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2014-2015 Winter Contest- $25 Amazon Gift Card Prize

+20
mako460
Isotherm
jmanley32
NjWeatherGuy
nutleyblizzard
Math23x7
mrphysicsteacherchs
amugs
tigernumba1
algae888
gigs68
docstox12
nancy-j-s
snowday111
aiannone
Dunnzoo
Radz
Vinnydula
CPcantmeasuresnow
Frank_Wx
24 posters

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Oct 31, 2014 12:31 pm

Honestly completely random, I didnt look at anyones before I posted. Its really funny that I ended up picking that so close to yours.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:24 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Considering the 30 year average in NYC is 25.9 inches and the 140 year average is 28.5 inches, every single person is predicting an average or well above average snowfall so far.

That worries me.
The reasoning behind my bold prediction is the possible winter dream scenario teleconnections lining up for us… -AO/-NAO/-EPO/ +PNA/+PDO. Not to mention the extreme snow cover in Eurasia. Of course, this does not guarantee anything. To have an epic winter, you also need a lot of luck and timing too. Could be the inner weenie in me, but when all is said and done, I feel we can make a run at the 1995-96 season.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:36 pm

Bah well it may not actually be the first flurries then lol.

OK:

1. Nov. 30th
2. Dec. 15th
3. Dec. 2nd
4. Nov. 10th
5. 60
6. 5
7. 2
8. 1
9. Nov. 20th
10. Jan. 5th
11. February

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:38 pm

I reposted, I realized you wanted me to edit so can you delete the second post and I will go edit the first one so less clutter for ya.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:38 pm

It's ok I got it

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Post by Isotherm Fri Oct 31, 2014 3:08 pm

Cool contest. Will post my numbers around November 10th. Wink Anything I'd say now would be a total WAG (as opposed to 50% WAG 10 days from now).

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Oct 31, 2014 3:09 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Considering the 30 year average in NYC is 25.9 inches and the 140 year average is 28.5 inches, every single person is predicting an average or well above average snowfall so far.

That worries me.
The reasoning behind my bold prediction is the possible winter dream scenario teleconnections lining up for us…          -AO/-NAO/-EPO/ +PNA/+PDO. Not to mention the extreme snow cover in Eurasia. Of course, this does not guarantee anything. To have an epic winter, you also need a lot of luck and timing too. Could be the inner weenie in me, but when all is said and done, I feel we can make a run at the 1995-96 season.

Hey I'm with you, and apparently so are several others. I predicted 87.4 inches to shatter the 75.6 inch record of 95/96. Of course I'm just using the price is right reasoning and trying to be the highest bidder.

Or is the price is right strategy the lowest bidder? I never really watched the show.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 3:11 pm

Closest without going over.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Oct 31, 2014 3:12 pm

Got it Jman thanks. I did have it reversed.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Nov 01, 2014 5:36 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Considering the 30 year average in NYC is 25.9 inches and the 140 year average is 28.5 inches, every single person is predicting an average or well above average snowfall so far.

That worries me.
The reasoning behind my bold prediction is the possible winter dream scenario teleconnections lining up for us…          -AO/-NAO/-EPO/ +PNA/+PDO. Not to mention the extreme snow cover in Eurasia. Of course, this does not guarantee anything. To have an epic winter, you also need a lot of luck and timing too. Could be the inner weenie in me, but when all is said and done, I feel we can make a run at the 1995-96 season.

Hey I'm with you, and apparently so are several others.  I predicted 87.4 inches to shatter the 75.6 inch record of 95/96. Of course I'm just using the price is right reasoning and trying to be the highest bidder.

Or is the price is right strategy the lowest bidder? I never really watched the show.

CP, a normal HV winter will be fine with me.Mahwah averaged 35 inches per year over a 35 year period I lived there so HV ( around 65 normal?) is a major improvement for me.

A 1995-1996 winter I think comes once in a hundred years.Hoping you are right on with your prediction.
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Post by mako460 Sat Nov 01, 2014 2:12 pm

1- 12/12
2- 12/28 (my anniversary)
3-12/5
4-11/15
5- 34.6"
6- 2
7- 1
8- 0
9- 11/29
10 1/14
11- Jan.

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Post by Dtone Sun Nov 02, 2014 6:42 am

1. Dec 8
2. Jan 12
3. Jan 3
4. Dec 11
5. 23.1"
6. 1
7. 0
8. 0
9. Dec 9
10. Jan 11
11. Jan

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 05, 2014 10:16 pm

A reminder that this closes in just 4 days. Give it a guess guys. You have nothing to lose, only to gain. There is not Meteorology skills involved with it.

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Post by Blondie Sun Nov 09, 2014 8:29 pm

1. Nov 27th
2. Jan 10th
3. Dec 1st
4. Nov 14th
5. 26.6
6. 2
7. 1
8. 0
9. Jan 10th
10. Feb 6th
11. Feb

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 09, 2014 10:57 pm

Monday is the last day to make an entry. This forum will be locked by midnight tomorrow.

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Post by cooladi Mon Nov 10, 2014 3:23 pm

1. Nov. 16
2. Jan. 6
3. Nov. 23
4. Nov. 13
5. 46"
6. 6
7. 2
8. 0
9. Nov. 15
10. Jan. 30
11. January

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Post by GreyBeard Mon Nov 10, 2014 8:00 pm

1.Nov. 20
2.Dec. 17
3.Dec. 14
4.Nov. 17
5. 57.8
6. 3
7. 1
8. 1
9. Dec. 27
10.Jan. 10
11. Feb.

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