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2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map

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Post by Taffy Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:24 am

35.1 degrees and light snow. It's not sticking yet.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:25 am

@docstox12 wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:I'm actually hoping more for CPK to snow today then my own back yard.  It's a lomg way to go for the seasonal record but I'd like to see them keep climbing the list.  Number 9 right now.


NYC Top 15  Seasonal Snowfalls
Rank Amount Year & Date(s)
1        75.6  1995-96 

2        63.2  1947-48 
3        61.9  2010-11
4        60.4  1922-23 
5        60.3  1872-73 
6        57.8  1874-75 
7        55.9  1898-99 
8        54.7  1960-61 
9        54.0  2013-14
10      53.4  1993-94 
11      53.2  1906-07 
12      52.0  1933-34 
13      51.5  1966-67 
14      51.4  2009-10
15      50.7  1915-16 
15      50.7  1916-17 
15      50.7  1977-78
Unless we get another MECS, the top spot might be out of reach, however I definitely think we will over take second place.

I think that's apretty good bet the way things are going.

Plenty of snow time left.

I agree with you to Doc. Definitely not impossible but it still considered a longshot at this stage. I mean were still 22 inches behind that's a lot . But if this winter pattern holds and comes back at the end of next week and that's the big key we definitely have a shot.

Could be a real long shot to hit number one, but possible.
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:26 am

35 * big flakes,looks like it might start sticking next half hour or so
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Post by algae888 Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:31 am

33 degrees in moderate snow in Mount Vernon. looking at the radar it looks like the storm is west and there's some heavy bands of rain and thunderstorms over the Delmarva looks like it's coming straight up for the metro New York area. something to watch. the one thing against this storm which may keep accumulating down even if we get into the heavy stuff is the warm temperatures and a stronger sun angle
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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:35 am

Just think if we had blocking this year to slow the systems down. Everything has been so damn progressive; otherwise its a good bet we would of taken over the top spot after all is said and done, if not done so already. That being said, I mentioned several times that sometimes you come across a winter where it just wants to snow. Don't be surprised if we get another major storm in the coming weeks- just a gut feeling.


Last edited by nutleyblizzard on Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:39 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:35 am

Nothing here in the NENJ snowhole! 36*/28*

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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:36 am

888 I agree if it gets going at noon Worst time radiant heat

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:37 am

Snowing here now at a good clip, dropped from 40 to 34 degrees in the past hour. Precipitation is cooling the column.
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:38 am

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Qvxk

Surface MSLP and 500mb looks negative
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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:39 am

That's good NJ

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:39 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:Just think if we had blocking this year to slow the systems down. Everything has been so damn progressive; otherwise its a good bet we would taken over the top spot after all is said and done, if done so already. That being said, I mentioned several times that sometimes you come across a winter where it just wants to snow. Don't be surprised if we get another major storm in the coming weeks- just a gut feeling.

Nuts - I can't agree with you more - IF we had the blocking we had last year or this summer - one word - HISTORIC!! 

Yes we will get another good storm or two cause Ol' man winter wants it to be that way this winter. We usually get a crazy storm or two in March - imagine we two like we had the other day - we go after that record. May have to shake down the Zookeeper and have him use the short ruler if you know what I mean!!! Laughing  Laughing

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:40 am

@Joe Snow wrote:2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Qvxk

Surface MSLP and 500mb looks negative

Joe,

first of all welcome aboard! Secondly I saw thislast night - she may start to get cranking now - a little delayed like the models this morning!! We shall see.

Mugs

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:43 am

@amugs wrote:
@Joe Snow wrote:2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Qvxk

Surface MSLP and 500mb looks negative

Joe,

first of all welcome aboard! Secondly I saw thislast night - she may start to get cranking now - a little delayed like the models this morning!! We shall see.

Mugs

It's likely going to be far too late for us, my forecast of 2-4" stands besides on the eastern 1/3 of LI where it will be 4-6"+
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:48 am

Finally - Light flurries - temp in15  minutes dropped from 36,3 to 35*

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:50 am

HRRR out!

 Tom I think you are in the bullseye in CNJ and Mets - I do not know but you maybe on the edge of this for LI - eastern LI gets gets thumped

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Post-770-0-86479100-1392480651

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Post by missmorris Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:51 am

Flurries just started about 10 minutes ago here in mid Morris county.

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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Feb 15, 2014 11:52 am

@amugs wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:Just think if we had blocking this year to slow the systems down. Everything has been so damn progressive; otherwise its a good bet we would taken over the top spot after all is said and done, if done so already. That being said, I mentioned several times that sometimes you come across a winter where it just wants to snow. Don't be surprised if we get another major storm in the coming weeks- just a gut feeling.

Nuts - I can't agree with you more - IF we had the blocking we had last year or this summer - one word - HISTORIC!! 

Yes we will get another good storm or two cause Ol' man winter wants it to be that way this winter. We usually get a crazy storm or two in March - imagine we two like we had the other day - we go after that record. May have to shake down the Zookeeper and have him use the short ruler if you know what I mean!!! Laughing  Laughing
You got that right mugs. Even without the blocking, we're still racking up the snow totals. Since my wife and relatives know that I'm the "weatherman" of the family, they keep asking me with agitated looks on their faces if this is it for the winter. Normally when a snowstorm is coming, I tend to get very excited, however this winter with all this snow, I've been keeping a low profile. Let's take over first place!!! king 
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:03 pm

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Xnni


Current Radar Rain Snow line just south of the Island on the East End
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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:08 pm

Joe Lots of holes hope it fills in

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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:09 pm

Snow went from light to moderate the last five minutes here.
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Post by sroc4 Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:09 pm

@Joe Snow wrote:2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 5 Xnni


Current Radar Rain Snow line just south of the Island on the East End

Light Flurries out here in Wading River. Joe Snow I like that MSLP 500MB overlay above. What site is that?

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:10 pm

Docs Nice!

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Post by sroc4 Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:11 pm

@oldtimer wrote:Sroc  Do you see anything different from than last night? You are close to the 6-10  The maps look impressive  The temps are mild  Some mixing at the start
]

I personally dont see anything at the moment that has me think any differently than whats been said. I do think heavier bands make it a tad further west over western suffolk but thats about it.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by mhbaben Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:11 pm

Still snowing but not sticking. 37*
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 12:12 pm

@oldtimer wrote:Joe   Lots of holes hope it fills in


Oh it will, This thing hasn't started cranking yet.....................
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