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2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map

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Post by Dtone Sat Feb 15, 2014 2:51 pm

Jeff Smith thinks some accumulation is still on the way

Jeff Smith ‏@JeffSmithABC7 6m
Snow will fill in across the area over the next few hours...still expecting a few inches into this evening, but 3"-6" on LI. @ABC7NY

https://twitter.com/JeffSmithABC7/status/434775224312414208

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 2:52 pm

My analysis.

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 8 2_1510

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Post by Quietace Sat Feb 15, 2014 2:56 pm

Light Snow here now. Change over a few minutes ago.
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Post by HectorO Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:00 pm

Nothing here at work. Snowed a little earlier but melted on contact.
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Post by Quietace Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:01 pm

Accumulating lightly on colder surfaces but is coming down moderately. Temp dropped rapidly to 33 now.
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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:05 pm

NWS has upped my snow fall totals 2-4" to 3-6". I can't understand why because radar doesn't look that impressive. Looks like it will be ending here shortly. Plus the snow has gone back to very light again. Any thought's ?
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:06 pm

Starting to snow very fine flakes here.
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Post by mako460 Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:06 pm

coming down real good now, if it could stay like this til after sunset we could make 3-4 inches, not counting on it though.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:07 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:NWS has upped my snow fall totals 2-4" to 3-6". I can't understand why because radar doesn't look that impressive. Looks like it will be ending here shortly. Plus the snow has gone back to very light again. Any thought's ?

Areas in PA already approached 5-6", apparently near Hazleton, NWS probably did that to fit in with that but appears like it's just localized areas at this time.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:08 pm

NADA, Unless something happens soon I think its time to move onto 18th storm possibility.
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:10 pm

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 8 In87

Latest Radar
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Post by nofoboater Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:12 pm

Mostly virga on the radar, nothing falling here.

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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:13 pm

Thanks Nj appreciate your input.
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Post by Dtone Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:21 pm

mako460 wrote:coming down real good now, if it could stay like this til after sunset we could make 3-4 inches, not counting on it though.

really? the radar looks like its filling in but still nothing but occasional flurries here

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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:21 pm

NJ The top red line you drew down and across the center of Long Island that Port Jefferson Alex is just west of ne in Saint James

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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:31 pm

2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 8 Xyvl

Current Radar Moving more North than North East

Still at 992mb
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Post by colosa4 Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:31 pm

Just started snowing here in northwestern Suffolk

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:34 pm

Just started to snow here in Saint James, LI. Temp down from 33 to 32

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Post by harrisonNJ Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:35 pm

Snowing heavy now in Morristown-streets now all white.

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Post by sroc4 Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:36 pm

Looks like precip is finally trying to fill in.  The heavier band just off the Eastern edge of the twin forks looks like it is trying to rotate into my area.  The positioning of the LP looks ok.  H5 looks great.  positioning of the 850MB LP in ok position.  I still think this will be a quick hitter but still produce.  
2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 8 WUNIDS_map?station=OKX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:36 pm

Pressure down to 990.7mb starting to bomb..............
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:36 pm

It's beginning to blossom a bit.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=dix&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Need that green to increase over the entire region to achieve the 2-4" forecast, needs to snow hard in the next 4 hours before it pulls away completely, that's about how much time we have left. At least for NJ/NYC, LI has more time especially the east end where jackpot totals of 6"+ are likely due to them already being under heavy bands for a while.
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Post by sroc4 Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:38 pm

I love the way H5 looks right now.  Nice neg tilt.  Look at the wind streams to show you the direction of the LP almost due north
2/15 Storm Obs. Thread - Final Snow Map - Page 8 500mb_sf

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by yorkseer Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:41 pm

I am out on the East End in East Hampton today ( I got lucky). Heavy snow after changeover from sleet about an hour ago. I would say at least an inch has fallen. Temp 31. Snow sticking to all roads and very icy due to earlier sleet and 37 degree temperatures.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:42 pm

27 degrees been snowing moderately here for the last hour and a half. About 1 inch so far, snowfall bordering on heavy right now.

Precip has been back building to my west since 2:00 as I noted then. Doesn't look like it's going anywhere for a couple of hours either other than intensifying.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:43 pm

Snow picking up here, thick coating approaching 1/2"

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes
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Post by Dtone Sat Feb 15, 2014 3:43 pm

temps took a dive to 32* with mod snow. quick dusting on colder surfaces

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