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First Snow of the Season?!

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kaos00723
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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 2:50 pm

I’ve been getting snow holed for the last two hours - all the best precipitation is just to my west and north, and I’m freakin’ Steelers Wheel over here; stuck in the middle (with you) GFS Model Brick

Now I know how it feels to be Jman lol love ya, buddy! Haha

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 2:52 pm

billg315 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Below is a snapshot of the current radar. The bands I outlined in red have my attention. Paging billg here lol this could be the atmosphere signaling where the actual 850-700 frontogenesis is actually setting up. If so, that has a significantly further southwest extension than any current guidance. We have to watch very carefully how that evolves over the next few hours, as that could end up being your death band that then pinwheels that southern flank northeastward as the trough continues to tilt more and more negative and then eventually closes off.

First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_2633

Noticing that also. We've certainly seen in the past that being a precursor to where the heaviest banding would set up. Wouldn't be surprised if it happens in that area. Certainly the part that extends into NEPA/NWNJ is consistent with some of the snowfall forecasts.

Latest SPC Mesoscale analysis confirms this.

First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_2634

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 3:17 pm

rb924119 wrote:I’ve been getting snow holed for the last two hours - all the best precipitation is just to my west and north, and I’m freakin’ Steelers Wheel over here; stuck in the middle (with you) GFS Model Brick

Now I know how it feels to be Jman lol love ya, buddy! Haha

Just as I posted this I got into better banding, finally. Already stickage. Thank God, I can back away from the ledge…..for now lmao

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Post by billg315 Thu Nov 21, 2024 3:26 pm

44* here with a steady, cold rain. Wind chill is 38*. It feels pretty darn cold enough for snow. We'll see what the night holds.
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Post by jurzdevil Thu Nov 21, 2024 3:30 pm

they just issued a WWA for me in Sussex County, 2-4 inches over night, 5-6" possible over 1200ft.

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Post by docstox12 Thu Nov 21, 2024 3:56 pm

jurzdevil wrote:they just issued a WWA for me in Sussex County, 2-4 inches over night, 5-6" possible over 1200ft.

That's Talt's area he's at 1200 feet or near it.

They just bumped my area up to 2 to 4 as well.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 4:28 pm

jurzdevil wrote:they just issued a WWA for me in Sussex County, 2-4 inches over night, 5-6" possible over 1200ft.

Smile

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 4:28 pm

docstox12 wrote:
jurzdevil wrote:they just issued a WWA for me in Sussex County, 2-4 inches over night, 5-6" possible over 1200ft.

That's Talt's area he's at 1200 feet or near it.

They just bumped my area up to 2 to 4 as well.

Smile

This means CP too, right?

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 4:29 pm

Ripping here now. Closing in on our first inch on the colder surfaces.

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 4:40 pm

Here we go, it should really start cranking and increase the radar presentation within the next couple hours.


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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Nov 21, 2024 4:43 pm

rb924119 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
jurzdevil wrote:they just issued a WWA for me in Sussex County, 2-4 inches over night, 5-6" possible over 1200ft.

That's Talt's area he's at 1200 feet or near it.

They just bumped my area up to 2 to 4 as well.

Smile

This means CP too, right?

Yep winter weather advisory for 2-4 inches in Orange County for places above 500 feet. I'm at 600 feet so I barely make the cut. Hoping for the best but really glad we received a lot of rain. I can't ever remeber saying that in late November.
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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Nov 21, 2024 5:05 pm

Well Hello! First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 C640a610
Snowing in Stillwater at 1190 feet altitude, 37 degrees, not sticking to anything at 5:00 o’clock in the PM,
   Good Luck !
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Post by jurzdevil Thu Nov 21, 2024 5:09 pm

nice! im at ~700ft and 37deg now, down from 44 a couple hours ago...still just rain but its got that snow feel coming!

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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Nov 21, 2024 6:46 pm

Well snowing hard at 6:34 in the pm, a wet snow probably 85 percent snow , 15 percent rain mix. Sticking to cars and just starting to lightly stick to grass. Snow measuring stick still reading Zero. Indoor thermostat reads 34 degrees, outdoor mercury thermostat reads 34.5, going with the Mercury thermostat!
       Good Luck outFirst Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 5991f110

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Post by rb924119 Thu Nov 21, 2024 7:38 pm

First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_2635

Low-level frontogensis is starting to crank, and now we are going to start getting the mid-level vorticity advection and jet support cranking too, and that’s all within the presence of a severely* negatively tilting trough. I’m getting my popcorn ready for this one.

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Post by phil155 Thu Nov 21, 2024 8:00 pm

rb924119 wrote:First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_2635

Low-level frontogensis is starting to crank, and now we are going to start getting the mid-level vorticity advection and jet support cranking too, and that’s all within the presence of a severely* negatively tilting trough. I’m getting my popcorn ready for this one.



Raining pretty good here in middlesex county and sitting at 40 degrees. I am grateful we are getting some beneficial rain and I hope to see some mood flakes at some point

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Post by phil155 Thu Nov 21, 2024 8:17 pm

phil155 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_2635

Low-level frontogensis is starting to crank, and now we are going to start getting the mid-level vorticity advection and jet support cranking too, and that’s all within the presence of a severely* negatively tilting trough. I’m getting my popcorn ready for this one.



Raining pretty good here in middlesex county and sitting at 40 degrees. I am grateful we are getting some beneficial rain and I hope to see some mood flakes at some point


Not sure I buy this but accuweather is now calling for a change to snow here in the next 115 mins….

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Post by frank 638 Thu Nov 21, 2024 8:19 pm

Moderately coming down I am very happy that we are getting rain Everything helps.

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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Nov 21, 2024 8:30 pm

Snowing hard at 8:23 in pm, sticking to cars and now grass, not roads or sidewalks, First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 7487fa10
First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 B472a110
First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 6074c310
33 degrees, actually had to go up on roof and clear snow off satellite disc Tv stopped working. Usually only have to do that after a blizzard,
   Good Luck
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Nov 21, 2024 8:35 pm

39* 1.35 inches of rain so far...so happy for those getting their first white gold and am happy for the rest of us getting the rain! stay safe!
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Post by billg315 Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:00 pm

38* and raining. Wind chill 30*. Steady, sometimes heavy, rain most of the evening. About 1.50” here since last night which is indeed much-needed. Hoping to wake up to some snow falling by daybreak tomorrow.
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Post by billg315 Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:06 pm

Heaviest rain has been largely training over this area the last few hours.

First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_3512
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Post by frank 638 Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:13 pm

billg315 wrote:Heaviest rain has been largely training over this area the last few hours.

First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Img_3512
from 8 till now we had mod to occasionally heavy rain 🌧️!! Wish this was snow

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Post by SENJsnowman Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:32 pm

Mount Pocono is getting blasted!  First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 2744  First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 2744  First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 2744

It's also forecast to stay above freezing up there for the 3-4 days after the storm. I wonder if some of that melt will trickle down into the region and help replenish and rehydrate the surrounding areas?

This is as of 10:30 pm Thursday.
First Snow of the Season?! - Page 3 Mt_poc10

Light steady rain persists in Long Branch, NJ.

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Post by GreyBeard Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:40 pm

What no football fans here? The Browns and Steelers have been playing in a snowstorm as we speak in Cleveland. 18-13 Browns on top with 7 minutes left in the game..Steelers just took lead as I am writing this. Need to have Prime video. Score now is 19-18 Steelers on top.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:50 pm

Love seeing the snow pics

Congrats NWNJ, NEPA and SNY! Looks like parts of NNJ and NE NJ have a chance to see a changeover to snow too.

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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Nov 21, 2024 11:32 pm

2 inches on cars at 11:27 in pm, 33 degrees, snowing pretty good, sticking to grass and cars, not roads so much. Town truck just came by and put down salt, no plow on truck.
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