NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

+75
sabamfa
AlphaOrionis42
essexcountypete
kcarnegie275
Artechmetals
richb521
Dunnzoo
crippo84
SNOW MAN
jbnyy224
dfig529
elkiehound
SkiSeadooJoe
phil155
nutleyblizzard
kalleg
Radz
docstox12
snowlover78
sroc4
Sparky Sparticles
Taffy
dkodgis
jaydoy
2004blackwrx
marin1804
hyde345
dsix85
stAtic9
gigs68
Zhukov1945
Scullybutcher
Mike1984
oldtimer
rb924119
1190ftalt
AMD95
aiannone
snowday111
Irish
Snownyc
Math23x7
mmanisca
adamfitz1969
algae888
Fededle22
mwilli
Gator99
brownie
Vinnydula
lglickman1
SENJsnowman
emokid51783
bloc1357
lznachu
CnWestMilford76
WeatherBob
jtswife
amugs
Angela0621
DAYBLAZER
heehaw453
weatherwatchermom
SoulSingMG
Joe Snow
GreyBeard
Grselig
colosa4
CPcantmeasuresnow
larryrock72
frank 638
billg315
jmanley32
CDF24
Frank_Wx
79 posters

Page 15 of 29 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16 ... 22 ... 29  Next

Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by snowlover78 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:15 am

Wow. Snowing like crazy in the Extreme NW corner of Ocean county. Already since yesterday 7-8 inches on the ground. The wind is picking up. Long day ahead.

snowlover78

Posts : 99
Join date : 2016-01-20

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:16 am

The 06Z 3K NAM right now seems to be close to reality. If that is true then things are going to crank up in a few hours especially for LI.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3901
Join date : 2014-01-20

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by lglickman1 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:17 am

Winds seem to be picking up in westchester

lglickman1
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 319
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : New Rochelle, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:18 am

SPC
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 E350c110

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

docstox12 and amugs like this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:20 am

algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by bloc1357 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:20 am

Radar over the ocean south of LI is really starting to fill in and blow up....best guesstimate about 5.5" on the ground now

bloc1357
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 344
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 47
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:23 am

aiannone wrote:SPC
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 E350c110
morning! I hope so as so far we have some catching up to do here, im only eyeballing and ill go out in a while but looks like maybe 3 inches?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:24 am

The high res NAM at close range is usually very good. It's the post 24 hours stuff that it's bad at many times.

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3901
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:24 am

jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?

Jman that is what’s left to fall and doesn’t include what already fell

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by bloc1357 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:24 am

jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?


Already Jman??   its only 7:20 the storm didnt even start cranking yet.   Let this thing develop and get going...its snowing at a good clip on long island right now


Last edited by bloc1357 on Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:25 am; edited 1 time in total

bloc1357
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 344
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 47
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

AMD95 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:24 am

Honestly though, with the forcasted winds how am i even supposed to measure this once things ramp up? I guess ill have to go by reports closest to me.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:25 am

The radar is blowing up

I’m currently seeing huge flakes and heavy snow in Morris Plains

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

bloc1357 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:25 am

jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?

They did not drop the forecast. The warning is for additional snow, which does not include any snow that has fallen through 5am.

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

bloc1357 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by dsix85 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:25 am

Frank- everything relatively on track thus far? Any major changes?

dsix85
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 349
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2014-01-01
Location : New York

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:27 am

bloc1357 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?


Already Jman??   its only 7:20 the storm didnt even start cranking yet.   Let this thing develop and get going...its snowing at a good clip on long island right now
a


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:31 am; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:27 am

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Knyca_h.gif

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:27 am

I have 6-7" by eye .

24*

Snowing  moderately to heavy

Winds are picking up

It is a beautiful site outside right now.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

heehaw453 likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:28 am

I referenced this before heading to bed last night but want to reiterate it as there have been a couple questions: The snow yesterday and last night was the overrunning snow AHEAD of the former primary Low in Ohio. We got an (from my perspective) unexpectedly good thump of snow from that last night especially further west and south (PA and NJ).
BUT the reason Frank and others here have said the heaviest snow would be Monday into Monday night is because it is the COASTAL Low expected to provide that and the Coastal is still pulling itself together offshore.
Once the coastal Low is fully developed it will rotate heavy bands of precipitation onshore and a CCB (cold conveyer belt) will set up as the highway for those bands.
This will do two things: bring the heaviest precipitation into the area (mostly snow) and bring more cold air in behind the Low. This will happen later this morning through tonight.
What I mentioned last night is that often as the primary Low transfers to the coastal, you will see a lull in the storm where precipitation gets lighter and ragged. You also may see temps rise a bit ahead of the dying primary Low which combined with lighter precip (which doesn’t self-cool the column like heavy precip) causes more mixing in areas that will go back to snow once the intensity picks up on the backside of the Low.
Late overnight and early this AM you are seeing this lull and transfer. So if you’re getting light precip and unexpected mixing don’t panic. It’s still early in this game. Once it’s complete most of us will get colder and snowier. And we’ll also find out where the real CCB and jackpot set up - as opposed to what the models say which is just a projection.
You’ll know the coastal Liw is mature and in charge when you see precip banding start to rotate and instead of moving south to north, begin moving more southeast to northwest and maybe even a training NE to SW. the radar will look less like a blob moving to the east and more like a pinwheel spinning off the coast. Keep an eye on the radar this morning. And Good luck to everyone today.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

amugs and bloc1357 like this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:28 am

Light snow

26.2/25.5. About 6" OTG

heehaw453
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3901
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by bloc1357 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:28 am

The radar south of LI definitely looks juicy!!

bloc1357
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 344
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 47
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:29 am

18 degrees here, looks like close to 3 inches, light snow,a little blowing snow.Very happy for this to be a daytime snowstorm so we can see what's going on.
Reminds me of the February1983 snowstorm, a steady light snow for hours then all hell broke loose.3 inch per hour rate for 6 hours straight.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:29 am

Friend at Jersey shore saying whiteout conditions in Manasquan and Brick - anyone on here confirm this?

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:30 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Close to 5" so far in the Bronx mod snow now
wow really? Doesnt look like even half that here, I also noted NWS sig dropped the forrecast from 16-22 to 14-20, i mean i guess thats only 4 inches but 4 is 4. did we see a change in the storm thats going to not allow as much snow?

Jman that is what’s left to fall and doesn’t include what already fell
well durrr to me lol, im just waking up prolly should waited for coffee lol, its ripping right now, and its pretty windy i think as i mentioned its go be hard to tell exactly whats OTG. I thought the WSW was for the whole event not additional snow.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:31 am

The secondary low that is developing, aka Roidzilla, is shaped like an “L”

How freaking cool!!!!!!!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 08F13F35-C7AC-4880-BD2A-169C52A00417.png.2a0c4bc3beb1a0a41841e87cba04473a

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Radz, kalleg, bloc1357, Fededle22, sabamfa, brownie and billg315 like this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Angela0621 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:32 am

I am in Eatontown, we were raining but snowing now, radar looks like I am literally at the snow/rain/mix line, will we stay snow or change to rain?
Angela0621
Angela0621

Posts : 43
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-11-08
Location : Eatontown, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Radz Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:33 am

23*, 4” OTG as of 7:30, beautiful outside- feels like a real old fashioned February day!
Radz
Radz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1027
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2013-01-12
Location : Cortlandt Manor NY

Taffy likes this post

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Taffy Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:34 am

21 degrees, feels like 21....Wind N 3 mph gusts to 7.

Light coating, coming down like snizzle (snow & drizzle).
Taffy
Taffy
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 530
Reputation : 19
Join date : 2013-10-06
Location : Hopkinton, MA

Back to top Go down

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 15 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 15 of 29 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 14, 15, 16 ... 22 ... 29  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum