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February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

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February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

Post by TheAresian Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:11 am

NWS Binghamton has me in a region of 8-12", specially marked as the "Zone of Greatest Uncertainty" because 20 miles NW is 6-8" and 20 miles SE is 12-18" and they decided they'd handle it by issuing a WWA with expected totals of 4-7".

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:11 am

It's a blip ask on I wouldn't worry much if anyone sees sleet #1 it'll be brief #2 don't go out in it unless you wanna look like Freddy Kruger...

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Post by Irish Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:13 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Irish wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
amugs wrote:Can u say money shot??
HR 42 EURO
February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 DFFF510A-1446-4BB9-88FB-1D684728A181.jpeg.653fae3b619e80513275ef315c6518b3
Good morning 🌞 ...what the heck is that gold blob??? The only one ...right over my house???lol

Sleet?
lol I know I wanted mugs response...it's crazy the whole state snowing and that one tiny spot sees sleet... just curious to his opinion

Gotcha, could be a golden shower.
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Post by Guest Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:13 am

docstox12 wrote:
GreyBeard wrote:Yeah we all look good for this one, mostly. Bright red sky at sunrise this morning hopeful that is a harbinger of things to come.

"Red sky at morning, sailor take warning"! Amazing how these old timey words of wisdom always prove out!

As a boater and fisherman I’ve taught my daughters this saying. Now in the summer evening’s my kids see pink skies and run around yelling we can go on the boat tomorrow!!!!

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Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:16 am

jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:Matty  Ice in da house - was waiting for you kid!!
This is some sick sick banding -2016 style 3-4/5" puking snow rates!

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 NAMNE_700_vvel_039.png.dd845dc0c457a61c5babbfcbee232f39
wow im directly under the darkest part of that band, dare i say we are close enough in time that being in the jackpot is a good thing .  4-5 inches of snow / hr i dont think ive ever seen that, that would most likely produce thundersnow no?
jman when was the last time we seen this much snow And I hope we do get thunder snow

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:20 am

frank 638 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:Matty  Ice in da house - was waiting for you kid!!
This is some sick sick banding -2016 style 3-4/5" puking snow rates!

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 NAMNE_700_vvel_039.png.dd845dc0c457a61c5babbfcbee232f39
wow im directly under the darkest part of that band, dare i say we are close enough in time that being in the jackpot is a good thing .  4-5 inches of snow / hr i dont think ive ever seen that, that would most likely produce thundersnow no?
jman when was the last time we seen this much snow And I hope we do get thunder snow
look at my signature on the higher amounts nearly 10 yrs ago we had a 21 inch storm. This could be close or if lucky beat it. We will see but that snow map from nws is no joke. They err on caution and that is not cautious.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:26 am

Has anyone heard from skins he's been quiet
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Post by Irish Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:27 am

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 Screen12
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Post by Irish Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:28 am

Error


Last edited by Irish on Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:30 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Irish Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:29 am

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 14 Screen14
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:30 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Has anyone heard from skins he's been quiet

I'm here i haven't posted much lately. Im currently away and going to be driving back into this on Tuesday ugh. Family trip
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:31 am

Upton discussion isn't playing. They said 2 ft totals are not out of the question and blizzard warnings could go up for NYC area coastal CT and LI. Winds could gust 50 to 60mph especially on LI. I'm awake right? This isn't a dream?
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Post by dsix85 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:32 am

Yet Upton still has a good chunk of Suffolk county under a winter storm watch. Foolish IMO

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Post by GreyBeard Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:33 am

What's the ETA on this thing? Radar looks like it is ready to hit south jersey already.

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Post by Grselig Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:36 am

jmanley32 wrote:Upton discussion isn't playing. They said 2 ft totals are not out of the question and blizzard warnings could go up for NYC area coastal CT and LI. Winds could gust 50 to 60mph especially on LI. I'm awake right? This isn't a dream?

Upton leaning to the NAM and gfs.
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:37 am

Middlesex Cty on north should probably be under a blizzard warning. I would think Mt Holly and Upton will coordinate and make some upgrades early this afternoon. If it tucks though like Euro/CMC showed there is going to be mixing at some point on the I95 and points SE. Much damage will probably have been done though and won't change things too much.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:38 am

If this was December's air mass (not too cold) there would be a whole lot more mixing. That's a big difference between then and now IMO.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:39 am

11 degrees, slate grey Stratus snow clouds, a little lighter N and W of me, but filling in.Winds calm now, the proverbial "calm before the storm". Sky telling me this starts sooner up here than the 10PM NWS has.Just a seat of the pants observation.
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:42 am

WAA more often than not comes in sooner than modeled. I expect 1 or 2 hour earlier push of that precip.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:43 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Has anyone heard from skins he's been quiet

I'm here i haven't posted much lately. Im currently away and going to be driving back into this on Tuesday ugh. Family trip
eek...be safe😊
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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:44 am

heehaw453 wrote:WAA more often than not comes in sooner than modeled.  I expect 1 or 2 hour earlier push of that precip.

Roger that!
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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:48 am

Uh oh. NAM is about do a NAM thing. 12 hours into the run, already noticeable changes versus 06z.

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Post by dsix85 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:49 am

Bernie Rayno said all of Long Island and NYC will get rain and the dreaded dry tongue but most of the storm will be done at that point.

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Post by TheAresian Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

Am I reading the 500mb anomaly map right when I think I see the closed low a bit NE of where it was last run?

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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

Precip should be more expansive to the west this run for sure.

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

21.5/14. Great overrunning surface.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

TheAresian wrote:Am I reading the 500mb anomaly map right when I think I see the closed low a bit NE of where it was last run?

Yes. More consolidated too.

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