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May Obs and Discussions

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Post by amugs Sat May 01, 2021 11:01 pm

Low of 40 this morning. Heat was on arrgghhh!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sun May 02, 2021 12:06 pm

You better be kidding me Mr Euro. GFS is further N and brings snows in NE -courteous of Anthony Siciliano
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May Obs and Discussions E0YsrQ9WUAAneDd?format=png&name=medium

GFS
May Obs and Discussions E0YrwCGWUAM7zRS?format=png&name=medium

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Fededle22 Today at 12:11 pm

This southward dip in the jetstream causing this cold and unseasonable temperatures really stinks. I am ready for Spring and Summer at this point. Anyone have a future forecast of when they think we will have steady warmer temperatures?
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Post by sroc4 Today at 12:22 pm

@Fededle22 wrote:This southward dip in the jetstream causing this cold and unseasonable temperatures really stinks. I am ready for Spring and Summer at this point.  Anyone have a future forecast of when they think we will have steady warmer temperatures?

It looks like the MJO wave has been quite robust traveling through phases 8-1-2 over the past 2 weeks or so which even for this time of year tends to favor cooler temps in the eastern 3rd of the country.  

IF the MJO forecast is to be taken verbatim it will be traversing into phase 3, losing amplitude, and headed into the Null phase over the next week or so.  Phase 3 is still a relatively cool phase.  That said beyond the next week the mean forecast is slated to re-emerge out into phase 6 which is a warm phase, but there are solns that have it re-emerge in some of the cooler phases again as well.  

So to answer your question more simply, it looks like the last week in may to perhaps early June we might start seeing more sustained normal to above normal temps...IF that MJO comes out in the warm phases with amplitude.  While it mills around in the Null phases however; pretty seasonable temps will still be likely.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by jmanley32 Today at 1:25 pm

Thanks from other threat scott, ok then i may go to new brunswicks town wide garage sale as they are having one.  I just didnt want to go as people arent go set up if its wet. I just checked showing showers all morning tomorrow. I do not think I am go make the trip, even if its just showers people arent go put theior stuff out.
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