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*BLOG* (page 13) March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm

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Post by algae888 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:18 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:ukie also showing a bomb but a little east of euro

Algae:

You're not making this any easier, on any of us.
 
ok i am done for the day i am stepping away from the computer. until 18z of coarse
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:19 pm

But let me ask you this CP ,i f we just ignore it and don't chat and it does happen wouldnt you would have wished you spent more time being happy about it? And if it doesnt happen at least we all had a good chat.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:20 pm

lol algae, you and I need to connect somewhere else for now, shoot we live right next door we should meet up for coffee.
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Post by algae888 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:20 pm

ok cp ill make it easier the dgex doesn't have the storm
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:21 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:cp help me im starting to get real excited. its still 5-6 days out and we got burned so many times lately. please talk me out of this excitement.

I will repeat my post from the previous page Algae just so I can help you through this rough period.

There are better odds that People Magazine names me the sexiest man alive, than the odds of this storm burying us all in snow.

There's a better chance Kate Upton calls my house tonight and asks if I'll leave my wife so I can be with her, than this storm has of happening.

That should give you a good idea of how little chance this has of coming together.

I hope I've helped.

Wait a minute, i thought you were "the most interesting man in the World" who doesn't drink beer often but when he does ,drinks Dos Equis! How can you also be the most sexiest man alive also?

By the way, if one of those gorgeous young ladies you make those commercials with gets tired of you, tell her you know the second most interesting man in the world in Mahwah who drinks Budwieser!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:22 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:NJ see its not impossible, I think CP better really hope for his outcome because he would get a major snowstorm and his fame!

Never said it was impossible, but a look at the ensembles clearly shows it's still fairly unlikely.

Good Tom, I'd rather go with that line of thinking for now.

Even if every run showed a hit tonight, we still have to remember that only 3 days before each of the last two storms were predicted to hit the models turned abruptly against us.

Unless I see alot of agreement on a hit on Sunday nights 0Z, I'm not buying into it or getting my hopes up.
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Post by algae888 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:23 pm

the dgex takes the storm, a bomb off of hatteras and moves it southeast.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:25 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:But let me ask you this CP ,i f we just ignore it and don't chat and it does happen wouldnt you would have wished you spent more time being happy about it?  And if it doesnt happen at least we all had a good chat.

I'm a confused man right now Jman. I'm like Anakan Skywalker right before the Emperor turned him. I'm not sure which is the right path.
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:26 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Euro came in west , trying not to get excited but dang is it a powerful storm.  850mb winds have range of 50-100mph!  No more discussion about wind lol  Just a observation, never seen a pink dot on the map.

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2014032012&region=USA&var=GRD_850mb&hour=144

I will not be suckered in again, I will not be suckered in again, I will not be suckered in again.

"I DO believe in snowstorms...I DO, I DO, I DO!!!!!!!!!!"
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:27 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:But let me ask you this CP ,i f we just ignore it and don't chat and it does happen wouldnt you would have wished you spent more time being happy about it?  And if it doesnt happen at least we all had a good chat.

I'm a confused man right now Jman. I'm like Anakan Skywalker right before the Emperor turned him. I'm not sure which is the right path.

"It was wise of you, Obi-Wan, to ignore these models!"

Heartbreak yours, it will be!
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:27 pm

Doc I think we need to get CP to Lucy's 5 cent psychiatric stand as quickly as possible. I think he's ready to crack or go postal.  affraid 
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Post by algae888 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:29 pm

ok guys seriously speaking can we now be sure that there will be a storm on the east coast tues- wens? most if not all models show this
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:30 pm

@SNOW MAN wrote:Doc I think we need to get CP to Lucy's 5 cent psychiatric stand as quickly as possible. I think he's ready to crack or go postal.  affraid 

Yep, he's cracking up! He now says he is not paying attention until Sunday but you know he'll be checking every 1/2 hour here.

Guess he really wants that Upton woman!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:31 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:cp help me im starting to get real excited. its still 5-6 days out and we got burned so many times lately. please talk me out of this excitement.

I will repeat my post from the previous page Algae just so I can help you through this rough period.

There are better odds that People Magazine names me the sexiest man alive, than the odds of this storm burying us all in snow.

There's a better chance Kate Upton calls my house tonight and asks if I'll leave my wife so I can be with her, than this storm has of happening.

That should give you a good idea of how little chance this has of coming together.

I hope I've helped.

Wait a minute, i thought you were "the most interesting man in the World" who doesn't drink beer often but when he does ,drinks Dos Equis! How can you also be the most sexiest man alive also?

By the way, if one of those gorgeous young ladies you make those commercials with gets tired of you, tell her you know the second most interesting man in the world in Mahwah who drinks Budwieser!

Doc, if that were me I probably wouldn't be so obsessed with whether or not it snows.

On second thought I still would be. When the snow weenie gene is in your blood, it controls everything.
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:31 pm

@algae888 wrote:ok guys seriously speaking can we now be sure that there will be a storm on the east coast tues- wens? most if not all models show this

Well, it sure will be a lot of fun watching it develop.Thinking everybody here knows this is probably the last boat leaving the dock until Nov-Dec unless a real fat curveball comes in over the plate IN april.


Last edited by docstox12 on Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:42 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:34 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:cp help me im starting to get real excited. its still 5-6 days out and we got burned so many times lately. please talk me out of this excitement.

I will repeat my post from the previous page Algae just so I can help you through this rough period.

There are better odds that People Magazine names me the sexiest man alive, than the odds of this storm burying us all in snow.

There's a better chance Kate Upton calls my house tonight and asks if I'll leave my wife so I can be with her, than this storm has of happening.

That should give you a good idea of how little chance this has of coming together.

I hope I've helped.

Wait a minute, i thought you were "the most interesting man in the World" who doesn't drink beer often but when he does ,drinks Dos Equis! How can you also be the most sexiest man alive also?

By the way, if one of those gorgeous young ladies you make those commercials with gets tired of you, tell her you know the second most interesting man in the world in Mahwah who drinks Budwieser!

Doc, if that were me I probably wouldn't be so obsessed with whether or not it snows.

On second thought I still would be. When the snow weenie gene is in your blood, it controls everything.


It;s been in my blood since 1960.Why else would a 63 year old lunatic spend so much time on a website with a bunch of youngsters tracking snowstorms?

I can hear my dear departed Dad saying to me....Grow the f__k up!!!!!!!!!!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:34 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:But let me ask you this CP ,i f we just ignore it and don't chat and it does happen wouldnt you would have wished you spent more time being happy about it?  And if it doesnt happen at least we all had a good chat.

I'm a confused man right now Jman. I'm like Anakan Skywalker right before the Emperor turned him. I'm not sure which is the right path.

"It was wise of you, Obi-Wan, to ignore these models!"

Heartbreak yours, it will be!

You're killing me Doc  lol! 
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:39 pm

Cp don't feel to bad. I went on WeatherBug and checked the traffic cameras down where my mom lives. Holy cow ! There's no snow left down in South Jersey, not even piles that the plows make. I'm sure glad I still have a snow pack. I haven't seen my lawn since December. I'm sure you haven't either, so at least you have something to be happy about. Maybe ?
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:40 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:cp help me im starting to get real excited. its still 5-6 days out and we got burned so many times lately. please talk me out of this excitement.

I will repeat my post from the previous page Algae just so I can help you through this rough period.

There are better odds that People Magazine names me the sexiest man alive, than the odds of this storm burying us all in snow.

There's a better chance Kate Upton calls my house tonight and asks if I'll leave my wife so I can be with her, than this storm has of happening.

That should give you a good idea of how little chance this has of coming together.

I hope I've helped.

Wait a minute, i thought you were "the most interesting man in the World" who doesn't drink beer often but when he does ,drinks Dos Equis! How can you also be the most sexiest man alive also?

By the way, if one of those gorgeous young ladies you make those commercials with gets tired of you, tell her you know the second most interesting man in the world in Mahwah who drinks Budwieser!

Doc, if that were me I probably wouldn't be so obsessed with whether or not it snows.

On second thought I still would be. When the snow weenie gene is in your blood, it controls everything.


It;s been in my blood since 1960.Why else would a 63 year old lunatic spend so much time on a website with a bunch of youngsters tracking snowstorms?

I can hear my dear departed Dad saying to me....Grow the f__k up!!!!!!!!!!

I hear that every time it snows from my wife. Laughing 
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:41 pm

@SNOW MAN wrote:Doc I think we need to get CP to Lucy's 5 cent psychiatric stand as quickly as possible. I think he's ready to crack or go postal.  affraid 

Who are you kidding Snow Man? You're like my identical twin when it comes to this stuff.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:41 pm

Thank you doc! Thats the spirit! Aren't those 850mb winds insane!
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:43 pm

Well believe it or not I'm having a snow shower right now. Could this be a sign of things to come ?
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:43 pm

OMG! We need a meet up soon! You guys are too much!

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:46 pm

A couple of things to point out. Unlike the last three storms, this is an entire different set up. We are dealing with an intense miller A coastal. This winter whenever we were dealing with a coastal, they ultimately trended NW over time, especially 72 hours and under time frame. Will this do the same? Only time will tell. Also, the EURO historically seems to get a better handle on miller A storms, so I would tend to follow it more along with its ensembles. I got a feeling the GFS is up to its usual games showing an OTS solution. Think it will start playing catch up in the days ahead. How close will this storm get to us god only knows, but I'll tell you one thing, if the timing is right and that southern vort fully phases in and rides the benchmark, look out!!! affraid 
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:46 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@SNOW MAN wrote:Doc I think we need to get CP to Lucy's 5 cent psychiatric stand as quickly as possible. I think he's ready to crack or go postal.  affraid 

Who are you kidding Snow Man? You're like my identical twin when it comes to this stuff.

Your right I cannot tell a lie.
My wife actually bought me a salt and pepper shaker of Lucy and her stand. Do you think she's trying to tell me something ?
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