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November 2014 Obs and Discussion

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 10, 2014 3:17 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:Honestly, they knew it was coming, and they should be prepared, it's not like it's Georgia or anything!

Seriously. I blame Analog's fathers friend.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 10, 2014 6:13 pm

Well I know that the first coating of snow here causes all that, and we are not MT or Georgia, I wish people would learn how to drive.  From looks of Euro anyways some of us could be buried by Thanksgiving if some of the more extreme ensembles verify, or even in between.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Nov 11, 2014 6:55 am

Cold start 38° but its going to get up to 65
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 11, 2014 10:30 am

Just a heads up, rain showers possible tonight into tomorrow morning.

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Post by amugs Tue Nov 11, 2014 12:07 pm

33* this morning and now 60* beautiful day 

First day out and about in a week for me and my world is not spinning - at times that is but hey in the long run this surgery will be well worth it and oh goody I get to do this again next yer on my right ear!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 11, 2014 5:38 pm

Today was nice. Tomorrow will also be nice. It will not be too long before we will stop saying that Mad Mad

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Post by Dtone Tue Nov 11, 2014 9:08 pm

Foilage is finally peaked in NYC it seems to me just from walking around. That's about to rapidly come to an end. Though its a long shot its be nice to end with some snow covered leaves.

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Post by Math23x7 Tue Nov 11, 2014 9:12 pm

@Dtone wrote:Foilage is finally peaked in NYC it seems to me just from walking around. That's about to rapidly come to an end. Though its a long shot its be nice to end with some snow covered leaves.

Snow covered leaves = down tree limbs and power lines = Not fun

10/29/11 and 11/7/12 saw just that. Just be careful of what you wish for.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Nov 11, 2014 9:53 pm

Yes math, still lots of leaves here in westchester although they are starting to come down.  But if Sunday ends up being a heavy wet snow like the 12z GFS-Para even a few inches would spell a lot of trouble.  I was surprised in 2012 Nov 7th I did not lose power nor see much damage but in 2011 man oh man a huge tree came crashing down right in front of me and we lost power for about 36 hrs.  Not bad compared to CT like my parents who lost it for weeks.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Nov 11, 2014 9:54 pm

Frank we are snow weenies, isn't snow nice weather : )  Whats with the meanny faces.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 11, 2014 10:39 pm

Between 65-75 degrees is my favorite range of temps. The fact that I will not be seeing these ranges again until possibly April saddens me. But I also enjoy tracking winter storms (not so much cleaning the snow), so bring it on.

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Post by Dtone Wed Nov 12, 2014 11:12 am

@Math23x7 wrote:
@Dtone wrote:Foilage is finally peaked in NYC it seems to me just from walking around. That's about to rapidly come to an end. Though its a long shot its be nice to end with some snow covered leaves.

Snow covered leaves = down tree limbs and power lines = Not fun

10/29/11 and 11/7/12 saw just that.  Just be careful of what you wish for.

Yeah I know, I was thinking just a dusting, I don't think there is much chance of anything more in the city.
N&W wouldnt be good but trees are becoming bare by the day.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Nov 12, 2014 2:52 pm

Cant believe how warm i got here today after morning fig and clouds we now have sun and 68°
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Nov 12, 2014 4:04 pm

I missed the morning figs skins, glad they didn't hit me lol.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Nov 12, 2014 4:30 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I missed the morning figs skins, glad they didn't hit me lol.
haha that's funny jman just noticed it said figs and not fogs lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 12, 2014 5:23 pm

Temps in the low 50's tomorrow then down to the 40's this weekend and into next week.

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Post by sroc4 Wed Nov 12, 2014 6:48 pm

Interesting. It explains a lot.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/chinese-hack-us-weather-systems-satellite-network/2014/11/12/bef1206a-68e9-11e4-b053-65cea7903f2e_story.html

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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Nov 12, 2014 7:04 pm

sroc so what does this explain? Is it possible the models have not been showing things accurately? They also hacked the US postal service. Not good on both. So when do we think the models may be back to normal or are they already? Are you saying that maybe the huge snows being showed were false because of the hack or vice versa and the backing off is false?
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Post by aiannone Wed Nov 12, 2014 7:22 pm

It was 53.4* here this morning at LSC and we are now currently at 37.7. Talk about a temp change lol. Today was probably the last day of temps in the 50s for the year here at Lyndon. Time to bring on the snow and hopefully that will be as soon as Sunday Night!
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Post by sroc4 Wed Nov 12, 2014 8:28 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:sroc so what does this explain? Is it possible the models have not been showing things accurately?  They also hacked the US postal service.  Not good on both.  So when do we think the models may be back to normal or are they already?  Are you saying that maybe the huge snows being showed were false because of the hack or vice versa and the backing off is false?

I honestly have no idea what it means.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 12, 2014 8:37 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:sroc so what does this explain? Is it possible the models have not been showing things accurately?  They also hacked the US postal service.  Not good on both.  So when do we think the models may be back to normal or are they already?  Are you saying that maybe the huge snows being showed were false because of the hack or vice versa and the backing off is false?

I honestly have no idea what it means.

It means we have to start forecasting the old fashioned way...through a window.

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Post by sroc4 Wed Nov 12, 2014 9:10 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:sroc so what does this explain? Is it possible the models have not been showing things accurately?  They also hacked the US postal service.  Not good on both.  So when do we think the models may be back to normal or are they already?  Are you saying that maybe the huge snows being showed were false because of the hack or vice versa and the backing off is false?

I honestly have no idea what it means.

It means we have to start forecasting the old fashioned way...through a window.

Ha Frank. I'll wake up Friday morning and let everyone know if it's going to rain or snow shower in wading river LI.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
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Post by amugs Wed Nov 12, 2014 9:21 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:sroc so what does this explain? Is it possible the models have not been showing things accurately?  They also hacked the US postal service.  Not good on both.  So when do we think the models may be back to normal or are they already?  Are you saying that maybe the huge snows being showed were false because of the hack or vice versa and the backing off is false?

I honestly have no idea what it means.

It means we have to start forecasting the old fashioned way...through a window.

Ha Frank. I'll wake up Friday morning and let everyone know if it's going to rain or snow shower in wading river LI.

I use my weather rock on the corner of my property - tells it like it is all the time!!! Fool proof for precipitation - anyone wantto start a business - we'll make big time $!! temp dropped 11* since 7PM

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Post by docstox12 Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:23 am

26.7 degrees, 30.19 rising.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Nov 13, 2014 7:06 am

30* here and a heavy frost

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