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BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

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Post by algae888 Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:29 pm

the polar vortex looks like it's furter south which we need to happen and there's a beautiful high pressure system right over the Great Lakes hopefully it can feed in enough cold air. the last storm the models under played the polar vortex and hopefully its doing the same with this storm
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:29 pm

hey algae yes wow 985 off jersey to 980 off cape cod wow.  What intrigues me even more is the position it is in off the cape is almost identical to the 12z euro and same pressure!  The snow axis is mostly into ct MA RI etc though, need that further trend south just a bit to start the snow earlier.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:30 pm

There's still a lot here to work with. The 18Z is close enough to make this a close watch, heavy snow for HV on that run even some to the coast.

I like the low key approach so far. This storm certainly can't perform any worse than last weeks non storm.

If you don't expect anything, you can't be disappointed. That's my motto for this storm.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:32 pm

good point CP, still cant help but get a lil excited seeing such a bomb on two models almost identical.  But no posting maps especially snow total maps, although I did see a website from wxbell euro yesterday and all i can say is wow and that was when it wasn't as big a bomb.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:34 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:good point CP, still cant help but get a lil excited seeing such a bomb on two models almost identical.  But no posting maps especially snow total maps, although I did see a website from wxbell euro yesterday and all i can say is wow and that was when it wasn't as big a bomb.

Hopefully there will be a time to post some snow maps, but not this far out and not with this much uncertainty. IMO.
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Post by algae888 Sat Mar 08, 2014 5:57 pm

we need to remember to that last week's storm temperatures were in the 60's in Virginia and DC and Baltimore the day before and they still had accumulating snow. so even though temperatures will be warm on Tuesday it can still snow if enough cold air gets pulled in. March is a very dynamic month a lot of cold air to the north and warm air to the south. so anything is possible right now
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:16 pm

I'm hearing 18z GFS went more south giving quite a heavy wet snow storm for NYC..? And CMC also trended toward EURO.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:19 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:good point CP, still cant help but get a lil excited seeing such a bomb on two models almost identical.  But no posting maps especially snow total maps, although I did see a website from wxbell euro yesterday and all i can say is wow and that was when it wasn't as big a bomb.

Hopefully there will be a time to post some snow maps, but not this far out and not with this much uncertainty. IMO.

Ditto CP and let's keep it that way until Monday folks when the energy comes into the PAC - I said this is a blog to my co-workers and weenie friends outside of this board - March Madness is about to commence - 50* one day and snow or ice the next - I've seen it all to familiar in these scenarios - we shall see and I am keeping the low profile and like you said CP low expectation (In my mind but my heart is not as KSW).
Patience my fellow weenie friends and hopefully good things will come to those who will wait and preserver!!

Made 3 batches of Homemade bailey's for next Monday already - let's see how far they get- HAHAHA!!

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:21 pm

mugs what does ksw stand for.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:23 pm

algea i looked at 12z cmc and its a stinky run.  Go witht the Euro and GFS right now, bit like all is being said low confidence, low profile low key and we hopefully will be happy this week : )
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:25 pm

Made 3 batches of Homemade bailey's for next Monday already - let's see how far they get- HAHAHA!![/quote]

Enough to share some Wednesday night?      drunken

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:52 pm

@jmanley32 wrote: king  king mugs what does ksw stand for.

KING SNOW WEENIE!! Self appointed king

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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:52 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote: Razz Made 3 batches of Homemade bailey's for next Monday already - let's see how far they get- HAHAHA!!

Enough to share some Wednesday night?      drunken[/quote]

Sure if it makes that far friends coming over tonight and domani

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 6:55 pm

oh may i be your squire oh mighty one lol.
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Post by SNOW MAN Sat Mar 08, 2014 7:08 pm

@amugs wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote: king  king mugs what does ksw stand for.

KING SNOW WEENIE!! Self appointed king

It may be self appointed , but definitely earned your  king ROYAL HIGHNESS  king


Last edited by SNOW MAN on Sun Mar 09, 2014 6:25 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:19 pm

I was looking at another forum(trust me you guys are the only ones I actually believe) and they are saying there was never and wont be any chance of anything this coming week.  Where do they get their info from outer space?
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:21 pm

obviously there is something going on its all over media and here just not sure how it will pan out yet.  I find it highly unlikely there will be nothing.  Its very quiet here, playing it low key is boring lol.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:41 pm

GEFS ens look good right now about 12 runs to go.

Jman squire art thou shall be geek

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:43 pm

well actually here i am considered the big snow weenie, weather geek whatever but you have claimed urself on the forum.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:47 pm

here meaning where I live.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:48 pm

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 4 Imagegif

This vort can be a player in our systems cofluence as it heads across GL and NE f it can go further south and stronger it cause our system to set up more south - IMO lets see what this 
does in the next 48 hours. Anyone like to chime in?

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 08, 2014 8:54 pm

mugs what do u think about the euro u think we will get such a intense low on that track, just a bit more south and we would have quite a storm, on current track looks like rain very high winds and back end snow, hoping it trends colder but whats ur thoughts on the euro its been somewhat consistent on this and the 18z gfs showed almost identical senario.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Mar 08, 2014 9:09 pm

Another thing you have to consider is if the storm develops to its full potential, a storm in the 980's should be able to produce its own cold air. A lot of dynamics at play here. A track off the delmarva would also be ideal for the best snow potential.
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Post by amugs Sat Mar 08, 2014 9:17 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:Another thing you have to consider is if the storm develops to its full potential, a storm in the 980's should be able to produce its own cold air. A lot of dynamics at play here. A track off the delmarva would also be ideal for the best snow potential.
Nuts Absolutely ! 

@Jman don't know and hoping it starts to trend s and e we shall see. I am not convinced with these models and am not really looking at them except ens from time to time truthfully. Won't really start looking at op until Tom night. Playing low key and cautiously optimistic. Keep it tempered squire

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Post by Yschiff Sat Mar 08, 2014 9:20 pm

Nam??

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