May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
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essexcountypete
Dtone
mako460
docstox12
Quietace
ClimateControl
Snow88
NjWeatherGuy
amugs
HectorO
algae888
Analog96
Dunnzoo
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
pdubz
Frank_Wx
21 posters
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Got to 79.6 today. Looking forward to the rain to wash away the pollen.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Rain tomorrow moving in between 2-3pm. I have a feeling the strongest cells will stay south of NYC. We'll see.
Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
That 2 inches of rain we had here in localized areas of westchester NY last week pretty much took care of all the pollen. Early this year which is nice, I do not enjoy all the sneezing. Hopefully it will rain enough for the rest of you all.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
For Thursday
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Friday's Rainfall amount
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Thurs - Sat
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.
The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
Anyone care to add, comment?
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
amugs wrote:
Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.
The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
Anyone care to add, comment?
We have seen a lot of cut off storms and troughs this season that has prevented our temperatures from getting too much above normal. Moving forward, I think that is still going to be an issue. There is too much blocking over the aforementioned areas and it will take awhile for the flow to turn zonal up there.
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Thanks Frank and I keep telling people at work that it looks to be normal to below until we get this pattern change which may come mid June from the looks - hoping but then again it could flip the 1st week of June or next week for that matter.
Appreciate the Zen Master's input.
Appreciate the Zen Master's input.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Tis the season for me to start blogging again. Quick outlook to get me going again.
http://pointpleasantwx.blogspot.com/2014/05/a-quick-look-ahead-to-this-weekend.html
http://pointpleasantwx.blogspot.com/2014/05/a-quick-look-ahead-to-this-weekend.html
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
I just need a nice weekend for June 7-8, will be down in your neck of the woods Ace.....first beach weekend at Point Pleasant
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : ) So severe weather tomorrow? Whats it look like for southern westchester? Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Heavy rain and thunder with the cells in CNJ
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Chance today for some warned cells. No tornados.jmanley32 wrote:Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : ) So severe weather tomorrow? Whats it look like for southern westchester? Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Wow, I got woke by some serious thunder and lightning last night, didn't think those cells would hold together. Scared the daylights or should I say night light outta me. The flash was so bright I saw it with my eyes closed. Hope we get a good one this afternoon.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol) Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
jmanley32 wrote:Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol) Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.
jman its almost summer the weather is supposed to be boring here in the northeast.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
What's up with the Wunderground radar? Hasn't updated since 4:00.... can't track the heavy storm cells...anyone have another radar they use with storm tracks?
Finally updated after 30 minutes....
Finally updated after 30 minutes....
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
NWS radar is good. algae, nah the summer can have some great storms t-storms, rainstorms, possible tropical wx. But yeah on the whole its quieter than the fall and winter.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Hey mugs.....storms missing us again! Black hole of Bergen County again! Storms to the north of us, storms to the south, here I am...stuck in the middle with you!
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Yeah, just checked radar and sure enough, two thunderstorms pass with our area missing both.Hilarious!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.
Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium. Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS? It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium. Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS? It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Little rain here. Only enough to wet the streets. But, Had over half a inch this morning.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Yes, Global tropics. under GFS-ext(GFS Beta). For mostly tropical usejmanley32 wrote:Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.
Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium. Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS? It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Upcoming holiday weekend looks a little unsettled. Mix of clouds and sun with a chance of showers and storms each day. Monday is the best day.
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Incoming
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Re: May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
56* and showers - reminds me of what we would get in mid April for Pete's sake!
Pa got walloped with hail today - looked like a snowstorm!
Pa got walloped with hail today - looked like a snowstorm!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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