NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Page 2 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Dunnzoo Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:58 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:12z GGEM says bring on the rain

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 GArguXi

Big disparity in precip totals among models....GFS and NAM predict about .50" for me, while this has over an inch...but generally the fishes get the soaker

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4365
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by sroc4 Fri Oct 31, 2014 2:01 pm

GGEM has been consistent with its placement of the inverted trough and highest rain totals over that location. Pattern is ripe for that to verify give or take 20 miles.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6869
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 2:15 pm

20 miles according to GGEM would mean 0.5-0.75 for me with a shift east will be little over a inch. Will be interesting to watch this unfold and who gets what.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Oct 31, 2014 3:04 pm

I could definitely see the western parts of the HV making out snow wise with this setup. Especially the towns over 1000 feet.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 10:03 pm

Getting our first shower here, came in with a bit of a breeze, telling us that the system is on its way, whether out to sea or closer to coast we shall see.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 10:09 pm

Woah, NAM brings in alot more precip with the first and way west, more like 1-2 inches of rain.

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Ooz_na10
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 31, 2014 10:31 pm

thats some pretty heavy rain and def not where its been placed the past several runs. it actually coincides with a windier time so it might be possible strnger winds could get brought down in heavier
rain right? starting to thing may be gusting more like 40-45 may be 50.


Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Dbz10
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by amugs Fri Oct 31, 2014 11:15 pm

Winds have kicked up and showers/ rain has kicked in - here we go another tick to the west as the last storm. Uuugghh this will drive me to drink if our winter rolls like this even the h5 set up was hot then cold now ??

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12155
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Sat Nov 01, 2014 6:26 am

Mugs this should mkae you happy! Drive you to drink? West is good, looks like according to Euro we have two LP coming one around 7th and although its passed 240 hrs and not in reliable time frame yet it looks like a BIG coastal is setting to come up coast from the south originating around gulf coast, don't those bring us doozies? Maybe that is what accuwx was showing 60mph winds for on 9-10th.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by sroc4 Sat Nov 01, 2014 6:26 am

46.9*F very gusty winds. Pressure 1012mb and falling

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6869
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Sat Nov 01, 2014 6:33 am

46 here, seems to be a common temp this morning.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Nov 01, 2014 8:30 am

raining at a good rate and pretty windy with some gust look to be in the jackpot and one have radar images and any updates such as will the wind pick up later on the coast
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Dunnzoo Sat Nov 01, 2014 9:53 am

43* and rain picking up. It's cool to see on the radar the 2 LPs developing here and in the south. Heavy band of rain heading my way. Skins and Ace are in it again!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4365
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by algae888 Sat Nov 01, 2014 9:59 am

44 degrees breezy nasty and raw. hoping to see a few flakes tonight
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by sroc4 Sat Nov 01, 2014 10:14 am

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Codnexlab.NEXRAD.DIX.N0Q.20141101.1413.024ani

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Pmsl

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6869
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Quietace Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:00 am

Very heavy rain this morning, both in intensity and the weight of the droplets themselves.

_________________
Ryan
Ph.D  Candidate at FSU
M.S. in Meteorology from FSU
B.S. in Meteorology from Plymouth State University
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3615
Reputation : 32
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 24
Location : Tallahassee, FL

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:06 am

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

Heavy rain in the state right now, especially along the coast. I'm expecting this to all clear out by later this afternoon or early evening. Parts of the jersey shore, especially southeast NJ, may see up to 2+ "

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by sroc4 Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:14 am

CMC did a good job identifying this IMO

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6869
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:15 am

Yea it was one of the first to show the inverted trough idea.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:19 am

Where's the snow you ask? Columbia, SC

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Post-747-0-98397600-1414847384


See what happens when H5 closes off just off your coast. This coulda been us, but the models kept digging that arctic vort too far south.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:22 am

Dang would liked to seen that personally but I guess I can wait a while longer. Me to Al hoping to see some flakes later.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:24 am

Just let this sink in though. SC is seeing measurable snowfall in November, when it takes us usually until December. Not even Alex in flippin VT saw measurable snow yet. SC sometimes goes an entire season without see a flake. 

Mind boggling.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20004
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by jmanley32 Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:28 am

Yes its true, and I imagine they will see some significant power outages down there will full leaves, we def do not need that. I need my computer for may things including this : ) Was scott serious about a MECS in November or was that a joke?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17941
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by algae888 Sat Nov 01, 2014 11:44 am

all those march snows in Carolina's and Virginia. and now November. my fiancée wants to move to nc near her sister and I said no!! because I love the north east winter weather. I may have to reconsider now.lol
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by algae888 Sat Nov 01, 2014 12:04 pm

steve d says snow sleet mixing in at base of cloud cover and some reports of snow in Maryland. seems heavy radar reflections not heavy rain but showing snow/sleet mixing in. anyone in nj seeing any mixing?
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread - Page 2 Empty Re: Nov. 1st Storm Observation Thread

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum