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January 2014 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Quietace Fri Jan 03, 2014 2:40 pm

Looks like January will continue on the active pattern...
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jan 03, 2014 2:45 pm

16* wind chill just went down to -2....

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 03, 2014 7:49 pm

This is crazy if it serves from the GGEM - very amped up system for the Jan 10th event!! Blizzard?? Sharp/Rain Snow line though but cold air will be their for most of us.

January 2014 Observations & Discussions Post-23-0-51724800-1388796004

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 03, 2014 7:58 pm

NAM showing a light snow maybe an inch after some ice Monday?? God I hope not cause the .5 rain the models are showing will flash freeze and like I said in the long range we could have a 1993-94 MLK (those who remember - Me, Doc, Roc, CP, Zoo anyone else ???) was a disaster - the set up is similar with a very strong arctic front dropping down really hard into a western coastal system (call it this??) an dthen changes the rain the ice to snow - locked us up for days but I know that was more amped on storm side and the cold air hit as the storm was still kickin' giving us 1-2" of ice and only about 2" of snow. Input anyone?

January 2014 Observations & Discussions F72

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jan 03, 2014 8:15 pm

Hope no ice...going out for my birthday! But it is going to be a mess....

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 03, 2014 8:25 pm

Really have to watch this carefully. If it rains Monday and temps plummet, it could result in bad icing.

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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 03, 2014 9:29 pm

amugs wrote:NAM showing a light snow maybe an inch after some ice Monday?? God I hope not cause the .5  rain the models are showing will flash freeze and like I said in the long range we could have a 1993-94 MLK (those who remember - Me, Doc, Roc, CP, Zoo anyone else ???) was a disaster - the set up is similar with a very strong arctic front dropping down really hard into a western coastal system (call it this??) an dthen changes the rain the ice to snow - locked us up for days but I know that was more amped on storm side and the cold air hit as the storm was still kickin' giving us 1-2" of ice and only about 2" of snow. Input anyone?

January 2014 Observations & Discussions F72

Remember it well,Mugsy.Heavy rain like in a thunderstorm, with the temp at 21 degrees.1 inch of ice and temps below 10 degrees for a week.Never saw anything like it before or since.

I share your concern with Monday.Hope the moisture can evaporate or dissipate before he extreme cold heads in.
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 03, 2014 10:42 pm

GuYs,

The GFS and NAM have this flash freeze for us in the N & W burbs with 1-2" of snow after ice - this is going to be a great concern as we move forward - need to really watch this cause this can be worse than the storm we just had!! Shocked Shocked 

Mugs

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Fri Jan 03, 2014 10:45 pm

what did it show for me?
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Post by Radz Sat Jan 04, 2014 8:26 am

Looks to be a 40* drop in temps Monday, but over what time period will be the question...
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Post by Artechmetals Sat Jan 04, 2014 9:23 am

Was reading franks post is jan 10 another snowstorm or just a small disturbance
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Post by sroc4 Sat Jan 04, 2014 10:10 am

Artechmetals wrote:Was reading franks post is jan 10 another snowstorm or just a small disturbance

Prob smaller disturbance

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Quietace Sat Jan 04, 2014 3:59 pm

Freezing Rain advisories out for Western Areas. NWS citing up to .10 inch of accumulation possible Sunday Morning.
January 2014 Observations & Discussions Phi12
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 04, 2014 4:34 pm

The NAM seems to show some wet snow to end the system, IDK if this is a real threat or not because backend stuff tends to not work out more often then it does.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAPA_18z/etaloop.html
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Post by aiannone Sat Jan 04, 2014 4:55 pm

Quietace wrote:Freezing Rain advisories out for Western Areas. NWS citing up to .10 inch of accumulation possible Sunday Morning.
January 2014 Observations & Discussions Phi12

Weird how Upton hasn't issued anything.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 04, 2014 10:16 pm

I am a bit confused, so there is a ice threat tomorrow morning and Monday? What exactly is a flash freeze? Like all that water everywhere will immediately turn to ice making roads a veritible ice rink?
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Post by Dtone Sun Jan 05, 2014 7:46 am

Getting some light sleet and freezing drizzle 26*

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Post by Dtone Sun Jan 05, 2014 7:54 am

On cue they just issued a freezing rain advisory for NYC, NE NJ and Nassau county

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Post by Dtone Sun Jan 05, 2014 7:57 am

The cold air is stubborn just outside of nyc & immediate suburbs. Still single digits and teens out there.

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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 05, 2014 8:15 am

jmanley32 wrote:I am a bit confused, so there is a ice threat tomorrow morning and Monday? What exactly is a flash freeze?  Like all that water everywhere will immediately turn to ice making roads a veritible ice rink?
exactly!

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jan 05, 2014 9:04 am

Dtone wrote:The cold air is stubborn just outside of nyc & immediate suburbs. Still single digits and teens out there.

15* here but no precip yet....

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 05, 2014 9:14 am

Dtone wrote:The cold air is stubborn just outside of nyc & immediate suburbs. Still single digits and teens out there.

7 here, the low was 2.7
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 05, 2014 9:52 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 803 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014 ...A GLAZING OF ICE EXPECTED WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN... NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072>075-176>179-051800- /O.EXT.KOKX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140105T1800Z/ HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 803 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF URBAN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND NASSAU COUNTY ON LONG ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TRACE. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS OVERSPREADING THE AREA THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...A GLAZE OF ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS... ESPECIALLY ON UNTREATED AND ELEVATED SURFACES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 05, 2014 9:54 am

January 2014 Observations & Discussions DIX_loop

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jan 05, 2014 10:14 am

hmmmm, looks like it is staying south enough from me...maybe my temps will have time to rise before it gets here...btw...JFK closed due to ice and small plane off runway...Philly airport closed too

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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