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May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

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Post by jmanley32 Tue May 20, 2014 9:07 pm

That 2 inches of rain we had here in localized areas of westchester NY last week pretty much took care of all the pollen. Early this year which is nice, I do not enjoy all the sneezing. Hopefully it will rain enough for the rest of you all.
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Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:12 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Fill_94qwbg

For Thursday

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Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:14 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 Fill_98qwbg

Friday's Rainfall amount

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Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:15 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 D13_fill

Thurs - Sat

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Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 3:21 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 GfsUS_500_avort_177
 

Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.

The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
 
 
 

 
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
 

 Anyone care to add, comment?


 

 

 

 

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed May 21, 2014 5:25 pm

@amugs wrote:May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 GfsUS_500_avort_177
 

Read this from another met, paraphrased his write up and interjected my thoughts as well - call it 50/50 - met/Mugs.

The pattern for keeping lower than normal heights in Eastern Canada and New England has not changed since late March. This is a death wish for extending the periphery of the heat ridges to our area, from research and what I have read  this typically builds over the Central US this time of year and then eventually tries to extend northeastward. When the lower than normal heights over Eastern Canada, New England and the Northwest Atlantic are persistent like this, it often takes until late Spring or early Summer until we can start extending ridges into this area = 80's and 90's persistent not transient.
 
 
 

 
The Euro seems to be on an island of its own right now so we will have to see if it ends up being correct. But you can see even on the GFS, that the below normal heights to our north and east keep the ridge at bay and likely would introduce yet another back door front to the northeast of our area.
 

 Anyone care to add, comment?


 

We have seen a lot of cut off storms and troughs this season that has prevented our temperatures from getting too much above normal. Moving forward, I think that is still going to be an issue. There is too much blocking over the aforementioned areas and it will take awhile for the flow to turn zonal up there.

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Post by amugs Wed May 21, 2014 5:59 pm

Thanks Frank and I keep telling people at work that it looks to be normal to below until we get this pattern change which may come mid June from the looks - hoping but then again it could flip the 1st week of June or next week for that matter.

Appreciate the Zen Master's input.

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Post by Quietace Wed May 21, 2014 9:24 pm

Tis the season for me to start blogging again. Quick outlook to get me going again.
http://pointpleasantwx.blogspot.com/2014/05/a-quick-look-ahead-to-this-weekend.html

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed May 21, 2014 10:06 pm

I just need a nice weekend for June 7-8, will be down in your neck of the woods Ace.....first beach weekend at Point Pleasant

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Post by jmanley32 Wed May 21, 2014 11:55 pm

Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : ) So severe weather tomorrow? Whats it look like for southern westchester? Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
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Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 6:30 am

Heavy rain and thunder with the cells in CNJ

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Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 6:31 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Nice blog ace, will add you to my favs : )  So severe weather tomorrow?  Whats it look like for southern westchester?  Any chance of tornadic activity (not that I want that but tis the season for anything).
Chance today for some warned cells. No tornados.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 8:03 am

Wow, I got woke by some serious thunder and lightning last night, didn't think those cells would hold together. Scared the daylights or should I say night light outta me. The flash was so bright I saw it with my eyes closed. Hope we get a good one this afternoon.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 2:12 pm

Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol) Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.
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Post by algae888 Thu May 22, 2014 4:19 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Thats so annoying not but just across the hudson river (not even miles) is the end of the STW, I mean really, thats where it stops? Come on add me into it, lol)  Weather has been to boring lately lol would like to see a good t-storm this afternoon.

jman its almost summer the weather is supposed to be boring here in the northeast.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 22, 2014 4:31 pm

What's up with the Wunderground radar? Hasn't updated since 4:00.... can't track the heavy storm cells...anyone have another radar they use with storm tracks?

Finally updated after 30 minutes....

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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 5:30 pm

NWS radar is good. algae, nah the summer can have some great storms t-storms, rainstorms, possible tropical wx. But yeah on the whole its quieter than the fall and winter.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 22, 2014 5:40 pm

Hey mugs.....storms missing us again! Black hole of Bergen County again! Storms to the north of us, storms to the south, here I am...stuck in the middle with you!  jocolor 

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Post by docstox12 Thu May 22, 2014 5:45 pm

Yeah, just checked radar and sure enough, two thunderstorms pass with our area missing both.Hilarious!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 22, 2014 6:46 pm

Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.

Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium. Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS? It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
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Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 7:21 pm

Little rain here. Only enough to wet the streets. But, Had over half a inch this morning.

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Post by Quietace Thu May 22, 2014 7:27 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Me too, oh well look online, major hail in PA, alot of cars damaged vegitation etc.

Question to anyone with experience with wxbell premium.  Where can you see out to 384 hrs of GFS?  It seems you can only view up to 192 hrs, albeit probably good hours to start anything remotely possible.
Yes, Global tropics. under GFS-ext(GFS Beta). For mostly tropical use

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 22, 2014 7:53 pm

Upcoming holiday weekend looks a little unsettled. Mix of clouds and sun with a chance of showers and storms each day. Monday is the best day.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 22, 2014 9:41 pm

Incoming

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 6 InmaSIRPA_

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Post by amugs Thu May 22, 2014 11:08 pm

56* and showers - reminds me of what we would get in mid April for Pete's sake! 

Pa got walloped with hail today - looked like a snowstorm!

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