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March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 23, 2014 10:13 pm

So wheres Frank? I'd like to hear what he has to say about todays runs and I thought there was a 10pm snow map?
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 10:43 pm

NAM is OTS, actually comes west but doesn't matter as it's still not even close

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Post by Yschiff Sun Mar 23, 2014 10:44 pm

Where frank??

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Post by Joe Snow Sun Mar 23, 2014 10:50 pm

March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0 - Page 21 1nz
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:06 pm

Sorry guys, had to go to grandmas today after work for Sunday dinner. I have not even looked at data today. Will do so over the course of the next couple of hours and put together a forecast along with a snow map for Tuesday

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:10 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Sorry guys, had to go to grandmas today after work for Sunday dinner. I have not even looked at data today. Will do so over the course of the next couple of hours and put together a forecast along with a snow map for Tuesday
You don't wanna look at the data and runs from 
today lol

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Post by Joe Snow Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:12 pm

@Sanchize06 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Sorry guys, had to go to grandmas today after work for Sunday dinner. I have not even looked at data today. Will do so over the course of the next couple of hours and put together a forecast along with a snow map for Tuesday
You don't wanna look at the data and runs from 
today lol


Very True
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Post by Math23x7 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:13 pm

The Hi-RES 0Z NAM showed even less snow for the NYC region than the regular NAM...

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:21 pm

JB really is something, saying on Twitter the RGEM is closer to the coast which supports his thinking  for the past couple of days, meanwhile the RGEM is still too far offshore

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Post by algae888 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:24 pm

@Sanchize06 wrote:JB really is something, saying on Twitter the RGEM is closer to the coast which supports his thinking  for the past couple of days, meanwhile the RGEM is still too far offshore

rgem is way west of 12z
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Post by algae888 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:27 pm

its just off of the Delmarva but very disorganized. for us to get good snows from this it has to rapidly intensify. looks like we will get some snow though
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Post by Joe Snow Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:27 pm

GFS has Initialized.................... What if it goes west?
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Post by algae888 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:33 pm

it drops 5mb in 4hrs from 999 to 994mb. its moving fast though
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:35 pm

It is weird because so far what I am seeing on guidance from today is the trough getting negative at a pretty good time, but the low is still further east.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:35 pm

The EURO and its ensembles seem to be most bullish

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:37 pm

@algae888 wrote:its just off of the Delmarva but very disorganized. for us to get good snows from this it has to rapidly intensify. looks like we will get some snow though
Yeah, I think I was looking at the wrong map. Either way it's barely in range, I'll be interested to see if the CMC comes west. My guess is yes since it really can't go any further east than it did at 12z

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:50 pm

GFS is slightly west of 18z, still OTS though

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Post by algae888 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:50 pm

gfs looks the same barely any snow for any of us including cape cod
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:55 pm

It looked it a good spot off the NC coast and I honestly don't understand why it shoots ENE from there, it looks like it should be closer to the coast

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Post by Joe Snow Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:59 pm

I am comparing the 18Z to the latest 00Z for the GFS looks like it's a little west at 00Z Wednesday for comaprison. Came off the coast stronger and organized.

It's definitely West when compare at 06Z Wednesday.
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Post by algae888 Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:04 am

@Sanchize06 wrote:It looked it a good spot off the NC coast and I honestly don't understand why it shoots ENE from there, it looks like it should be closer to the coast

yes it is in a good spot and trough is starting to go neg. so would assume it would come n/ne but it doesn't. it looks like the trough itself is to progressive and kicks the storm east. look at h5 from hr 42 to hr 48 and how far east trough moves
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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:09 am

GGEM has come in WAY west. This _____ storm is giving me anxiety, all the way from Montréal!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:10 am

I have issued a snow map, new thread

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Post by Sanchize06 Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:11 am

@algae888 wrote:
@Sanchize06 wrote:It looked it a good spot off the NC coast and I honestly don't understand why it shoots ENE from there, it looks like it should be closer to the coast

yes it is in a good spot and trough is starting to go neg. so would assume it would come n/ne but it doesn't. it looks like the trough itself is to progressive and kicks the storm east. look at h5 from hr 42 to hr 48 and how far east trough moves
Thanks, makes sense. I just wanna see the CMC and EURO lol

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