2021 Tropical Season

Moderate rain come wins and I have to say This was a tough tough call for a tropical storm. I want to say thank you so much to jman sroc amugs and ray You guys really did a excellent job .
I just don’t understand people I have a lot of my coworkers call me on scene where is the storm we have no wind you may be spent so much money on a generator and I always tell him why wait for the last-minute Especially when we’re having a hurricane or a blizzard you know you guys lose power I always thought everybody prepare for the worst because predicting the weather is very very hard it’s not easy job

97
NOUS41 KOKX 221354
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-230154-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
954 AM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS...

Location Speed Time/Date Provider

...Connecticut...

...New London County...
USCG Academy 49 MPH 0833 AM 08/22 WXFLOW
Groton Airport 39 MPH 0837 AM 08/22 ASOS

...New York...

...Suffolk County...
Baiting Hollow 50 MPH 0850 AM 08/22 CWOP
Napeague 48 MPH 0849 AM 08/22 WXFLOW
Shinnecock 42 MPH 0859 AM 08/22 WXFLOW
Great Gull Island 46 MPH 0841 AM 08/22 WXFLOW
Orient Point 38 MPH 0805 AM 08/22 CWOP
Mecox Bay 38 MPH 0811 AM 08/22 WXFLOW
Southold 37 MPH 0817 AM 08/22 CWOP
Westhampton Airport 37 MPH 0836 AM 08/22 ASOS
Stony Brook 37 MPH 0838 AM 08/22 CWOP
Montauk Airport 36 MPH 0800 AM 08/22 ASOS
Shirley Airport 36 MPH 0849 AM 08/22 ASOS
Southold 36 MPH 0905 AM 08/22 NYSM
East Hampton 35 MPH 0855 AM 08/22 AWOS
Orient 35 MPH 0901 AM 08/22 CWOP

amugs wrote:97
NOUS41 KOKX 221354
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-230154-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
954 AM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS...

Location                     Speed     Time/Date       Provider            

...Connecticut...

...New London County...
USCG Academy                 49 MPH    0833 AM 08/22   WXFLOW
Groton Airport               39 MPH    0837 AM 08/22   ASOS                

...New York...

...Suffolk County...
Baiting Hollow               50 MPH    0850 AM 08/22   CWOP                
Napeague                     48 MPH    0849 AM 08/22   WXFLOW              
Shinnecock                   42 MPH    0859 AM 08/22   WXFLOW
Great Gull Island            46 MPH    0841 AM 08/22   WXFLOW              
Orient Point                 38 MPH    0805 AM 08/22   CWOP                
Mecox Bay                    38 MPH    0811 AM 08/22   WXFLOW              
Southold                     37 MPH    0817 AM 08/22   CWOP                
Westhampton Airport          37 MPH    0836 AM 08/22   ASOS                
Stony Brook                  37 MPH    0838 AM 08/22   CWOP                
Montauk Airport              36 MPH    0800 AM 08/22   ASOS                
Shirley Airport              36 MPH    0849 AM 08/22   ASOS                
Southold                     36 MPH    0905 AM 08/22   NYSM                
East Hampton                 35 MPH    0855 AM 08/22   AWOS                
Orient                       35 MPH    0901 AM 08/22   CWOP                

how close is he if he is on shore those numbers are weak. At least no one has worry bout a whole lot like we thought. And blick islsnd is used to high winds 68mph they can handle. I been there not many trees.

There’s your shift west, rb!

There is the next wave to keep an eye on.

[quote="SoulSingMG"]There’s your shift west, rb!

[/quote I heard it was heading nnw and thought same thing..

Flash Flood Warning in effect once again for a waterlogged New York City as another copious band of heavy rain has set up across the area, thanks to Henri’s tropical moisture. Wouldn’t be surprised if parts of the city end up with 10 inches of rain when all is said and done…

SoulSingMG wrote:Flash Flood Warning in effect once again for a waterlogged New York City as another copious band of heavy rain has set up across the area, thanks to Henri’s tropical moisture. Wouldn’t be surprised if parts of the city end up with 10 inches of rain when all is said and done…

theres a new thread for henri guys, for observations etc. i could see more than 10 soul, could be historic rain totals.

sroc4 wrote:There is the next wave to keep an eye on.  

oh man thats a long one to track lol, im not get sucked into 20 days of tracking lol, ill check in in 15 days lol (who am i kidding)

SoulSingMG wrote:Flash Flood Warning in effect once again for a waterlogged New York City as another copious band of heavy rain has set up across the area, thanks to Henri’s tropical moisture. Wouldn’t be surprised if parts of the city end up with 10 inches of rain when all is said and done…

got it here too, odd usually i get the alarm on my phone for flash flood warnings but i didnt get one this time. getting quite breezy.

The wave WILL have implications on tropics as we move forward. Buckle up says Ventrice in conjunction with MJO.

By implications do you mean risk or less risk ?

tomsriversnowstorm wrote:By implications do you mean risk or less risk ?

More risk and we ramp up the cyclone season to an Above Average number but it is the height of hcane season season so..... and possibly stronger storms.

…….again???



This past Thursday night. Look familiar?

Forget the rain. Blocking, blocking go away, come again some December day.

Although, the rain can go away too lol

I am guessing RB thinks we can see a similar situation in about 10-12 days

phil155 wrote:I am guessing RB thinks we can see a similar situation in about 10-12 days

I’m not saying anything firm until I get a chance to re-analyze lol just because that modeling is showing a similar hemispheric alignment, it doesn’t necessarily mean we will get the same result. Have to see if that pattern is supported by other factors, and if so, the look for the devil that’s in the details. That said, I don’t like the fact that that pattern is showing up again haha

I guess it’s a good thing I’m on vacation this week, because it looks like the late nights may continue ahaha

rb924119 wrote:

phil155 wrote:I am guessing RB thinks we can see a similar situation in about 10-12 days

I’m not saying anything firm until I get a chance to re-analyze lol just because that modeling is showing a similar hemispheric alignment, it doesn’t necessarily mean we will get the same result. Have to see if that pattern is supported by other factors, and if so, the look for the devil that’s in the details. That said,  I don’t like the fact that that pattern is showing up again haha

I guess it’s a good thing I’m on vacation this week, because it looks like the late nights may continue ahaha

There also has to be a storm there which at this time there doesn't appear to be a threat of as far as I can see. The two areas one is staying in the deep tropics the other is heading NE of Bermuda. But if you got something to track let me know. Amazing that the setup is almost identical.

sroc4 wrote:

ohhh pretty colors lol, are any of these a possible concern to our area? From the looks of where they are going they wouldn't post a threat to the area, maybe that one system to the far west?

Doesn’t appear that way at this point Jon. Certainly the tropics are becoming active though

GOM/ Gulf Coast is next. 2nd week of September my call for another EC/NE threat.

.

amugs wrote:GOM/ Gulf Coast is next. 2nd week of September my call for another EC/NE threat.

.

90 day return policy on my new generator.

Think I’ll hold on to it for a little while longer.

Guess we are going to track again, nice.

Invest 99L has an ominous look on the latest GFS. Looks like it gets to major hurricane status...possibly a Cat 4 right into Louisiana. The GOM is a straight up bath right now.

Frank_Wx wrote:

Yikes

Joe Snow wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

Yikes

Euro is right in line with GFS right now. Def going to need to start looking at this. Both have it strengthening on approach all the way until landfall