NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

October 2014 Obs and Discussions

+20
geigere1
SNOW MAN
Vinnydula
CPcantmeasuresnow
aiannone
NjWeatherGuy
Quietace
Math23x7
Dunnzoo
Dtone
algae888
nutleyblizzard
skinsfan1177
docstox12
jmanley32
Isotherm
HectorO
sroc4
Frank_Wx
amugs
24 posters

Page 12 of 14 Previous  1 ... 7 ... 11, 12, 13, 14  Next

Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 22, 2014 2:05 pm

Ahh Dunzoo I was asking that on the coastal storm thread, is all that heavy rain over LI headed this way. Might there be some embededed storms? I have been skunked on any interesting weather since our last snowstorm, it sucks! LOL
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Dunnzoo Wed Oct 22, 2014 2:42 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Ahh Dunzoo I was asking that on the coastal storm thread, is all that heavy rain over LI headed this way.  Might there be some embededed storms?  I have been skunked on any interesting weather since our last snowstorm, it sucks!  LOL

haha I'm all over the place...post here and then realize the other thread is there..... UGH! btw I did post a reply to you over there...

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4404
Reputation : 67
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Math23x7 Wed Oct 22, 2014 7:36 pm

As of 7 PM, Central Park, NY has had 4.46" of precipitation for the month of October which means that October 2014 will finish above the average October precip. of 4.40."  Also, as of the 7 PM update, CPK has 41.71" of precip on the year meaning it is only 0.21" away from the January-October average of 41.92."  The average annual precip. is 49.94" so it could finish the year at or above normal.  

Keep in mind that those "averages" are based upon the 1981-2010 period.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2288
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Oct 22, 2014 7:54 pm

@SNOW MAN wrote:50*and light wind out of the NE, barometer is steady. According to radar it should start raining at my location any minute.
Does anyone have any thoughts on what the weather will be like for Halloween and Nov. 1st. I usually take my decorations down the day after Halloween. I'm hoping for a sunny day. Thanks.

Still a little early, but right now I would say sunny and cool. It depends on the timing of a frontal system which will not be realized until late this weekend. Remind me to give you an update. But as of now, expect dry and cool conditions. I think the frontal system makes it out of here by the 30th

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by docstox12 Wed Oct 22, 2014 8:02 pm

Wind picked up considerably ten minutes ago, howling now. 48.2 degrees, 92% humidity barometer 29.95 falling, Monroe NY HV.Moderate rain.

docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7254
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by mmillerc23 Wed Oct 22, 2014 8:56 pm

I picked up 2.30" as of 8:55 pm and still raining in Ocean Township (Monmouth County)

mmillerc23

Posts : 6
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-01-22
Age : 51
Location : Ocean Township, Monmouth County

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Oct 22, 2014 9:05 pm

@mmillerc23 wrote:I picked up 2.30" as of 8:55 pm and still raining in Ocean Township (Monmouth County)

Your area is one of the hardest hit

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Oct 23, 2014 4:59 pm

Nice weekend coming up. Next week looks rather lackluster but it could get to near 70 in the middle of the week ahead of a cold front. It probably will stay in the 60's though. The cold front looks very weak, rain may fall apart by the time it gets here. Right now, only thing worth track is what may happen in early November. I posted an update in the long range thread.

Oh yea, Halloween should be dry too Smile

I'll keep that updated also

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by algae888 Thu Oct 23, 2014 6:21 pm

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 SnowCover  

snow cover from last Friday. looks great. we'll see what tomorrows map looks like.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5227
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by algae888 Thu Oct 23, 2014 6:26 pm

http://www.climate4you.com/SnowCover.htm

maps still not posting here is the link
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5227
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by sroc4 Thu Oct 23, 2014 7:51 pm

@algae888 wrote:http://www.climate4you.com/SnowCover.htm

maps still not posting here is the link

Giggidy!

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Oct 27, 2014 11:44 am

Alex, when you start your Meteorology career, I advise you not to do this:

http://www.khou.com/story/news/local/animals/2014/10/18/dog-interrupts-weather-forecast/17512357/

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Analog96 Wed Oct 29, 2014 7:49 am

Warm and windy getting to work this morning.

I released my winter forecast last week, but being at work, I cannotr download it.

I'll post it this afternoon!

Analog96
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 156
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2014-03-12
Location : Elizabeth, NJ

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Oct 29, 2014 5:29 pm

Raining.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Wed Oct 29, 2014 5:49 pm

Starting to drizzle here. looks like the front held together enough to give us a bit of rain.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Analog96 Wed Oct 29, 2014 7:08 pm

0.02 in the bucket and a rapid temp drop with the rain.

Analog96
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 156
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2014-03-12
Location : Elizabeth, NJ

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by amugs Wed Oct 29, 2014 9:01 pm

Light rain this evening and temp dropped from 63.6* to 52.4 * in one hour as the front moved through. Weekend looking nice and cold, blustery.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12437
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Oct 30, 2014 9:02 am

Well now that the storm won't deepen offshore, it won't bring down a brutal arctic air mass. Plus, sea surface temps are warm off the coast so we need winds out of the northwest to get the coldest temp anomalies. 

Saturday temps will be in the low 50's and I don't think we get out of the 40's on Sunday. Sunday night may get to near freezing, especially north and west of NYC.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20073
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 30, 2014 9:16 am

I noted something on my way to work today, I was looking at the trees and visualizing what it would have looked like had it snowed and I notice that a lot more trees than in past several years are bare. I wionder if this is a good sign for upcoming winter season, I hope so I def do not want sleepless tracking only to be let down over and over lake last years second half.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Analog96 Thu Oct 30, 2014 9:24 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Well now that the storm won't deepen offshore, it won't bring down a brutal arctic air mass. Plus, sea surface temps are warm off the coast so we need winds out of the northwest to get the coldest temp anomalies. 

Saturday temps will be in the low 50's and I don't think we get out of the 40's on Sunday. Sunday night may get to near freezing, especially north and west of NYC.

And just like that the new GFS is a little cooler.

Be interesting to see how cold it gets.

Analog96
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 156
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2014-03-12
Location : Elizabeth, NJ

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Quietace Thu Oct 30, 2014 10:01 pm

Models shift back with EST Saturday. Cant wait Very Happy

_________________
Ryan
Ph.D  Candidate at FSU
M.S. in Meteorology from FSU
B.S. in Meteorology from Plymouth State University
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3615
Reputation : 32
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 24
Location : Tallahassee, FL

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Oct 31, 2014 5:02 am

Brrrrr 38° this morning
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by docstox12 Fri Oct 31, 2014 5:15 am

30.9 degrees barometer 30.09 and rising, clear. Monroe NY HV
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7254
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by docstox12 Fri Oct 31, 2014 7:23 am

29.4 degrees, 30.10 rising, clear.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7254
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by sroc4 Fri Oct 31, 2014 7:34 am

@docstox12 wrote:29.4 degrees, 30.10 rising, clear.

Wow Doc. That's brisk. 44.3*F on the coast. 1018mb.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

October 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 12 Empty Re: October 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 12 of 14 Previous  1 ... 7 ... 11, 12, 13, 14  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum