March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
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49 posters
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
wow NAM has a whole different story.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Nam is struggling big time with this storm. Should not be looked at until Saturday morning.
Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
HectorO wrote:Hoping some of these things don't come together and we just get a few inches here and there. I literally can't afford this snow. I'm tired of it happening during the work week. It would be a disaster, several clients canceling on me= no money. I can't wait until we get weather like last weekend.
I own a rebar shop, we haven't worked in almost 2 months the snow is killing us, we worked yesterday and today next week will be another week we do nothing.............it is what it is have to roll with the punches and hope for the best.
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Temps continue to cool into hr 75. Precip developing to our sw near Tennessee.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
nothing in area by 7am monday 84 hrs, too early still imo.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
from accu forums "NAM is good after looking warm Sunday Afternoon, by 1:00am Monday sfc 32 line is just south of DCA"
pdubz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
i see that ace im hoping thats our snow coming in
but its late
but its late
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
NAM not in good range yet. Much more interested in GFS.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
NAM actually looks good for the "real" storm. That area of overrunning was just noise
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
right NJ figured as much, GFS should be soon right.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Okay Ill trust wehat you say Frank I cant read into these maps as well as you can not even close.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Yes as well as no holiday except for Xmas eve night but that was a squall not quite a storm level!Frank_Wx wrote:HectorO wrote:Hoping some of these things don't come together and we just get a few inches here and there. I literally can't afford this snow. I'm tired of it happening during the work week. It would be a disaster, several clients canceling on me= no money. I can't wait until we get weather like last weekend.
The no weekend rule has been in effect by Mother Nature this winter
New Years, MLK and Presidents' Day -what is next ST pat's , Easter , ides of march, Yankee opening day, 1 st day of spring?
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Warning to all now: I'm predicting a south trend on the models tonight. But as has been the case this winter, shift north last minute. Probably Friday night or Saturday morning.
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
NAM is actually very cold by 84. 0c isotherm all the way down to Cape May.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
What time is gfs
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
A small south trend on GFS shouldnt hurt me much. But as you said it will probably be temporary.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
thanks Ace what are we hoping for with these runs i mean we are currently looking good so lets hope they stay sameQuietace wrote:10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
All i want is more QPF, and some consistency.skinsfan1177 wrote:thanks Ace what are we hoping for with these runs i mean we are currently looking good so lets hope they stay sameQuietace wrote:10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
i got the consistency part qpf i thght was good .75 to 1.00. More would be better though lolQuietace wrote:All i want is more QPF, and some consistency.skinsfan1177 wrote:thanks Ace what are we hoping for with these runs i mean we are currently looking good so lets hope they stay sameQuietace wrote:10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
I mean if i really want to be picky, maybe some cooler 850s and surface temps to help with ratios. I still expect a uptick in QPF.skinsfan1177 wrote:i got the consistency part qpf i thght was good .75 to 1.00. More would be better though lolQuietace wrote:All i want is more QPF, and some consistency.skinsfan1177 wrote:thanks Ace what are we hoping for with these runs i mean we are currently looking good so lets hope they stay sameQuietace wrote:10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
yes that would be great i expect more liquid bc for 30 hrs and the totals that seems like alot of light snowQuietace wrote:I mean if i really want to be picky, maybe some cooler 850s and surface temps to help with ratios. I still expect a uptick in QPF.skinsfan1177 wrote:i got the consistency part qpf i thght was good .75 to 1.00. More would be better though lolQuietace wrote:All i want is more QPF, and some consistency.skinsfan1177 wrote:thanks Ace what are we hoping for with these runs i mean we are currently looking good so lets hope they stay sameQuietace wrote:10:25 initialization.skinsfan1177 wrote:What time is gfs
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
The good news we are all good with salt at the DPW two trucks dropped 60 tons off yesterday.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Since when have we cared what the NAM predicts 84 hours out?
If the OZ GFS and EUro drops the heavy snow in WDC tonight then I'll be concerned.
If the OZ GFS and EUro drops the heavy snow in WDC tonight then I'll be concerned.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
hey mugs yes i agree, snow totals seem to light for such long duration but like i said before i think ratios will be higher than 10:1, its gonna be cold and snow will be heavy at least at times.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
Not sure what the situation with DPW is here in Yonkers, all I know is the potholes are hell, not repaird and last snow there were barely any plows on side roads.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Since when have we cared what the NAM predicts 84 hours out?
If the OZ GFS and EUro drops the heavy snow in WDC tonight then I'll be concerned.
Yup.
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