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BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:50 pm

soul who is eric?
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:52 pm

Anyone have the 00z GFS?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:54 pm

soul I just went to their twitter feed you have the link to that because I do not see it anywhere?
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:55 pm

Here is the whole conversation

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 2 E64208ea4b
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:55 pm

The 00z GFS still hangs energy back in the west, so this run is likely not to show a strong storm like the EURO shows.

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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:57 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:The 00z GFS still hangs energy back in the west, so this run is likely not to show a strong storm like the EURO shows.

This far out phasing is more important then track right?


Last edited by pdubz on Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:57 pm

Polar stream energy is extremely potent at hours 102 dropping down, but a lot of the northern stream energy got sheared apart. May not show a great run. We'll see

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 07, 2014 10:59 pm

Frank what does your gut say at this point? GFS/ Euro or blend?
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:02 pm

Apparently the GFS is lost.. what a shocker Evil or Very Mad

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 2 Post-21166-1394251479_thumb


Last edited by pdubz on Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:02 pm

GFS hardly has a storm. Shears the energy

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:07 pm

Ahhh well I'm not concerned at this far out.  Its that upgrade they need.  I am feeling the Euro for some reason or something similar.
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:07 pm

@pdubz wrote:Here is the whole conversation

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 2 E64208ea4b

Exactly, thanks Pdubz.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:10 pm

Oh no CP, mugs etc we didn't warn everyone about posting maps!
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:11 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Oh no CP, mugs etc we didn't warn everyone about posting maps!

only the bad ones so people don't get happy.. i wont post any other
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 07, 2014 11:32 pm

00z CMC looking different or still the most northern track?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 08, 2014 12:02 am

00z GEFS look north of the OP

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 2 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f120

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 08, 2014 1:22 am

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 2 1912181_752397498106699_1364422314_n

Euro has caved to the GFS in holding back energy in the west, but the northern stream energy is more potent than the GFS and tries to make up for it this run

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 08, 2014 1:25 am

Euro has a late phase this run.

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Post by pdubz Sat Mar 08, 2014 2:18 am

Rather have the crappy runs now then Tuesday night
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:19 am

I had a dream that Bill Evans posted a snowfall map now and jinxed us lol.  Gosh CP you really have me in the grips of superstition lol
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Post by essexcountypete Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:50 am

uh oh jman, when you're having weather anxiety dreams you know you're in too deep brother.

I think we all need to go outside today and get some fresh air.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 08, 2014 9:09 am

@essexcountypete wrote:uh oh jman, when you're having weather anxiety dreams you know you're in too deep brother.

I think we all need to go outside today and get some fresh air.

I'm off to the shore myself today....too bad Seaside is going to be crazy with the St. Patty's Day parade...will have to go somewhere else.....

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 9:33 am

Zoo you are a die hard jersey Beach Girl - the beach on the 1st 50* day o fteh year - hope a sea breeze doesn't kick in or else brrrrr!! Have fun O'Zoo!!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 08, 2014 10:00 am

This mornings 6z GFS operational had a much better look than last nights 0Z. If anyone has looked at the ensembles I'd be curious if there was the same type improvement.

I'm not married to any run yet but I'd rather be trending towards a storm than not. It's only 5 days out now so I will pay closer attention to model runs starting today.

Anyone thoughts?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 08, 2014 10:32 am

I've been favoring a rain to snow scenario for us along the coast. The more north and west you love the less rain you'll see. Details won't get ironed out until Mondayish. Models are still trying to figure out the track of the low. GFS had no phase last night back to a phase this morning. Very inconsistent.

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