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1st Call Snow Map, March 3rd-4th Storm Discussion 2.0

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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 01, 2014 9:59 am

Appears Mets buying into the southern shift and are ending this much earlier.
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Post by Artechmetals Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:01 am

Channel 7 still sticking with 6 to 12 for most
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Post by Joe Snow Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:01 am

GFS initializes at 10:30 am.................. Who thinks it's going to be north? Lets take a vote
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Post by GreyBeard Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:01 am

So it seems doc.

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Post by Artechmetals Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:03 am

People so what new info are channel 2 and 4 looking at?
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:05 am

NWS dropping my accumulation from 3 1/2 to 7 1/2 to 2 1/2 to 5 1/2. That PV is drying me up,LOL!
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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:06 am

@Joe Snow wrote:GFS initializes at 10:30 am.................. Who thinks it's going to be north? Lets take a vote

My vote is North !  Laughing 
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:07 am

Think it stays with the southern solution.
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Post by GreyBeard Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:07 am

@Artechmetals wrote:People so what new info are channel 2 and 4 looking at?

Guy on channel 4 said his neighbors cousin has a friend whose uncle lives next to a meteorologist back in college and that's where he got his new info. affraid JK

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Post by Quietace Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:08 am

@Joe Snow wrote:GFS initializes at 10:30 am.................. Who thinks it's going to be north? Lets take a vote
10-20 mile shift north.

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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:09 am

Yeah, about as accurate as asking Uncle Charlie if his arthritis is signalling a snowstorm.
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Post by aiannone Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:09 am

I agree with ace.
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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:10 am

Met on channel 2 said he changed the colors on the Twister game to different forecasts and then spun the arrow that's what it landed on. LOL !!!


Last edited by SNOW MAN on Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:12 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by GreyBeard Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:11 am

 lol! lol! 

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:13 am

@amugs wrote:Here are the snow weenies on this board for a MECS!
Please GFS from 0Z run Thursday night be right!!
1st Call Snow Map, March 3rd-4th Storm Discussion 2.0 - Page 6 Post-962-0-30565600-1393684644

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:15 am

1st Call Snow Map, March 3rd-4th Storm Discussion 2.0 - Page 6 P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000

12z RGEM at hours 48

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Post by aiannone Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:16 am

Not bad. Slightly north from yesterday. Correct?
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Post by sroc4 Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:17 am

Steve D still thinking higher. Still in line with my thinking.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:19 am

RGEM for the 1st wave tomorrow night

1st Call Snow Map, March 3rd-4th Storm Discussion 2.0 - Page 6 I_nw_r1_EST_2014030112_035

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:21 am

Mets2695 wrote:Not bad. Slightly north from yesterday. Correct?

I do not remember yesterdays run. RGEM will come into better range tomorrow at 12z.

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Post by aiannone Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:22 am

RGEM is colder for the 1st wave.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:25 am

Mets2695 wrote:RGEM is colder for the 1st wave.

Usually means the 2nd will be south from previous runs. Looking over this mornings models. Got kind of excited when the 6z NAM came well north, then looked at 12z and it dropped back south. GFS came well north at 6z but could just have been a blip like the NAM.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:27 am

SREFs still look like a glorified frontal passage.

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_9z/srefloop.html
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Post by aiannone Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:29 am

SREFs are north though
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:31 am

Mets2695 wrote:SREFs are north though

With the first wave, I'm having a hard time seeing a well defined second wave, it's very narrow kind of like the first and still slides to the east. Models are clearly still having trouble with this considering the NAM is literally bouncing the storm like a trampoline each run, headache... Going to get ahead of myself today and take the aspirin now.
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