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March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Mar 14, 2023 7:37 am

28 degrees. Moderate wind blown snow. I'll go take some better pics and get some measurements, but winter is alive and well in Sullivan Cty. I expect at least 1' when all is said and done and that's just perfect amt.

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Post by kalleg Tue Mar 14, 2023 7:56 am

36*, a few flakes flying in New Hope; windy, as predicted...

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Post by Coachgriff Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:04 am

Windy with breaks of sun in west central NJ…temps steady around 35. I think the wind is going to do a nice job of drying everything before tonight.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:08 am

crippo84 wrote:Changeover starting to occur in East Village NYC. Light white rain on the way into work.
finally s few flskes hete but to me looks like this is going to end b4 noon no? If it is go continue this bodes well as its ablout 6 plus hours early.
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Post by dkodgis Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:09 am

At 2 am there was just a bit of snow falling then at 7 am my three inches but it is snowing a bit harder now. 31. Winds about a steady 15 mph. Gusts, not yet. In Ulster county, many without power
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Post by DAYBLAZER Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:16 am

Had about 2 inches on the ground when I left for work at 7 AM this morning in Hopatcong. Snow was just starting to pick up and roads were starting to get slick.

Fascinating driving route 80 between my home and work in West Caldwell. Once I got down the 'big hill' eastbound and hit the 287 interchange, it was like a different world. Little to no snow, roads and visibility improved dramatically.

Looking at radar, I am a bit worried that my journey home may be difficult. Wondering how long I can expect accumulating snow west of 287 from this one....could decide how long my day is here.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:19 am

I'm impressed with the look of the storm this morning.

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Capture

The ULL is currently over SW PA. It actually looks a little more south and west than where models had it. The ridge is really amp'd and the trough is tilting negative. This bolds well for snow throughout the day today into tonight. Also, it feels colder than models predicted.

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Nerad25

Almost all of NNJ has transitioned over to snow. NE NJ, NYC and WLI are next in line. So any precip that remains left to fall should come down as snow...

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:22 am

By the way, the meso low did indeed form. It's currently located near the east end of LI. Models at one point had this feature tucked just off the NJ cost. Oh, what would have been...

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Capture

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:32 am

Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.
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Post by docstox12 Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:52 am

jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.

jman, hang in there.NWS has this going until 2 AM.They are always wrong on times , but the radar and precip field looks good until at least noon to me.Hopefully the low strengthens and keeps back filling.Stay tuned.
Hope you can get 2 or 3.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 14, 2023 8:53 am

jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.

Jon the low furthest east that Frank just labeled above is going to pivot back towards the coast throughout the day and banding will develop to its N and W and rotate through.  Let it marinate and see how it plays out.  You may or may not get under a band.  If you do you'll be surprised, if you don't, you'll prob post about the bust.  Again....let it play out

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by docstox12 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:02 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.

Jon the low furthest east that Frank just labeled above is going to pivot back towards the coast throughout the day and banding will develop to its N and W and rotate through.  Let it marinate and see how it plays out.  You may or may not get under a band.  If you do you'll be surprised, if you don't, you'll prob post about the bust.  Again....let it play out

Doc, now I see why NWS has this going until 2 am, the low pivoting back towards the coast.I see some nice bands up in NY State ATM.Hope the bands hit your area Doc.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:17 am

docstox12 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.

Jon the low furthest east that Frank just labeled above is going to pivot back towards the coast throughout the day and banding will develop to its N and W and rotate through.  Let it marinate and see how it plays out.  You may or may not get under a band.  If you do you'll be surprised, if you don't, you'll prob post about the bust.  Again....let it play out

Doc, now I see why NWS has this going until 2 am, the low pivoting back towards the coast.I see some nice bands up in NY State ATM.Hope the bands hit your area Doc.

Me too Doc, me too. As the eastern low pivots back the two lows will merge into one and the more defined CCB(comma shape) will likely develop on the NW flank with outer bands as well. Exactly where the converged low sets up will determine if I see anything worth anything drop in.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:32 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.

Jon the low furthest east that Frank just labeled above is going to pivot back towards the coast throughout the day and banding will develop to its N and W and rotate through.  Let it marinate and see how it plays out.  You may or may not get under a band.  If you do you'll be surprised, if you don't, you'll prob post about the bust.  Again....let it play out
I will likely not have time nor do I want to do anymore complaints, its pretty to watch out my window at work, I face a huge window in downtown New Rochelle (we are in the area with  a lot of tall buildings so the wind really howls the snow is blowing completely sideways. Right now coming down light to moderate on and off, I see on accuwx radar future cast it does back build and it looks like a band is going to set up over me or just near (to east), gonna take a while to cool roads and even grass to get it to stick, If I get lucky could def see this over perform a little maybe with a heavier band but if I could get to the top of franks amount at 3 inches it will feel like a win (even a inch would at this point, despite my disappointment it is fading to acceptance.

I just noted how far east the main LP is, if it ends up retrograding all the way to boston could be some "surprises" for someone. Do you see those radar return over there OMG, thats gonna be some insane rain, surprised no flood warnings. If that was snow it would easily be 2-3 in per hr. But we don't care about them lol, my parents in CT dont look to have any snow in fact they are in a gap of nothing.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:43 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:40 am

Wow windsor MA recorded 20.5 earlier this morning with many hours to go they will probably exceed 3 ft or close!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:42 am

31.1 and back to moderate/heavy snow.
Haven’t measured since the 4.5 at 7:30 but as Doc would say I’m eyeballing about 6 inches atm.

Looks like I got off the Mainland just in time. That dryslot I had created over my area has filled in nicely.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:44 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:31.1 and back to moderate/heavy snow.
Haven’t measured since the 4.5 at 7:30 but as Doc would say I’m eyeballing about 6 inches atm.

Looks like I got off the Mainland just in time. That dryslot I had created over my area has filled in nicely.
Are you pleased so far CP, I think we have to be in this crazy abismal winter or as you called wing lol. You I imagine should see a foot especially if you get under a band in the backbuild once the LP retrogrades west into cape.
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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:47 am

Steady moderate snow falling here. Not really sticking to much, but it looks like a giant snowglobe.
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Post by rb924119 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:I'm impressed with the look of the storm this morning.

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Capture

The ULL is currently over SW PA. It actually looks a little more south and west than where models had it. The ridge is really amp'd and the trough is tilting negative. This bolds well for snow throughout the day today into tonight. Also, it feels colder than models predicted.

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Nerad25

Almost all of NNJ has transitioned over to snow. NE NJ, NYC and WLI are next in line. So any precip that remains left to fall should come down as snow...

This has gone according to plan, but so far I’m sucking a lot of wind here in Pike County, Pa lol to my north and northwest, Wayne and Susquehanna counties look to have been doing very well based on radar, and of course Pike County has been getting shafted lol I’m hoping that maybe I can recover today, but I need another half-foot to get to double digits, and I fear that may be quite a stretch. I’ll wait to official declare my bust until it’s over, though lol

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 A7846910

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Post by rb924119 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:49 am

jmanley32 wrote:Wow windsor MA recorded 20.5 earlier this morning with many hours to go they will probably exceed 3 ft or close!

Thieves, the lot of them!!

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Post by heehaw453 Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:50 am

jmanley32 wrote:Frank did it chsnge over early? Wasnt it supposed to be this evening in nyc area? Cant believe how happy i am to see moderate wind driven snow that isnt sticking pathetic lol 36 degrees.
Jman i would expect minimal if any accumulations. March sun brutal on flakes if temps aren't in 20s or it's snowing so heavy the cloud ceiling is disturbing the melting. that's usually like 1"+/hr. this was ULL being 100 miles too far north and lack of cold air from being a historic event for the NYC metro and its immediate burbs.

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Post by docstox12 Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:10 am

32 degrees ,windy,heavy snow.7 inches.
Wish this was December 14th instead.


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Post by essexcountypete Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:12 am

Snowing lightly here since around 8:30 am but nothing sticking.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:14 am

Who is under that band in WNJ?

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by kalleg Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:22 am

32* in New Hope, wind has died down, what had been serious flurries of large flakes now small and better than flurries(!). building up everywhere but the roads.

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Post by SENJsnowman Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:23 am

37* and flakes continue to fall, a little at a time halfway down the Shore. Radar looks good for the early afternoon, but I think when all is said that Ocean County will stay just out of reach for that really nice banding. Monmouth and Middlesex Counties should see it though.

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Post by kalleg Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:23 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Who is under that band in WNJ?

March 13th-14th "Agita" Storm Part II - Page 10 Inxr1Kphla_h

Am under the band in Eastern PA (Bucks County)!


Last edited by kalleg on Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:24 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : additional information)

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