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March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:17 pm

Not sure what the situation with DPW is here in Yonkers, all I know is the potholes are hell, not repaird and last snow there were barely any plows on side roads.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:17 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Since when have we cared what the NAM predicts 84 hours out?

If the OZ GFS and EUro drops the heavy snow in WDC tonight then I'll be concerned.

Yup.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:18 pm

CP, man come on lol
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:21 pm

The wind is roaring here
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:22 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:The wind is roaring here

Yes it is

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 24 Njwxnet-windsp

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Post by HectorO Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:23 pm

amugs wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
HectorO wrote:Hoping some of these things don't come together and we just get a few inches here and there. I literally can't afford this snow. I'm tired of it happening during the work week. It would be a disaster, several clients canceling on me= no money. I can't wait until we get weather like last weekend.

The no weekend rule has been in effect by Mother Nature this winter
Yes as well as no holiday except for Xmas eve night but that was a squall not quite a storm level!

New Years, MLK and Presidents' Day -what is next ST pat's , Easter , ides of march, Yankee opening day, 1 st day of spring?

Yesterday, I put on my jacket and fired up the grill after I brushed some snow off. All I needed was some warm sun. I'm counting the days.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:24 pm

What are the chances that far ma drop south happens though, I would think little to none.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:26 pm

Depends on that polar vortex jman
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:27 pm

right skins, well im really hoping GFS is near the same or more tonight should be starting now
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:28 pm

I hope it holds ground or trends colder
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:29 pm

HectorO wrote:
amugs wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
HectorO wrote:Hoping some of these things don't come together and we just get a few inches here and there. I literally can't afford this snow. I'm tired of it happening during the work week. It would be a disaster, several clients canceling on me= no money. I can't wait until we get weather like last weekend.

The no weekend rule has been in effect by Mother Nature this winter
Yes as well as no holiday except for Xmas eve night but that was a squall not quite a storm level!

New Years, MLK and Presidents' Day -what is next ST pat's , Easter , ides of march, Yankee opening day, 1 st day of spring?

Yesterday, I put on my jacket and fired up the grill after I brushed some snow off. All I needed was some warm sun. I'm counting the days.

Mugs:

Shall we unleash Snowman on Hector? He's bumming me out with his warm talk.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:32 pm

I was wait on you CP lol, ditto
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:32 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
HectorO wrote:
amugs wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
HectorO wrote:Hoping some of these things don't come together and we just get a few inches here and there. I literally can't afford this snow. I'm tired of it happening during the work week. It would be a disaster, several clients canceling on me= no money. I can't wait until we get weather like last weekend.

The no weekend rule has been in effect by Mother Nature this winter
Yes as well as no holiday except for Xmas eve night but that was a squall not quite a storm level!

New Years, MLK and Presidents' Day -what is next ST pat's , Easter , ides of march, Yankee opening day, 1 st day of spring?

Yesterday, I put on my jacket and fired up the grill after I brushed some snow off. All I needed was some warm sun. I'm counting the days.

Mugs:

Shall we unleash Snowman on Hector? He's bumming me out with his warm talk.

Please unleash me master. I'm chomping at the bit here.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:33 pm

GFS started

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 24 Gfs_polar_000_500_vort_ht

Can everyone see where the PV is on this graphic?

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:34 pm

looks down to coast, but thats a boogling map.
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Post by Sanchize06 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:35 pm

Let's see what the GFS does, can't imagine it moving much it's been pretty consistent. I think it may come in a little south, not much though

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:36 pm

jmanley32 wrote:What are the chances that far ma drop south happens though, I would think little to none.

JMan:

When you're dealing with a cold air mass as dense as some of the models have it, suppression of all this precipitation a hundred miles further south 3-4 days out wouldn't shock me in the least.

I sure hope it doesn't happen but I've seen it happen many times in the 35 years I've been observing weather. Frank and others on this board, myself included have alluded to that possibility for days.

Of course if you live in southern New Jersey your hoping for that right now.

Personally I want today's 12Z or 18Z GFS. that was a nice solution for everyone but it's also four days before an event. How often have you seen a snow map four days before an event tie out exactly, there's always some movement one way or the other.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:37 pm

very true CP, dually noted
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:38 pm

Yeah the pv looks south
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:41 pm

kinda hard to tell may not be too far south, hoping not.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:44 pm

You're cracking me up Snowman.  lol! 

I hope I'm still laughing after this GFS run.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:45 pm

GFS once again showing flurries around 10am Sunday

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Post by Sanchize06 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:48 pm

Looks pretty similar to 18z so far, which is good, maybe a tad colder?

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:50 pm

Hour 78, the PV is stronger and the northern stream energy is a little further north.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:51 pm

No colder please, if that PV gets any stronger were doomed, me first
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:53 pm

I guess if its more south im still in a good spot just dont want a north trend
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:53 pm

H0ur 84, southern stream is stronger than 12z

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