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April 2014 Observations and Discussion

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Post by amugs Tue Apr 29, 2014 4:25 pm

@algae888 wrote:i'm at 47* with a stiff east wind. will not make it out of the 40's until the warm front moves through early thurs. morning. feels like early march. where was the blocking when we needed it? the first 10 days of may look to be at or below normal. probably will not see an 80* day in nyc for some time. Sad


Algae I hear ya and concur where the hell was this Omega Block (so Bill Evans said this morning) when we needed it most last month!!

46.5* and light rain with this raw East wind - tomorrow should be quite the interesting day with heavy rains, wind, flooding and a wind chill to boot!! No 

Warmth looks to be delayed until mid month now - hopefully in time for Memorial Day weekend!

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/nmmwrf.refc_animate_1h.html#picture

April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 ECMWF_QPFtotal_na_f60

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Post by Nyi1058 Tue Apr 29, 2014 5:03 pm

By any chance can you guys specifically say how much rain will fall on the east end of Long Island ( montauk) I have a summer home out there and am a little concearned. Back in march of of 09 those heavy rains we had actually flooded my house. Thanks in advance !!

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Apr 29, 2014 8:02 pm

@Nyi1058 wrote:By any chance can you guys specifically say how much rain will fall on the east end of Long Island ( montauk) I have a summer home out there and am a little concearned. Back in march of of 09 those heavy rains we had actually flooded my house. Thanks in advance !!

It looks like they are expecting about 2" out there, but depending on how your house is elevated, it might not be too much of a problem, 2" over a few days may be able to drain off pretty well. The only issue is how heavy the rains are Wednesday late night. There can be some areas that get a lot of rain in a short period of time...keep an eye on the radar tomorrow night...

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Post by Quietace Tue Apr 29, 2014 8:58 pm

Every lighting strike in the US over the past 24 hours.
April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Image_10

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Post by Nyi1058 Tue Apr 29, 2014 9:46 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@Nyi1058 wrote:By any chance can you guys specifically say how much rain will fall on the east end of Long Island ( montauk) I have a summer home out there and am a little concearned. Back in march of of 09 those heavy rains we had actually flooded my house. Thanks in advance !!

It looks like they are expecting about 2" out there, but depending on how your house is elevated, it might not be too much of a problem, 2" over a few days may be able to drain off pretty well. The only issue is how heavy the rains are Wednesday late night. There can be some areas that get a lot of rain in a short period of time...keep an eye on the radar tomorrow night...
thanks for the reply , my house isn't that elevated but away from the ocean . Like I said a few years ago the rains flooded it . I will be watching!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Apr 29, 2014 10:34 pm

39 degrees light rain and wind. I haven't seen an accumulating May snowfall around the tri state since May 9-10 1977.

Would love to break that streak this year.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Apr 30, 2014 9:08 am

Was 36.5 this morning with moderate rain. Couldn't see any snowflakes but hill towns in the Catskills were reporting snow this morning. 1 day removed from May unbelievable. Never made it out of 40's yesterday and won't today either. If only this was the end of March even early April what a nice snow storm this would have been.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Apr 30, 2014 10:57 am

Sure would be if we changed this into snow we'd have 30-40 inches! BTW I don't remember the last time I saw pink on the rain map! Seems NWS thinks 4+ isnt out of the question for some areas.

April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Stormt10
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Post by Dtone Wed Apr 30, 2014 1:04 pm

I saw pink and thought mixed precip for a sec lol
LGA tied a record low at 42*
JFK fell couple degrees short.
In an era when record lows are never set any more there have been several at the airports since March.

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Apr 30, 2014 1:14 pm

Have an inch here so far.....

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Apr 30, 2014 1:35 pm

This weather is fantastic...

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Apr 30, 2014 2:29 pm

Lowered rainfall totals although the last map was from 2pm tues till thurs, this map is from 8am this morning till tomorrow so near another 3 inches still which will probably prompt flood warnings closer to NY Metro later tonight, I hope we at least get some boombers with this rain. ya sure frank fantastic lol

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Post by essexcountypete Wed Apr 30, 2014 2:58 pm

Looking at radar. Wow. We'd had a lot of rain so far in NNJ but things are about to get ugly. Evening commute is not looking good.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Apr 30, 2014 3:20 pm

Yeah NWS radar is showing 35-45 dbz rainfall moving into the area and doesn't look to move out for quite some time. This is likely going to cause the most urban flooding.
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Apr 30, 2014 4:25 pm

You all seeing this PLUME of training moisture coming in from Philly? We are gonna get NAILED with heavy rain for hours; flash flooding imminent in NE NJ, NYC METRO.
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Post by amugs Wed Apr 30, 2014 4:40 pm

April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Post-747-0-28464700-1398887404

Guys Philly has 4.5" of rain and guess where that train (No Pun intended) is headed - NYC, NNJ area - get the friggin' arc ready!!

Oh and it goes all the ways back to NC


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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:14 pm

It's actually the most impressive fetch of rain I've seen around here in a longggg time. Reports of widespread flooding of rivers & streams coming in across NJ.
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Post by amugs Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:47 pm

Just drove up the parkway from Newark(NJIT) - the median's in NNJ are all swamps. I have standing puddles of water all over my property - radars showing no end until mid AM hours.

Tomorrow morning there will be a good amount of flooding from the streams and then we get the rivers.

44* and heavy rain and my rain gauge is not recording he data - ugghhh!!

Okay my Snow Weenie Friends out there - JUST IMAGINE if this were white gold!!

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Post by Dtone Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:04 pm

already have a record rainfall today at CPK, easily breaking the 0.89 record for today..

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Post by Dtone Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:18 pm

April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 <a href=April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Baltim10" />

Look at this sinkhole today in Baltimore, the size of a city block.

http://www.wusa9.com/story/news/local/2014/04/30/sinkhole-baltimore/8529297/

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Post by Quietace Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:35 pm

Ultra impressive amounts so far with this system.
radar estimate QPF
April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Dix_ds10

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:36 pm

April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Img_0514

That moisture fetch from Balt is really disconcerting. River flooding a big concern now.
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Post by Quietace Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:38 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:April 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Img_0514

That moisture fetch from Balt is really disconcerting. River flooding a big concern now.
The rainfall rates are extremely impressive and rivers are rising into flood stages quickly. Any one near rivers or creeks should take proper precautions.

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Post by amugs Wed Apr 30, 2014 7:04 pm

This train is going to possibly be record breaking when it is over some area IMO! 

Philly over 5" so far! If that isn't impressive then I do not know what is!! 

Row, Row, Row ur boat.........

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Apr 30, 2014 7:29 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=JFKApril 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Radblast

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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