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March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:36 pm

no prob jman. yes frank i agree
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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:37 pm

Right now the storm in California is a beast so if it can drag in some Gulf moisture on it's trek east, your forecast is spot on, Frank.Your the only Met I have faith in.


Last edited by docstox12 on Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:39 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by MinaMak Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:37 pm

Very north trend

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2014030100/nam4km_ref_frzn_neus.html

"Virtue lies in the middle"!!

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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:38 pm

I like that, MiniMak!
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:39 pm

@docstox12 wrote:Right now the storm in California is a beast so if it can drag in some Gulf moisture on it's trek north, your forecast is spot on, Frank.Your the only Met I have faith in.

I just think too many organizations, including TWC / NWS and including respected hobbyist's are doing to much model hugging and not enough analyzing. I did a blog outlaying my thoughts. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. But at least I had facts to back up my thoughts. I do not think I will be wrong though Smile

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:40 pm

Just so everyone remembers, chat at 10pm

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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:41 pm

Hey, 6 to 12 is a decent snowstorm.I'll take it!
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Post by aiannone Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:41 pm

FWIW
March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 43 Usa_as13
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:41 pm

NAM run very low qpf like 4-6 in NYC, but not putting much stake in that being its not to its prime yet.
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Post by Joe Snow Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:45 pm

NAM @66

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_066_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=066&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140301+00+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0
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Post by devsman Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:47 pm

I think people are putting too much emphasis on the mountains breaking this apart and not thinking about the moisture that the gulf will provide. Where the cold front sets up is the big question that matters. And like we all say..." IN FRANK WE TRUST".
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Post by Joe Snow Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:55 pm

How do you get to the chat?
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Post by Scullybutcher Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:59 pm

It's on the bottom of the forum homepage
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Feb 28, 2014 10:40 pm

NAM was disappointing looking, GFS to 48, here goes nothing...
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Feb 28, 2014 10:45 pm

GFS is very suppressed, losing hope for a major event. Looks like a few inches from overrunning, south trend continues.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:04 pm

From that GFS run, will be happy to get 5 to 7 up here.Maybe better luck tomorrow run.
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Post by pdubz Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:04 pm

at least he still has hope
March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 43 32906b7730
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:05 pm

Cant ignore trends now, its been consistent, Steve D forecast is in major jeopardy.
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Post by devsman Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:20 pm

Lonnie Anderson still has his tie tied and his sleeves ....sleeved? So I'm not thinking of this storm til he looks rattled.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:28 pm

Map posted. Also new thread

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Post by aiannone Fri Feb 28, 2014 11:29 pm

You should lock this one now.
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