Re: February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

21.5/14. Great overrunning surface.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:51 am

TheAresian wrote:Am I reading the 500mb anomaly map right when I think I see the closed low a bit NE of where it was last run?

Yes. More consolidated too.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:53 am

rb924119 wrote:Uh oh. NAM is about do a NAM thing. 12 hours into the run, already noticeable changes versus 06z.

It better not do TOO much its NAM thing because its the last run I was waiting on before posting my Final call snow map. lol

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:53 am

Less confluence. Higher heights. I like this. Big run incoming me thinks.

by **dsix85** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:55 am

RB. Bernie Rayno convinced it rains in NYC. Thoughts ?

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:55 am

New H5 circulation should pop over Philly or just north of there in their frame or two. Let’s see.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:56 am

oh. those 500 mb heights did jump a bit. lol.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:57 am

dsix85 wrote:RB. Bernie Rayno convinced it rains in NYC. Thoughts ?

Agree, but that is admittedly because I’m biased toward my original thoughts right now, at this moment lol so take that as you will lmao

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:58 am

And look at that 850 line circling SNJ from the west and east waiting to pounce. lol

by larryrock72 Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:58 am

GreyBeard wrote:What's the ETA on this thing? Radar looks like it is ready to hit south jersey already.

Time frame for south Jersey is as early as 1pm start, but the good stuff won't start until around 3pm. (Ocean county).

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:59 am

He 24.....woah.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:00 am

12z NAM at 7pm today. Looks like this storm will start earlier than I thought, and the current observations suggest that too.

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 15 Image.png.0c3a2995304f4f181a7e2f2fed9e8cbe

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 15 Image.png.0c3a2995304f4f181a7e2f2fed9e8cbe

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:00 am

One thing is for sure, the NAM is all in on the slop fest, rain, sleet, snow south of I-195.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:00 am

My goodness. Wayyyyyyyyy more curvature out front. This is gonna be high and tight folks.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:01 am

10am tomorrow...

February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 15 Image.png.14b27b47813bd72d4346503516f3300d

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:02 am

Frank_Wx wrote:10am tomorrow...

Yes. NAM starting to come in line with other guidance. More consolidate storm and better CCB.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:03 am

12z NAM already has 10-12 inches on the ground by 1pm tomorrow across NYC Metro

by **SENJsnowman** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:04 am

larryrock72 wrote:
GreyBeard wrote:What's the ETA on this thing? Radar looks like it is ready to hit south jersey already.
Time frame for south Jersey is as early as 1pm start, but the good stuff won't start until around 3pm. (Ocean county).

All things considered, a 1-8 pm storm with a large thump from 3 pm on, can make for a salvageable event. But only, "all things considered" lol.

Trip update: ALL INDOOR POOLS IN NJ HOTELS ARE CLOSED. Major trip inhibitor, as per General Mommy anyways. Sad

We might be making lemonade down here rather than seeking snowier skies, not sure yet though.

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:04 am

blizzard conditions for NE NJ, NYC, LI on NAM

by mwilli Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:04 am

morning everybody hempstead weather guy is here and ready.....lets go

by **Joe Snow** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:04 am

That NAM is a thing of beauty right now for me in Kings Park.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:05 am

well rb the H5 is actually popping just west of Philly.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:05 am

If you’re north of I-78 here, it’s been nice knowing ya. See you in Spring for the thaw lol

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:05 am

This might be the greatest NAM run I’ve ever seen

by **Irish** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:05 am

heehaw453 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:10am tomorrow...

Yes. NAM starting to come in line with other guidance. More consolidate storm and better CCB.

Those dark CCB lines are right over CNJ.

by **TheAresian** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:06 am

While I'm still cheering for you guys, I'd be less than honest if I said I wasn't also getting a little envious.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:06 am

Frank_Wx wrote:This might be the greatest NAM run I’ve ever seen

looks like it, 2 ft incoming i think for many.

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