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September 2014 Observations and Discussion

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Quietace Sat Sep 06, 2014 9:08 pm

Some views of one of the storms that missed me
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Photo_10
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Photo_11
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Photo_12

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 06, 2014 9:51 pm

Today's highs:



EWR: 95

TEB: 95

New Brunswick: 94

PHL: 93

LGA: 91

NYC: 91

ACY: 91

BLM: 91

TTN: 91

JFK: 86

ISP: 86

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by jmanley32 Sat Sep 06, 2014 9:59 pm

Hey Vinny the rain in Yonkers was sporadic, it poured in some spots and not in others. It was very odd.
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Sep 06, 2014 10:21 pm

Someone did the rain dance! 

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 InmaSIRPA_

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Dunnzoo Sat Sep 06, 2014 11:03 pm

Nice little rainstorm with a few rumbles of thunder, nothing severe and I'm down to 70*! Windows are open with ceiling fans on! Nice!

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Dunnzoo Sun Sep 07, 2014 8:53 am

.10" yesterday, that is all........

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Dtone Sun Sep 07, 2014 10:13 am

Some dramatic lightning but no rain

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Quietace Sun Sep 07, 2014 11:26 am

Beautiful fall day today!

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Isotherm Sun Sep 07, 2014 3:31 pm

+9.1 on temps here so far this month. Going to need much more than 3-5 days of cooler than normal temps to knock us back down to 0.

Interestingly enough, my mean temp of 75.5 for September 1-7th is higher than my max mean temp for July of 74.3. Yes, if we break it down by weeks, there would be higher absolute temperatures. However, as far as temperature departures, the first week of September was the most anomalous week of the season for warmth.

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Post by Isotherm Sun Sep 07, 2014 3:32 pm

Recorded 1.05" of rain here yesterday. Much needed. Grass was just starting to burn out from virtually no water since mid August.

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 07, 2014 7:54 pm

@Isotherm wrote:Recorded 1.05" of rain here yesterday. Much needed. Grass was just starting to burn out from virtually no water since mid August.

Great, so we now have you, Ryan (QuietAce), and Skins on this forum who I will have to hear about this winter jackpotting high snow amounts.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 07, 2014 7:55 pm

@Isotherm wrote:+9.1 on temps here so far this month. Going to need much more than 3-5 days of cooler than normal temps to knock us back down to 0.

Interestingly enough, my mean temp of 75.5 for September 1-7th is higher than my max mean temp for July of 74.3. Yes, if we break it down by weeks, there would be higher absolute temperatures. However, as far as temperature departures, the first week of September was the most anomalous week of the season for warmth.

Highly doubt the temp departure from normal gets back down to 0. This month should end +1 to +2

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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by algae888 Mon Sep 08, 2014 9:05 am

@Isotherm wrote:+9.1 on temps here so far this month. Going to need much more than 3-5 days of cooler than normal temps to knock us back down to 0.

Interestingly enough, my mean temp of 75.5 for September 1-7th is higher than my max mean temp for July of 74.3. Yes, if we break it down by weeks, there would be higher absolute temperatures. However, as far as temperature departures, the first week of September was the most anomalous week of the season for warmth.
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 610day.01
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 814day.01

isotherm the rest of this month we should be below normal. so we should end up about average for the month.
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Post by algae888 Mon Sep 08, 2014 9:12 am

@amugs wrote:
@Dunnzoo wrote:hey mugs, the black hole strikes again.....north and south are the hots spots AGAIN!

Skunked again up here - my lawn is really hurting - do not like this dry pattern! Evil or Very Mad

mugs getting a little concerned too! tired of this northern stream energy drying out before it gets here. we need the stj to become active. stj been quiet for a while now. need el nino to kick in.
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Isotherm Mon Sep 08, 2014 12:26 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Isotherm wrote:Recorded 1.05" of rain here yesterday. Much needed. Grass was just starting to burn out from virtually no water since mid August.

Great, so we now have you, Ryan (QuietAce), and Skins on this forum who I will have to hear about this winter jackpotting high snow amounts.


I see Ryan is from Pt. Pleasant, where does Skins live?

And yeah, get used to it, this is the new normal. Long Island and central NJ snow capitals of the Northeast.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Sep 08, 2014 12:33 pm

@Isotherm wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Isotherm wrote:Recorded 1.05" of rain here yesterday. Much needed. Grass was just starting to burn out from virtually no water since mid August.

Great, so we now have you, Ryan (QuietAce), and Skins on this forum who I will have to hear about this winter jackpotting high snow amounts.


I see Ryan is from Pt. Pleasant, where does Skins live?

And yeah, get used to it, this is the new normal. Long Island and central NJ snow capitals of the Northeast.
im from point pleasant too isotherm
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Mon Sep 08, 2014 6:57 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@Dunnzoo wrote:hey mugs, the black hole strikes again.....north and south are the hots spots AGAIN!

Skunked again up here - my lawn is really hurting - do not like this dry pattern! Evil or Very Mad

mugs getting a little concerned too! tired of this northern stream energy drying out before it gets here. we need the stj to become active. stj been quiet for a while now. need el nino to kick in.

What in god's name - if this isn"t the late winter pattern - I will jump off the ship if this happens this winter - relinquish the crown!

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ma_f42

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 08, 2014 6:58 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:
@Isotherm wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Isotherm wrote:Recorded 1.05" of rain here yesterday. Much needed. Grass was just starting to burn out from virtually no water since mid August.

Great, so we now have you, Ryan (QuietAce), and Skins on this forum who I will have to hear about this winter jackpotting high snow amounts.


I see Ryan is from Pt. Pleasant, where does Skins live?

And yeah, get used to it, this is the new normal. Long Island and central NJ snow capitals of the Northeast.
im from point pleasant too isotherm

Don't rub it in too much as the bulls eye gang down there okay? scratch

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Empty Re: September 2014 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Sep 08, 2014 10:29 pm

Tomorrow afternoon into Wednesday morning will feature some light to moderate showers. Then looking at more rain showers Thursday night from a cold front. Total rainfall this week will be between .25 and .50, maybe even a little less for some spots away from the coast. 

By the weekend, sunshine returns but so does a taste of Fall. A potent trough will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast behind the strong cold front (could bring severe weather to Michigan). Winds from the north will help usher in cooler temps, likely high's in the low 70's and possibly upper 60's for areas northwest of NYC. Low's in the low to mid 50's. 


Next week could feature a bit more in the way of rain, which would be welcomed for most. 

Not a whole lot going on though.

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Sep 08, 2014 10:33 pm

Yeah, pretty non-eventful, and NENJ really needs the rain. a .10" here and there ain't gonna cut it.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Isotherm Tue Sep 09, 2014 10:15 am

00Z Euro has mid 80s for Thursday (86F from about EWR SW) in advance of the next FROPA. Should feel very summery w/ dews well through the 60s.



850's are progged around +16c/+17c, so I could see the warmer locations like EWR and New Brunswick making a run at 90F.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 09, 2014 11:28 am

@Isotherm wrote:00Z Euro has mid 80s for Thursday (86F from about EWR SW) in advance of the next FROPA. Should feel very summery w/ dews well through the 60s.



850's are progged around +16c/+17c, so I could see the warmer locations like EWR and New Brunswick making a run at 90F.

Yea, that is a pretty strong vort cutting into the lakes so I could definitely see heights ahead of it getting into mid to upper 80's category


September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Gem_T2m_neus_12

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Gem_T2m_neus_13

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Post by algae888 Tue Sep 09, 2014 12:14 pm

68* an cloudy could remain in 60's all day. after thurs big cool down coming. from nws...
TEMPS ON THU SHOULD BE A FEW DEG ABOVE AVG...THEN THE COLD FROPA
SHOULD USHER IN BELOW AVG TEMPS...ESPECIALLY FROM SAT INTO MON
WHEN HIGHS NORTH/WEST OF NYC MAY REMAIN IN THE 60S. lows could get into 30's far north burbs maybe first frost for them.

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Post by HectorO Tue Sep 09, 2014 6:30 pm

That time of year where we ride the temp roller coaster. Shorts one day light sweater the next.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 10, 2014 10:55 am

I am so looking forward to the cooler weather this weekend. It should feel really nice.

7am Friday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_T2m_neus_10

7am Saturday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_T2m_neus_14

7am Sunday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 3 Gfs_T2m_neus_18

High's will probably not get out of the 70's, upper 60's for areas north and west of NYC into NW NJ and central NY and higher elevations in NEPA

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