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Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations

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Post by Zhukov1945 Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:41 am

rb924119 wrote:Surface through H85 are now vertically stacked. H7 maturing. H85 and H7 frontogenesis are spatially staggered right now, with H85 frontogenesis displaced immediately southeast of the H7 frontogenesis, which is giving us a nice isentropic surface to lift air on (think of a ramp from southeast to northwest). At H5, we are seeing beautiful vorticity advection over the top, and finally, awesome upper-level divergence thanks to a favorably located jet streak. With the maturation process just beginning to optimize, it would not surprise me to see these bands encroach on the NJ/PA border, *possibly* even making it into eastern PA, at least for a while.

On the frontline of this in Hunterdon it hasn't happened yet - light snow, nice coating, maybe picked up a bit but we haven't seen the good stuff really yet. Taking to heart the comments throughout the day on the big bands and subsidence. Hoping for the best, expecting the worst.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:41 am

SENJsnowman wrote:Now I’d say 1-5-2”/hr rates. Visibility is very poor right now. At least 4.5, if not 5” otg already. Would love a foot by the time I wake up at like 11z.

WHAT!!! I have like 2” 😢

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:47 am

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Surface through H85 are now vertically stacked. H7 maturing. H85 and H7 frontogenesis are spatially staggered right now, with H85 frontogenesis displaced immediately southeast of the H7 frontogenesis, which is giving us a nice isentropic surface to lift air on (think of a ramp from southeast to northwest). At H5, we are seeing beautiful vorticity advection over the top, and finally, awesome upper-level divergence thanks to a favorably located jet streak. With the maturation process just beginning to optimize, it would not surprise me to see these bands encroach on the NJ/PA border, *possibly* even making it into eastern PA, at least for a while.
I presume that means for majority of board we stay in decent snows.

It should.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:49 am

Zhukov1945 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Surface through H85 are now vertically stacked. H7 maturing. H85 and H7 frontogenesis are spatially staggered right now, with H85 frontogenesis displaced immediately southeast of the H7 frontogenesis, which is giving us a nice isentropic surface to lift air on (think of a ramp from southeast to northwest). At H5, we are seeing beautiful vorticity advection over the top, and finally, awesome upper-level divergence thanks to a favorably located jet streak. With the maturation process just beginning to optimize, it would not surprise me to see these bands encroach on the NJ/PA border, *possibly* even making it into eastern PA, at least for a while.

On the frontline of this in Hunterdon it hasn't happened yet - light snow, nice coating, maybe picked up a bit but we haven't seen the good stuff really yet.  Taking to heart the comments throughout the day on the big bands and subsidence.  Hoping for the best, expecting the worst.

Should be walking up your front sidewalk now, soon to be knocking on your door haha

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Post by SENJsnowman Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:49 am

Plenty of time left rb and the best is probably going to be 2-10 am. Just like the forecast all week, every thing has gone perfect tonight for my back yard. But can the luck continue?! We’ll soon find out.

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Post by Ereese Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:00 am

The wind just picked up and heavier snow in Manalapan! Staying up for a while, I’m too excited to sleep😅

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Post by mmanisca Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:02 am

I have about 2-3 inches
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:05 am

Had to go outside. Winds are picking up on the shores of the Hudson River. Wind is blowing snow leaving many bare spots. I think maybe half an inch.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:08 am

H7 closed off…….over east central Virginia. THATS AT LEAST 75 MILES WEST of where it was supposed to. Let’s goooooooo

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:09 am

H5 and H3 jet are still in very good shape maximizing lift overhead. We should see the radar start to really blossom within short order.

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:10 am

Radar has snow expanding north and west. may be good news for guys who were borderline on a decent storm or not.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:15 am

From what I see on satellite, H5 may close off within the next hour two. That would be wild.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:18 am

Here it is currently circled in red. It’s CLOSE:

Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 11 3182bb10

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Post by hyde345 Sat Jan 29, 2022 1:29 am

rb924119 wrote:Here it is currently circled in red. It’s CLOSE:

Godzilla 2022 JAN 28th-29th Observations - Page 11 3182bb10

RB that would be amazing if H5 cutoff prior to 12z. Here's hoping.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:26 am

Hey all had get some shut eye I guess I am getting old, wow so H5 may cut off several hours before frank wanted it to? Would that mean we would likely be back to much higher totals all over? Moderate snow, blowing snow im looking as best I can at the ground maybe 3 inches or so on sidewalk, can't really tell. Wind has def picked up hearing gusts rattle window every once in a while.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:27 am

Well clearly everyone fell asleep lol now I am the only one up ,well I guess I get to be excited by myself now....hoping trends are still going well the radar I used is acting wonky.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:32 am

CP accuwx futurecast has cape cod raining in a few hours!! And the most intense snowfalls are just south of LI on last time stamp and look to be pushing slowly NW thouhg thats on a futurecast radar and not always reliable.
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Post by adamfitz1969 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:32 am

Im awake for the time being and im near your location.

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Post by Frozen.9 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:36 am

Morning, newbie to the board, sitting here over in Belleville NJ, around 3 inches on the ground not windy as of yet, good group of people over on this board...Use to be a HUGE snow lover but as you get older and still have the shovel in hand it gets not as exciting as it use to, but it's is still nice to see a abnormal storm here and there..good luck to all.

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:37 am

Have some fun looking at various roads.
https://511ny.org/cctv?start=0&length=10&order%5Bi%5D=1&order%5Bdir%5D=asc

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:37 am

How much you got? Is it coming down up there? Its moderate here I would say. Love your town it is very nice.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:39 am

rb924119 wrote:From what I see on satellite, H5 may close off within the next hour two. That would be wild.
And you leave us hanging lol, hope u get some rest come back soon to let us know.
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Post by adamfitz1969 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:40 am

jmanley32 wrote:How much you got? Is it coming down up there? Its moderate here I would say. Love your town it is very nice.

We are closing in at 2 inches, with snow rates coming down very good pace now and winds are rapidly increasing at 27 degrees.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:43 am

adamfitz1969 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:How much you got? Is it coming down up there? Its moderate here I would say. Love your town it is very nice.

We are closing in at 2 inches, with snow rates coming down very good pace now and winds are rapidly increasing at 27 degrees.
I would say I have about 2 or 3 inches its a hasstle for me to go out and look in a 2nd floor apartment plus its really blowing around, going to be hard to get a good measurement, very very fine snow but coming down at a decent clip, hoping some heavier bands can make it here, any idea if H5 was able to lose off or will before 12z or i think frank ultimately wanted 07z.
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Post by adamfitz1969 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:46 am

jmanley32 wrote:
adamfitz1969 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:How much you got? Is it coming down up there? Its moderate here I would say. Love your town it is very nice.

We are closing in at 2 inches, with snow rates coming down very good pace now and winds are rapidly increasing at 27 degrees.
I would say I have about 2 or 3 inches its a hasstle for me to go out and look in a 2nd floor apartment plus its really blowing around, going to be hard to get a good measurement, very very fine snow but coming down at a decent clip, hoping some heavier bands can make it here, any idea if H5 was able to lose off or will before 12z or i think frank ultimately wanted 07z.

I believe H5 might close off in the next hour it looks like. Im quite a layman however so im not exact on that.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:48 am

Woah according to this map the storm starts to pull out at 9am?!! that would def drop totals sig.

https://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/weather/interactive-radar
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:54 am

This came insanely further west than expected, literally entire board (except poor mickey) is snowing moderately.

https://www.wunderground.com/maps/radar/current/hfd
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