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11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Nov 24, 2014 8:53 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Yea it is Skins
wow now we need rest models on board
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:00 pm

@amugs wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ok I think we've gone far enough east. Let's not end up with this being a snowstorm just for Sroc.

I hear you but the tick east was to the benchmark, cp you are all snow up there and will come out of this doing very well to the point of me retaining my weenie king!!  

If not I get drunken

A November snow storm grants you a one month reprieve my friend. You can't expect to remain king if January through March end up as duds. Plus in the HV I expect at least one minor to moderate April snow.
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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:10 pm

SREF mean now has 7" for LI! Could the cold trend really be true?!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:13 pm

@aiannone wrote:SREF mean now has 7" for LI! Could the cold trend really be true?!

We should get a better idea soon. 00z NAM coming in now, worthless model.

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:14 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ok I think we've gone far enough east. Let's not end up with this being a snowstorm just for Sroc.

I hear you but the tick east was to the benchmark, cp you are all snow up there and will come out of this doing very well to the point of me retaining my weenie king!!  

If not I get drunken

A November snow storm grants you a one month reprieve my friend. You can't expect to remain king if January through March end up as duds. Plus in the HV I expect at least one minor to moderate April snow.

Wow you are tough one month jesus a MECS is coming and I only get one month, I can't stand on my head and spit nickels!! Your expectations for JFM will be fulfilled or I get ostracized to the depths of the ????Idea

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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:16 pm

NYC Department has issued a SNOW ALERT beginning at 7am Wednesday 11/26
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Post by rb924119 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:17 pm

This is entirely depressing lmao at this rate I'll be left high and dry ahahaha I was certain this thing was gonna go the other way.....clearly I was mistaken lmfao Live and learn, I guess. I'll live vicariously through you all. And if the SREFs are east, the NAM will be too.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:19 pm

Hour 39, temps crashing. Many areas are right near freezing

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f39

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:20 pm

Holy crap. Probably overdone

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f42

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Post by Quietace Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:21 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Holy crap. Probably overdone

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f42
All snow

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:22 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Holy crap. Probably overdone

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f42
All snow

Yup, MADONNNNNE!!!!!

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Post by tbrkek Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:22 pm

Can you help explain the NAM model you just posted for the amateurs?

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:22 pm

The NAM looks to be a crusher
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:22 pm

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f45

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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:23 pm

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 14123910
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:23 pm

Oh Frank have some fun!  You jinx us "probably overdone", so what if it is its fun! LOL I do remember last year we watched the NAM quite a bit and it did verify close at times.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:25 pm

Looks like there will be that frontogenesis going on bc the 32 line is inland from where that shows the R/S line.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:25 pm

EPIC

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f48

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:25 pm

If this turns into a Godzilla I will lose my mind.

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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:26 pm

I knew it when i said it. I was glad we weren't in the jackpot a couple days ago. Models always seem to correct east. Especially in a progressive pattern like this.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:26 pm

This is gonna be over a foot even down to coast, yeah I would say overdone too but we can dream
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:27 pm

Godzilla! Godzilla! Go go go lol, epic to say the least.
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Post by amugs Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:27 pm

From spc out of Norman, OK

11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map - Page 5 ScreenHunter_96Nov242051

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Post by tbrkek Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:28 pm

Can anyone give the NAM model a quick plain language synopsis?

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:28 pm

NAM is ridiculous. Ridiculously funny that is!

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