February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 6015a00e6463d.png.d5b74f9a689db3cad7bb84e26c6a1a2e

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:10 pm

And not even the full run

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 BmX8uJ4

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:11 pm

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-nyc-total_snow_10to1-2267200.png.6e1795f188a9babc1e28db5ab7744ff9

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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:11 pm

On this Euro run if you live in the eastern half of PA, northern 2/3 of NJ, NYC, and southern tier of NY State you are getting over a foot of snow, maybe a foot and a half in spots. Incredible. lol
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:11 pm

BEAST!!!!
2-3 " per hour rates for hours!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-ne-instant_ptype-2224000.png.2dd98d64222c8b62777c1e16616a91f2

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:12 pm

HUMINA HUKINA HUMINA!! I HAVE NEVR SEEN A JET STREAK LIKE THIS _ BAZINGA!!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-ne-z850_speed-2224000.png.763f409abafb5120607d3fdf3668cb8d

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:14 pm

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-ma-total_snow_10to1-2292400.png.6a43b55f9536feb49859465adf6a7b59

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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:15 pm

Even as far south as Ocean County remains primarily snow. It does eventually go to rain there, especially south and east, but after most of the "damage" (good damage) is done. You listening SENJSnowman?
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:15 pm

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS SUB 990 - SON OF A BIAG PEEPS THERE IST IS - ANYONE DARE COMPLAIN ABOUT A DRY SLOT I"LL DRY SLOT YOU INTO NEXT MONTH LOL!!

February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne

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Post by mmanisca Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:15 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Snowstorm Part II - Page 4 Ecmwf-deterministic-nyc-total_snow_10to1-2267200.png.6e1795f188a9babc1e28db5ab7744ff9

Looking like around 10 PM to 1 AM 850 temps climb above 0 over western Suffolk County on the Island..700 mb temps ok and surface still at 0 at that time..But with this track some mixing or a changeover seems reasonable for western Suffolk and most definitley points east on the Island...
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:16 pm

Dont forget there is an unwritten rule that these things tend to tick S or SE the day before.

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Post by WeatherBob Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:18 pm

Just like Bernie said this morning on his periscope chat.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:22 pm

Beginning 00z tonight we can start comparing the models to actual observations. The models best representative of the current surface obviously should be given more credibility. The RGEM, by the way, is having issues with this. I would toss it.

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Post by WeatherBob Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:27 pm

Frank, you coming out with your snow forecast map later this aft?
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