NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

+25
Grselig
Quietace
2004blackwrx
jimv45
NjWeatherGuy
nancy-j-s
docstox12
mancave25
Yschiff
nutleyblizzard
algae888
SNOW MAN
oldtimer
sroc4
Artechmetals
amugs
Dunnzoo
essexcountypete
mako460
CPcantmeasuresnow
SoulSingMG
pdubz
jmanley32
Ronniek
Frank_Wx
29 posters

Page 11 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... , 10, 11, 12  Next

Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:54 pm

Does anyone buy the NAM with 3 feet of snow in northern NY and VT? None of the WSW show this.  It looks like the 00z came slightly south but running out of time, looks like hope faded.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:56 pm

mugs, you will instill a tiny bit of hope in me still we do have another day to track.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by amugs Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:56 pm

Homemade Baileys from the KSW aka Mugs

2 cups of light cream
1-1.5 cups of any whiskey
 1 cup of milk
2 tbsp of vanilla extract
2-3 tbsp of Hershey's syrup
 1 can of condensed milk

If in a pinch or like to save n a coin use baileys 16 oz creamer in the dairy aisle works in place of the cream

To make even creamier add a scoop or two of coffee or vanilla ice cream

Shake up real good chill and enjoy!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12202
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:57 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:CP the NAV GEM posted would that be snow for NYC and my area too? I know it has no support but was just curious?

Yes my lad, but tis an illusion.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by pdubz Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:59 pm

Why did the NAV GEM show such a crazy solution? its basically laughing at us  Sad   pale   Evil or Very Mad 
pdubz
pdubz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 539
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-09-24
Age : 29
Location : Port Washington,NY (L.I)

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:00 pm

right! had to pull it from somewhere, what had others shown, i havent even been watch the navgem.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:02 pm

@pdubz wrote:Why did the NAV GEM show such a crazy solution? its basically laughing at us  Sad   pale   Evil or Very Mad 

The NAVGEM had a bit to much of KSW's Baileys.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Dunnzoo Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:12 pm

@amugs wrote:Homemade Baileys from the KSW aka Mugs

2 cups of light cream
1-1.5 cups of any whiskey
 1 cup of milk
2 tbsp of vanilla extract
2-3 tbsp of Hershey's syrup
 1 can of condensed milk

If in a pinch or like to save n a coin use baileys 16 oz creamer in the dairy aisle works in place of the cream

To make even creamier add a scoop or two of coffee or vanilla ice cream

Shake up real good chill and enjoy!


I must say, I made mugs' recipe yesterday and it is awesome! I like that you can add a little extra chocolate if you want, or more whiskey but add another cup of milk if you add more whiskey....

and mugs...you left out the ice cream part when you sent it to me! Will have to add some, even though it is excellent without!  drunken 

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4377
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:21 pm

Not gunna lie, I expected this storm to bring us rain but did not expect it to trend this far north. Was thinking a rain to snow event for us. Oh well, onto the next one.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by pdubz Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:26 pm

we just cant end winter right, its either too south or too north  No 
pdubz
pdubz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 539
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-09-24
Age : 29
Location : Port Washington,NY (L.I)

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by MinaMak Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:30 pm

Quick question because I'm confused --> why are we completely discounting the NAV GEM when it was the first model to accurately predict last week's south trend and was pretty on target with the storm's track?

The only thing is that it is the extreme outlier as the NAM/GFS/EURO all show a track to our north.

Next storm it is, just curious about the NAVGEM

MinaMak

Posts : 19
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-12-06

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:34 pm

@MinaMak wrote:Quick question because I'm confused --> why are we completely discounting the NAV GEM when it was the first model to accurately predict last week's south trend and was pretty on target with the storm's track?

The only thing is that it is the extreme outlier as the NAM/GFS/EURO all show a track to our north.

Next storm it is, just curious about the NAVGEM

Because phasing is happening too soon and the lack of blocking will help this storm take a track north and west of us. Backend snow is possible still, I guess. But nothing to really get giddy over

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:39 pm

Latest 00z GFS has the low right over NYC

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f48

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:40 pm

980 mb

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:41 pm

A lot of dry slotting showing up. Temps in the 50's with on and off rain on Wednesday, could be moderate at times. No more than an inch expected.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by pdubz Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:44 pm

now we wait until Friday to start tracking the next potential
pdubz
pdubz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 539
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-09-24
Age : 29
Location : Port Washington,NY (L.I)

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:51 pm

Winds are gonna be fierce with this though.  On the front and back end.  Looks like 40-55 gusts namely.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:53 pm

Actually I just saw a different map that showed GFS 00z at 979 over NYC and 977mb after that.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 11, 2014 6:33 am

NAM came in south and colder : ) near 6 inches just north of city maybe bout 2-4 in city, can we hear a wut wut for Franks forecast?!  Lets see if this holds up.  Crazy amounts in northern NY 25-35 inches!  Not fair : (
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Mar 11, 2014 7:30 am

Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:01 am

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6888
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by pdubz Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:03 am

@sroc4 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

I'm gonna frame it and put it on the wall of BS
pdubz
pdubz
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 539
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-09-24
Age : 29
Location : Port Washington,NY (L.I)

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:35 am

@pdubz wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

I'm gonna frame it and put it on the wall of BS

LOL  It can go next to quite a few others from the past few weeks.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6888
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 11, 2014 9:05 am

Accuwx has us changing to snow still, "slippery travel " I can'rt believe the amounts NAM is showing up north, crazy but mets are keeping it low comparatively even NWS.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by docstox12 Tue Mar 11, 2014 9:28 am

Even though this event busts out for snow here, it's gonna be interesting tomorrow night.Temps plunge from the 50's to the teens, 40-50 MPH winds, possible thunderstorms maybe even a heavy snow squall or two.Great for observing.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7243
Reputation : 214
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Empty Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 11 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... , 10, 11, 12  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum