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December 2014 Obs and Discussions

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December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 Empty Re: December 2014 Obs and Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 30, 2014 1:09 am

New Years Eve temps...whip out the heavy coat. Low 20's! 

December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 Ecmwf_t2m_neng_9

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Dec 30, 2014 1:17 am

Mid 20s, was colder in November, this pattern is pathetic in terms of winter.
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Post by docstox12 Tue Dec 30, 2014 6:18 am

19.7, 79%, 30.39 R

Hasn't been this cold in the AM in a while.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Dec 30, 2014 7:36 am

18.1 degrees this morning.

People on TV are calling this a cold spell, when in reality the average low temperature this morning is 18 degrees.

You know it's going badly when the Mets start calling average temperatures for the season a cold spell.
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Post by docstox12 Tue Dec 30, 2014 7:39 am

You got me again, CP, 19.2 here.

LOL, we were regularly getting these temps November mornings!
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Dec 30, 2014 9:06 am

Low of 21* here this morning....

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Post by crippo84 Tue Dec 30, 2014 1:30 pm

I can't believe my eyes. There are actually a few flurries falling in Midtown as I look out my window. Winter is being revived!
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 30, 2014 2:51 pm

really? huh didn't even show on radar, didn't see anything in the Bronx.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:32 am

December is going down as one of the warmest on record for the U.S.

December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 MonthTDeptUS

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:38 am

That's some impressive ridging in the EPO region. No wonder why Arctic HP's are dropping south

December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 B6KKNkYCAAII8zP

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:38 am

Not a great analog, but 1965-1966 was a winter where the QBO was stubbornly negative and did not reverse until February and Meteorological spring. Dec. 1965 CPK saw 0 inches of snow, 11 inches in Jan, and 9 inches in Feb. Below average overall.

December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 Post-40-0-20757900-1420004008

December 2014 Obs and Discussions - Page 13 Post-40-0-85013100-1420004113

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:44 am

Times Square NYC temps. on NYE

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:56 am

Its 17 here now and brisk out, hands go numb after a while, more winter like but still feels wrong w no pond ice or snow.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 31, 2014 12:59 am

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Its 17 here now and brisk out, hands go numb after a while, more winter like but still feels wrong w no pond ice or snow.

True that. Last winter was really great. Snowed light to moderate events every week it felt like and the cold kept it on the ground all season long.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Dec 31, 2014 2:27 am

December 2014 will end up with 1.0 inch of snow In Central Park in NYC

Since 1869 the average snowfall for January through April in CPK is 22.1 inches

Since 1994/95 there have been 8 Decembers with an inch or less of snow in December. All of those Winters have had below average snowfall for the following January through April.

The last time I checked 8 for 8 equal 100% accuracy.

The average for those 8 after December is 10.6 inches, less than half the average.

Winter is over, the omnipotent and all powerful and all knowing "December prognosticator" has spoken and it in the last 20 years has never and I repeat never been wrong.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Dec 31, 2014 3:43 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:December 2014 will end up with 1.0 inch of snow In Central Park in NYC

Since 1869 the average snowfall for January through April in CPK is 22.1 inches

Since 1994/95 there have been 8 Decembers with an inch or less of snow in December. All of those Winters have had below average snowfall for the following January through April.

The last time I checked 8 for 8 equal 100% accuracy.

The average for those 8 after December is 10.6 inches, less than half the average.

Winter is over, the omnipotent and all powerful and all knowing "December prognosticator" has spoken and it in the last 20 years has never and I repeat never been wrong.

Im beginning to believe in this trend more and more, December decides winter, of course were not technically out of December yet going forward things look pretty bleak. Im the idiot in the family spending 800 on a new snowblower and not a damn flake for near a month... Mad
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Dec 31, 2014 3:50 pm

Tom don't worry their will be plenty more winters with plenty more snow lol
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Dec 31, 2014 3:56 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:December 2014 will end up with 1.0 inch of snow In Central Park in NYC

Since 1869 the average snowfall for January through April in CPK is 22.1 inches

Since 1994/95 there have been 8 Decembers with an inch or less of snow in December. All of those Winters have had below average snowfall for the following January through April.

The last time I checked 8 for 8 equal 100% accuracy.

The average for those 8 after December is 10.6 inches, less than half the average.

Winter is over, the omnipotent and all powerful and all knowing "December prognosticator" has spoken and it in the last 20 years has never and I repeat never been wrong.

Im beginning to believe in this trend more and more, December decides winter, of course were not technically out of December yet going forward things look pretty bleak. Im the idiot in the family spending 800 on a new snowblower and not a damn flake for near a month... Mad
My brand new 800 dollar snowblower is sitting and waiting in the shed. You're not the only idiot. Wink
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Dec 31, 2014 6:14 pm

Only 6 more hours, let this bastard month come to an end.

It will be almost impossible for January to be any worse. Just as bad I suppose is possible but hopefully not likely.

Happy New Year Everyone, going out soon so I had to get my wishes in now.

Mugs: I won't be making it to the get together even on my scooter. I never thought I was going to be able to anyway but today sealed things.

Where is Snowman the last 2 weeks and Doc the last two days?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Dec 31, 2014 6:20 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:December 2014 will end up with 1.0 inch of snow In Central Park in NYC

Since 1869 the average snowfall for January through April in CPK is 22.1 inches

Since 1994/95 there have been 8 Decembers with an inch or less of snow in December. All of those Winters have had below average snowfall for the following January through April.

The last time I checked 8 for 8 equal 100% accuracy.

The average for those 8 after December is 10.6 inches, less than half the average.

Winter is over, the omnipotent and all powerful and all knowing "December prognosticator" has spoken and it in the last 20 years has never and I repeat never been wrong.

Im beginning to believe in this trend more and more, December decides winter, of course were not technically out of December yet going forward things look pretty bleak. Im the idiot in the family spending 800 on a new snowblower and not a damn flake for near a month... Mad

At least were not alone:

December 2014 snowfall totals:

Chicago 0.0
Cleveland 0.0
Detroit 0.0
Philadelphia 0.1
Boston 0.3

I guess you could say NYC with their whopping 1.0 inch is the big December winner. Whopee.
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Dec 31, 2014 7:00 pm

Wow! Dust devil in Pasadena..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BGhqlJnFIXU&feature=youtu.be

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 01, 2015 12:12 am

18 degrees here as we bring in the new year.. Ice started forming on ponds and puddles totally solid.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jan 01, 2015 12:18 am

15° here... real feel 8°

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Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
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Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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