NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

+17
essexcountypete
Dtone
mako460
docstox12
Quietace
ClimateControl
Snow88
NjWeatherGuy
amugs
HectorO
algae888
Analog96
Dunnzoo
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
pdubz
Frank_Wx
21 posters

Page 6 of 9 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9  Next

Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Tue May 20, 2014 4:36 pm

Got to 79.6 today. Looking forward to the rain to wash away the pollen.

Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Tue May 20, 2014 8:00 pm

Rain tomorrow moving in between 2-3pm. I have a feeling the strongest cells will stay south of NYC. We'll see.

Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Join date : 2013-01-05

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Tue May 20, 2014 9:07 pm

That 2 inches of rain we had here in localized areas of westchester NY last week pretty much took care of all the pollen. Early this year which is nice, I do not enjoy all the sneezing. Hopefully it will rain enough for the rest of you all.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:12 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Fill_94qwbg

For Thursday

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:14 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Fill_98qwbg

Friday's Rainfall amount

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:15 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 D13_fill

Thurs - Sat

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:21 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 GfsUS_500_avort_177
 

Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.

The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
 
 
 

 
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
 

 Anyone care to add, comment?


 

 

 

 

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Wed May 21, 2014 5:25 pm

amugs wrote:May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 GfsUS_500_avort_177
 

Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.

The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read  this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
 
 
 

 
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
 

 Anyone care to add, comment?


 

We have seen a lot of cut off storms and troughs this season that has prevented our temperatures from getting too much above normal. Moving forward, I think that is still going to be an issue. There is too much blocking over the aforementioned areas and it will take awhile for the flow to turn zonal up there.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 5:59 pm

Thanks Frank and I keep telling people at work that it looks to be normal to below until we get this pattern change which may come mid June from the looks - hoping but then again it could flip the 1st week of June or next week for that matter.

Appreciate the Zen Master's input.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Wed May 21, 2014 9:24 pm

Tis the season for me to start blogging again. Quick outlook to get me going again.
http://pointpleasantwx.blogspot.com/2014/05/a-quick-look-ahead-to-this-weekend.html
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Dunnzoo Wed May 21, 2014 10:06 pm

I just need a nice weekend for June 7-8, will be down in your neck of the woods Ace.....first beach weekend at Point Pleasant

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4872
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Wed May 21, 2014 11:55 pm

Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : ) So severe weather tomorrow? Whats it look like for southern westchester? Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 6:30 am

Heavy rain and thunder with the cells in CNJ
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 6:31 am

jmanley32 wrote:Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : )  So severe weather tomorrow?  Whats it look like for southern westchester?  Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
Chance today for some warned cells. No tornados.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 8:03 am

Wow, I got woke by some serious thunder and lightning last night, didn't think those cells would hold together. Scared the daylights or should I say night light outta me. The flash was so bright I saw it with my eyes closed. Hope we get a good one this afternoon.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 2:12 pm

Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol) Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by algae888 Thu May 22, 2014 4:19 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol)  Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.

jman its almost summer the weather is supposed to be boring here in the northeast.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 22, 2014 4:31 pm

What's up with the Wunderground radar? Hasn't updated since 4:00.... can't track the heavy storm cells...anyone have another radar they use with storm tracks?

Finally updated after 30 minutes....

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4872
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 5:30 pm

NWS radar is good. algae, nah the summer can have some great storms t-storms, rainstorms, possible tropical wx. But yeah on the whole its quieter than the fall and winter.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 22, 2014 5:40 pm

Hey mugs.....storms missing us again! Black hole of Bergen County again! Storms to the north of us, storms to the south, here I am...stuck in the middle with you!  jocolor 

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4872
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by docstox12 Thu May 22, 2014 5:45 pm

Yeah, just checked radar and sure enough, two thunderstorms pass with our area missing both.Hilarious!
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 6:46 pm

Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.

Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium. Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS? It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 7:21 pm

Little rain here. Only enough to wet the streets. But, Had over half a inch this morning.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 7:27 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.

Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium.  Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS?  It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
Yes, Global tropics. under GFS-ext(GFS Beta). For mostly tropical use
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 22, 2014 7:53 pm

Upcoming holiday weekend looks a little unsettled. Mix of clouds and sun with a chance of showers and storms each day. Monday is the best day.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 22, 2014 9:41 pm

Incoming

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 InmaSIRPA_

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by amugs Thu May 22, 2014 11:08 pm

56* and showers - reminds me of what we would get in mid April for Pete's sake! 

Pa got walloped with hail today - looked like a snowstorm!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Empty Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 6 of 9 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum