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11/26 Coastal Storm Part 2: Forecast & Snow Map

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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:29 pm

6-8" for NYC AND MOST OF LI!
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:30 pm

So is the coast in jackpot now this is crazy
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:30 pm

DayUMM!

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:30 pm

Ughhhh the NAM. It's like getting a wink from the hottie across the bar. Yet they never come over to say 'heyyyyy' ;-)
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:31 pm

You mugs, of all people should believe lol
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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:31 pm

Damn, this is nuts, but it is the NAM's range
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:31 pm

@tbrkek wrote:Can anyone give the NAM model a quick plain language synopsis?

It is colder, stronger, snowier, and just pure awesome if you're a snow lover.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:33 pm

The NAM was beautiful but Ive been burned by the NAM doing this even in the short range, will not agree with unless other models agree but damn was that beautiful.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:33 pm

I believe lol this will be epic if other models get on board
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:33 pm

If the GFS, CMC and Euro come even close sound the ice monster!
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Post by tbrkek Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:35 pm

Thanks Frank!

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@tbrkek wrote:Can anyone give the NAM model a quick plain language synopsis?

It is colder, stronger, snowier, and just pure awesome if you're a snow lover.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:37 pm

Looks like JIC I will pick the snow shovels up from storage tomorrow.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:38 pm

I know Ive been putting this off but im gonna wait till after 0z tonight to make map, it will come tonight, just want a little more clarity.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:39 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ok I think we've gone far enough east. Let's not end up with this being a snowstorm just for Sroc.

cheers

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Post by rb924119 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:41 pm

I'm going to be veryyyy interested in the 00z UKMET now lmao

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:43 pm

I for one never trust the NAM but that run makes everyone except maybe NE PA and far upstate NY very happy. I'll sign on the dotted line for that run right now.

This could be the third significant pre Thanksgiving snow in the last four years. It's becoming a trend.
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Post by Sunflowers138 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:43 pm

What time is the UKMET?

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:44 pm

I am a little suspicious of the nam, usually overdoes precip by about a third, but still a fun run! Let's see where everything else ends up...

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Post by rb924119 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:46 pm

And yeah, that is definitely that band because it closed off at H7 allowing for the deformation axis to set up across NW NJ/lower Hudson Valley and into the northern 'burbs of the city

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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:46 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:I am a little suspicious of the nam, usually overdoes precip by about a third, but still a fun run! Let's see where everything else ends up...

Agree with the precip part, but the temps are great and the nam is usually warm.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:48 pm

@Sunflowers138 wrote:What time is the UKMET?

Idk, actually, but it should be fairly soon.....

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Post by Sharon L Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:49 pm

I guess it's time to get the kids snow boots tomorrow!
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:50 pm

NAM has about 1.3-1.4" QPF IMBY, a bit bullish IMO, wide swath too.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:50 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@Sunflowers138 wrote:What time is the UKMET?

Idk, actually, but it should be fairly soon.....

Orrrrrr maybe at 2am, according to the site I was just looking at. If that's the case; forget it lmao I'll catch up in the morning ahahaha

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 24, 2014 9:52 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:I am a little suspicious of the nam, usually overdoes precip by about a third, but still a fun run! Let's see where everything else ends up...

Agree.

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