NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

+50
Zhukov1945
CDF24
SkiSeadooJoe
gambri
algae888
essexcountypete
skinsfan1177
MattyICE
phil155
Scullybutcher
Mathgod55
sroc4
lja
Taffy
docstox12
moleson
adamfitz1969
CnWestMilford76
Fededle22
SNOW MAN
Artechmetals
sabamfa
Irish
amugs
DAYBLAZER
Joe Snow
WeatherBob
dsix85
hurrysundown23
aiannone
nutleyblizzard
dkodgis
SENJsnowman
TheAresian
CPcantmeasuresnow
GreyBeard
Snownyc
rb924119
larryrock72
lglickman1
bobjohnsonforthehall
heehaw453
mwilli
mmanisca
Grselig
frank 638
jmanley32
billg315
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
54 posters

Page 10 of 24 Previous  1 ... 6 ... 9, 10, 11 ... 17 ... 24  Next

Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:58 pm

UK MET is off its rocker, shows 7 inches for NYC

jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Join date : 2013-12-12

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by mwilli Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:59 pm

well g'night gonna be back here 8 am for updates.....hope nothing changes overnight

mwilli

Posts : 132
Join date : 2019-02-11

rb924119 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by mwilli Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:59 pm

well g'night gonna be back here 8 am for updates.....hope nothing changes overnight

mwilli

Posts : 132
Reputation : 3
Join date : 2019-02-11

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Grselig Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:01 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Grselig wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Irish wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Gem_asnow_neus_14
honestly, as much as I have never seen that much snow, im not sure I want that to move any closer, 30-40 inches would put yonkers to a standstill, it is super tight here, theres nowhere to put it cars including mine  would be buried for at least a week if not more. it would be pure insanity.

Oh come on, of course you want to see that!!  You're not fooling us!  You want to be buried in a blizzard, as you giggle like a school girl getting her hair and nails done like a princess for the very first time!
Haha of course, but it is go be a PITA to clean up, but no doubt wether its 18, 24 or 35 all i care is that im seeing a BIG snowstorm either way it's cut. or appears that way pretty much across the board, you too.

One word.  Back when was young.  DUUDEE!!!!!!!
LOL my friend and I still say dude a lot it hasnt grown out of some of us.  at least I do not say radical or narley

ha. I was explaining to my daughter that it has so many different meanings. Good and bad. yeah, I don't say those words either. have not used dude for a long time, until tonight.
Grselig
Grselig
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1407
Reputation : 140
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 54
Location : Wayne NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:01 am

Irish wrote:
rb924119 wrote:UKMET generally held serve. Southeastern edge of guidance.....sigh.

Still have big love for you and what work you put in, rb.

That was directed at the model, not my forecast haha it’s been consistently on the southeast edge of guidance until the last second this year for whatever reason. Similar to the GFS and its ensemble.

I’m not giving up on my forecast yet, especially after what I’ve seen tonight. I’m not all that far off. Look at how the December storm behaved. It was supposed to be I-95 in the bullseye and it was 125 miles to the northwest. I’m stubborn, yes, but to say that we haven’t seen northward shifts tonight overall wouldn’t be accurate. Is it likely to be enough? Probably not. But I still believe there’s room to come north. Gonna wait and see. But I greatly appreciate your sentiment Smile

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Irish likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:04 am

rb924119 wrote:
Irish wrote:
rb924119 wrote:UKMET generally held serve. Southeastern edge of guidance.....sigh.

Still have big love for you and what work you put in, rb.

That was directed at the model, not my forecast haha it’s been consistently on the southeast edge of guidance until the last second this year for whatever reason. Similar to the GFS and its ensemble.

I’m not giving up on my forecast yet, especially after what I’ve seen tonight. I’m not all that far off. Look at how the December storm behaved. It was supposed to be I-95 in the bullseye and it was 125 miles to the northwest. I’m stubborn, yes, but to say that we haven’t seen northward shifts tonight overall wouldn’t be accurate. Is it likely to be enough? Probably not. But I still believe there’s room to come north. Gonna wait and see. But I greatly appreciate your sentiment Smile

I agree rb. I'm actually not sure that you're thoughts on this are that far off at this point. The difference is the scope of the heavy snow is so large that everyone seems to be getting in on the action anyway. But in some of these runs that jackpot zone is getting awfully close to being, um, north.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

rb924119 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:08 am

Case in point. The latest GFS now gets the primary H5 circulation to Erie, Pa. If I can get into Jamestown, NY, which is only another 30-50 miles, I’m sitting pretty.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:11 am

billg315 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
Irish wrote:
rb924119 wrote:UKMET generally held serve. Southeastern edge of guidance.....sigh.

Still have big love for you and what work you put in, rb.

That was directed at the model, not my forecast haha it’s been consistently on the southeast edge of guidance until the last second this year for whatever reason. Similar to the GFS and its ensemble.

I’m not giving up on my forecast yet, especially after what I’ve seen tonight. I’m not all that far off. Look at how the December storm behaved. It was supposed to be I-95 in the bullseye and it was 125 miles to the northwest. I’m stubborn, yes, but to say that we haven’t seen northward shifts tonight overall wouldn’t be accurate. Is it likely to be enough? Probably not. But I still believe there’s room to come north. Gonna wait and see. But I greatly appreciate your sentiment Smile

I agree rb. I'm actually not sure that you're thoughts on this are that far off at this point. The difference is the scope of the heavy snow is so large that everyone seems to be getting in on the action anyway. But in some of these runs that jackpot zone is getting awfully close to being, um, north.

I mean, it’s close. Whether or not it happens remains to be seen. But it’s still close enough for me hold my position right now. I’ve gotten this far, I’m not going to lie down and roll over when there’s still almost two days left in the race haha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:16 am

That's the funny thing. It seems so close because the snow should start tomorrow evening, but in reality we're still 24-36 hours away from the main event. A lot can happen in 24-36 hours.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

rb924119 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Fededle22 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:17 am

I'm loving the first call snow map Frank. Wondering if you will be sticking with it or will there be a second call map tomorrow evening. I would love to see more snow maps from some of our other experts here. The numbers that the models are spewing out are incredible! It has been quite some time that 20"+ snow amounts have been possible IMBY but looking forward to it as long as people have power and heat. My freezer is stocked and have plenty of wine and beer to watch the snow fall.

Question: I saw the post of the radar of where the storm is currently. Is it where most of the models are depicting and are they getting accurate readings or are they still having issues with where and when the low transfers off the coast?
Fededle22
Fededle22

Posts : 169
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-03-08
Location : West Orange, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CnWestMilford76 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:21 am

DT’s final call is 15 + for NYC and northern half of NJ. 8-12 LI.

CnWestMilford76

Posts : 30
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2020-12-15

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:22 am

The current radar seems pretty in line with what the models were showing. I don't think there has been a great deal of difference in where the models now show the coastal transfer happening either. Could be more of an issue of where the storm matures off the coast at the mid and upper levels.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:25 am

CnWestMilford76 wrote:DT’s final call is 15 + for NYC and northern half of NJ. 8-12 LI.
I cannot say thats not def a reasonable call, i do not think many see less than 15, unless you believe the UKMET (I don't) and he gives the skies the limit from there which is kinda too easy but it also allows him to be right as long as its over 15 lol
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

CnWestMilford76 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Fededle22 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:27 am

billg315 wrote:The current radar seems pretty in line with what the models were showing. I don't think there has been a great deal of difference in where the models now show the coastal transfer happening either. Could be more of an issue of where the storm matures off the coast at the mid and upper levels.

It looked like it was already pretty far north, which would fall in line with what Rb was predicting. What seems to differ with the models from him is that the low is forming farther south off our coast then coming up and stalling, giving us the larger snow fall totals. Just trying to learn from everyone and figure out what is going on.
Fededle22
Fededle22

Posts : 169
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-03-08
Location : West Orange, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:29 am

Well I think I'm out for the night. Gonna rest up for a long 48 hours starting tomorrow morning. I'll probably fire off a Final Snow map after I review the overnight and morning model runs tomorrow. Why not? lol Have a great rest of the night peeps. Keep your fingers crossed.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

rb924119 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:38 am

billg315 wrote:That's the funny thing. It seems so close because the snow should start tomorrow evening, but in reality we're still 24-36 hours away from the main event. A lot can happen in 24-36 hours.

Exactly.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:40 am

Fededle22 wrote:
billg315 wrote:The current radar seems pretty in line with what the models were showing. I don't think there has been a great deal of difference in where the models now show the coastal transfer happening either. Could be more of an issue of where the storm matures off the coast at the mid and upper levels.

It looked like it was already pretty far north, which would fall in line with what Rb was predicting. What seems to differ with the models from him is that the low is forming farther south off our coast then coming up and stalling, giving us the larger snow fall totals. Just trying to learn from everyone and figure out what is going on.

I’m really not concerned with the here and now, as that should be pretty well depicted by guidance. I’m more concerned with what is being modeled to happen between 30 and 42 hours from now at the mid- and upper-levels.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:46 am

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 467ca710
February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Da9f2110

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:56 am

Looks like less confluence but lower heights out ahead of the trough, an a stronger primary through 18 on the EURO. Too soon to tell what happens.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 12:59 am

OH BABY. Noticeably less confluence at 36. Heights responding on the East Coast. Buckle up.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:01 am

Overall improved trough structure too. Trying to go negative sooner.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:01 am

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 1909789641_ezgif.com-gif-maker(6).gif.caea2bf295d8dbd1a1e9618101c051d0

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:02 am

Madonna Mia

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 8733fc10
February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 A9f5a610
February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 6ab98c10

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:03 am

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 53AD913B-DF00-4C77-B166-8C33A424D286.png.ee4f6b00b2b35638c436210c6abaa751

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:04 am

Trough just keeps trending...stronger. My goodness

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 791761933_ezgif.com-gif-maker(7).gif.fed259977b54d9dd8b24070724053c8b

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

CnWestMilford76 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:06 am

Awesome Frank, I am here with ya.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:08 am

Yeah it does. But the coastal plain doesn’t want that. It’s getting too deep in a bad spot....overhead.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 10 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 10 of 24 Previous  1 ... 6 ... 9, 10, 11 ... 17 ... 24  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum