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March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:39 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Only takes one rainstorm like this to overflow our two main rivers saw mill and bronx river, and the parkways themselves have alot of areas that pool sometimes up to feet, in less, so I do expect issues here especiually since I am in the orange area.

Yes but at least the ground is not saturated, it will be able to soak up a decent amount before it begins to run off. My area is all clay soil which is terrible at holding rain it basically just runs off, doesn't hold water well at all that's why grass around here turns mega brown in summer unless watered very often. This is childs play compared to the April 2007 Noreaster which dropped upwards of 6-9" of rain in the area.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:41 pm

I'm in the 2.5 - 3"....and my yard is still squishy from the snow melt....still have patches of snow and ice around...

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:43 pm

Lol NAM tries to end with snow.

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAPA_18z/etaloop.html
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:48 pm

15z SREFs

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:53 pm

It just better be outta here by 9 am Monday for tailgating at Citifield!

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:58 pm

18z NAM has a classic closed low signature

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 3_28na10
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:24 pm

My yard is is very soft as is the ground up here from the thaw so the ground isn't going to hold the 2-3" of rain bing predicted. 

NAM snow what a shocker!! affraid

Zoo the snow is for Monday - get out the parka and gloves!hahaha an omen to the Mets season?

A friggin miserable weekend ahead the 48* high temp felt like the upper 30's today with the rain and clouds up here ugghhhhhhhh!

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:26 pm

HPC next 7 days - get out the ark!!

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 20140328-101501

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Post by amugs Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:31 pm

RGEM wow- get the provisions ready were gonna set sail!! 

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 18_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036
March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 18_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048

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Post by Dtone Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:18 pm

Is this mild surge of air gonna progress any further? Its been close to 10* warmer in CPK than here all day. 6-7 miles away. South & West of the Triboro Br is in the 60s. Like the LI sound is holding it back

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Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:46 pm

yea I thought my high was forecasted for 55 today but it only reached 47 as of now.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:27 pm

True NJ, but heres a little reverse psych for ya, what if the models are under playing this and we get way more than expected (shoot every other storm has thrown us a curveball). It would be another kick in the pants for snow weenies.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:30 pm

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 Holy_n10

WOW, upped to near over 4-5 inches, I am thinking this may over perform in some areas.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:34 pm

Wait is this turning into a snowstorm?!

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 Snow10

How is this even possible with the temps.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:36 pm

Anyone who uses wxbell is there anyway to view a closeup of the NAM?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:40 pm

thats better, eye candy nam still to far out but drastic change from earlier.

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 Nam_3h10
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:46 pm

When will the NAM ever get its sh*t together. Ever??

One thing's for sure: big rains sat night into sun am. We need a good ole fashioned natural street cleaning in Harlem, lemme tell ya.
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Post by pdubz Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:47 pm

ill be mad if snows that hard just north of long island  Evil or Very Mad 
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 28, 2014 10:47 pm

i hear ya soul doesnt make sense at all.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 28, 2014 11:53 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:thats better, eye candy nam still to far out but drastic change from earlier.

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 Nam_3h10

Obviously I'd love this, but it's not happening.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 29, 2014 1:00 am

Wow the GFS kinda stalls the coastal low off our coast once H5 closes off. 3+ inches of rain. Starts tomorrow around 1pm (today I guess) and lasts all the way into Monday morning 7am.

That's a crazy long duration event. Definitely flooding concerns

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Mar 29, 2014 1:01 am

March 28-31st Possible Rain Storm - Page 5 PR_000-048_0000

RGEM total rainfall, 3-6 inches of rain

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Mar 29, 2014 2:55 am

WOAHHH me and Jman's pads are right under that pink blob!! Look outtttt.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 29, 2014 4:14 am

Dang soul thats 4-6 inches of rain roughly! The city is goin to get inundated, and forget it with the parkways if it rains that much they will BE the rivers not next to them lol.
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Mar 29, 2014 4:21 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Dang soul thats 4-6 inches of rain roughly!  The city is goin to get inundated, and forget it with the parkways if it rains that much they will BE the rivers not next to them lol.

It's a bit odd the five boroughs aren't included in the flood watch. I realize we are below average for March precip, but 4+ inches of rain is enough to cause flooding problems regardless of the deficit.
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