July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
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snowday111
Quietace
skinsfan1177
amugs
HectorO
Dunnzoo
nutleyblizzard
algae888
essexcountypete
NjWeatherGuy
Dtone
jmanley32
Frank_Wx
17 posters
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Hey algae, never said got disappointed, glad your having fun with that thought (sarchasm, lol). I track all weather it fascinates me whether it hits or not. Yeah your right winter is much more exciting in that we get hit much more often but then again this past winter I feel you all were more disappointed than I am about the summer. I got disappointed too about winters storms that didnt happen. Thinking this winter might be a doozy. And yes agreed all the weather today is so nice.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Euro still robust for this weekend.
GEM is similar
GFS'
While total QPF is similar, the way the GEM/Euro handle the convection/ timing is much different than the GFS. Have to see who caves to who.
GEM is similar
GFS'
While total QPF is similar, the way the GEM/Euro handle the convection/ timing is much different than the GFS. Have to see who caves to who.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
The string of nice weekends officially comes to an end if this holds!
That is a lot of qpf being shown in these map Ace - just as luck would have I am heading to your neck of the woods well shore on Sunday for a weeks vacation - Belmar is the town of choice - my sister's house - well 2 bedroom chateau?
That is a lot of qpf being shown in these map Ace - just as luck would have I am heading to your neck of the woods well shore on Sunday for a weeks vacation - Belmar is the town of choice - my sister's house - well 2 bedroom chateau?
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
yeah through mon-Tuesday on those maps.amugs wrote:The string of nice weekends officially comes to an end if this holds!
That is a lot of qpf being shown in these map Ace - just as luck would have I am heading to your neck of the woods well shore on Sunday for a weeks vacation - Belmar is the town of choice - my sister's house - well 2 bedroom chateau?
And Make sure to visit 10th ave burrito while in belmar
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Ace - I am with you! 10th Ave burrito is YUMMY!!!!
Amugs- Make sure to sit on avenues 9 or lower if you want the nice white sand. Avenues 10-20 has new sand that was pumped in after Sandy. It's very rocky and orange. It will stain your towels and feet.
Amugs- Make sure to sit on avenues 9 or lower if you want the nice white sand. Avenues 10-20 has new sand that was pumped in after Sandy. It's very rocky and orange. It will stain your towels and feet.
snowday111- Posts : 92
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
12z Euro and GFS held with QPF. We do need the rain down here.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Yuck plain old rain when im going to a concert at the PNC amphetheater Saturday night dang. This stinks.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
snowday111 wrote:Ace - I am with you! 10th Ave burrito is YUMMY!!!!
Amugs- Make sure to sit on avenues 9 or lower if you want the nice white sand. Avenues 10-20 has new sand that was pumped in after Sandy. It's very rocky and orange. It will stain your towels and feet.
Snowday holy sh$! - when we were down there for Memorial Day weekend we noticed that - my fringin' feet looked like a pumpkins! - Stained my surfer shirt and bathing suit - I was pissed. Went to Long Branch as well and frickin' mounds of the same clay (rocky orange)
Yes I have been to 10th ave burrito - awesome place - love the Boathouse Rest as well and Niki Makinotis for Ice Cream.
Here is the 12z Euro - a good rain coming Fri - Sat
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Not only is it isolated and hit / miss type of convection, but it is spread out throughout the weekend. 1-1.50 inches of rain over 2-3 days ain't a whole lot, but we'll take it!
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
How many "perfect 10" days can we have in one summer? This has been the most pleasant summer I can remember.
Currently 78 degrees
Currently 78 degrees
Noreaster- Posts : 463
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
It's been gorgeous
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Glad to hear it won't be too heavy our seats are under the pavilion but the line I am sure is outside.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
i know jman i will be their as well for nin and soundgarden cant wait maybe it will work out with no rainjmanley32 wrote:Yuck plain old rain when im going to a concert at the PNC amphetheater Saturday night dang. This stinks.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Oh sweet skins! Maybe we can meetup somehow. Should be awesome. Okay now for some real fun. This is sriously the current map on TWC main map page ummm....
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
If you didnt notice it theres a rouge hurricane north of georgia , whats wrong with their computers.
And really Frank keep us in suspense for a day and a half with that notice I hope its nothing bad! LOL
And really Frank keep us in suspense for a day and a half with that notice I hope its nothing bad! LOL
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
jmanley32 wrote:Oh sweet skins! Maybe we can meetup somehow. Should be awesome. Okay now for some real fun. This is sriously the current map on TWC main map page ummm....
Haha, wow I hope there's survivors.
And the news is good news. Nothing bad
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Its really not a joke its all over the web, they need to fix that. Why can't u tell us now! Suspense I hate it lol.
I know your pregnant right?! LOL jk.
I know your pregnant right?! LOL jk.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
jmanley32 wrote:Oh sweet skins! Maybe we can meetup somehow. Should be awesome. Okay now for some real fun. This is sriously the current map on TWC main map page ummm....
That is priceless shear priceless is all I can say - great one JMAN - heads are going to roll at TWC and NHC on this one!!!!!!!!!! HAHAHA
I cna hear it now - The intense but extremely small nameless hurricane has taken everyone by surprise even the most expert meteorologists at TWC and NHC as well as the SPC and WPC also the NWS.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
It must be a Sharknado!
mako460- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
LOL, thats what a few sites made reference to lol.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Seems like forever ago since winter and my last post/check-in. I hope everybody is enjoying their summer thus far.
Wasn't sure if this should go here or in the long range thread, as it is this upcoming weekend. I'm (hopefully) hosting a BBQ Saturday afternoon, and been following the models for a few days now hoping it won't be a complete washout. It's been, and still is, amazing how different the Euro and GFS (now NAM) depict the outcome this weekend. Today's 12Z GFS has us getting very little precip, with the majority staying offshore. Meanwhile the Euro has us getting plastered with rain Saturday morning into early afternoon. The latest GFS gave me a ray of hope that I might be able to entertain Saturday, but wanted to get some other opinions/guesses as to how this weekend will play. Not that I'll take anyone's 'forecast' and plan my BBQ around it - I'll be nowcasting come Saturday morning, but want to see what others think for this weekend.
....I miss snowcasting.
Wasn't sure if this should go here or in the long range thread, as it is this upcoming weekend. I'm (hopefully) hosting a BBQ Saturday afternoon, and been following the models for a few days now hoping it won't be a complete washout. It's been, and still is, amazing how different the Euro and GFS (now NAM) depict the outcome this weekend. Today's 12Z GFS has us getting very little precip, with the majority staying offshore. Meanwhile the Euro has us getting plastered with rain Saturday morning into early afternoon. The latest GFS gave me a ray of hope that I might be able to entertain Saturday, but wanted to get some other opinions/guesses as to how this weekend will play. Not that I'll take anyone's 'forecast' and plan my BBQ around it - I'll be nowcasting come Saturday morning, but want to see what others think for this weekend.
....I miss snowcasting.
crippo84- Posts : 383
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
crippo84 wrote:Seems like forever ago since winter and my last post/check-in. I hope everybody is enjoying their summer thus far.
Wasn't sure if this should go here or in the long range thread, as it is this upcoming weekend. I'm (hopefully) hosting a BBQ Saturday afternoon, and been following the models for a few days now hoping it won't be a complete washout. It's been, and still is, amazing how different the Euro and GFS (now NAM) depict the outcome this weekend. Today's 12Z GFS has us getting very little precip, with the majority staying offshore. Meanwhile the Euro has us getting plastered with rain Saturday morning into early afternoon. The latest GFS gave me a ray of hope that I might be able to entertain Saturday, but wanted to get some other opinions/guesses as to how this weekend will play. Not that I'll take anyone's 'forecast' and plan my BBQ around it - I'll be nowcasting come Saturday morning, but want to see what others think for this weekend.
....I miss snowcasting.
well crippo Its remarkable how dry gfs is and how wet euro is. probably not a great weekend for a bbq but in summer you never know. just look at last weekend. one thing to note is pop which are capped between 30 and 50% highest for sunday. I think it will not be a wash out but when it rains who knows. also there could be flooding rains 10 miles from you and you have the sun shinning. another reason to dislike summer weather. and yes I miss snow casting too!
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Checked in with Channel 7 an dthey are saying there wil be abreak around 1PM until Sat night with the rain but the morning for areas say Morris COunty eastward get a lot of rain from about 7am until about 1pm ish so if you can wait until 2ish top get the goods rollin then you should be good - it will come in waves so to speak fri break then sat am then break then sat night late? and sun morning then break and possibly sun night into mon morning
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
tonights gfs and nam are both pretty much dry for fri and sat. gfs has nyc and west almost no rain for the weekend. we will see which model caves but liking that both gfs and nam dry for sat.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Here's what you can expect this weekend:
Today: Clouds around with showers in the afternoon. Could become steady overnight into early Saturday morning.
Saturday: Scattered showers in the morning leading to partial clearing in the afternoon. Then another chance of showers Saturday evening into the overnight hours.
Sunday: More rain showers in the morning. Could be steady at times. Possible clearing late afternoon. Otherwise, mainly cloudy.
Total rainfall .50-1.00 inch. Nothing to get worked up about.
Today: Clouds around with showers in the afternoon. Could become steady overnight into early Saturday morning.
Saturday: Scattered showers in the morning leading to partial clearing in the afternoon. Then another chance of showers Saturday evening into the overnight hours.
Sunday: More rain showers in the morning. Could be steady at times. Possible clearing late afternoon. Otherwise, mainly cloudy.
Total rainfall .50-1.00 inch. Nothing to get worked up about.
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Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Hi,
July weather in Bergenfield...
Average Temp... 76.5F ( 0.5F ) above normal.
Max Temp......... 94F on the 8th
Min Temp.......... 57F on the 30th.
Precip was 4.66" ( 0.23" above normal )
I recorded 90F + days.
Take it easy,
Rudy
www.bergenfield-weather.com
July weather in Bergenfield...
Average Temp... 76.5F ( 0.5F ) above normal.
Max Temp......... 94F on the 8th
Min Temp.......... 57F on the 30th.
Precip was 4.66" ( 0.23" above normal )
I recorded 90F + days.
Take it easy,
Rudy
www.bergenfield-weather.com
Re: July 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread
Jman we might ok for the concert what you thinkjmanley32 wrote:Yuck plain old rain when im going to a concert at the PNC amphetheater Saturday night dang. This stinks.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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